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must have absolutely loved mcglynn's game and awarded him 4 votesHow does brownlow Genius work?
He has given both J.P.Kennedy and R.Gray 1 vote each for the R20 (Syd vs Port game).
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must have absolutely loved mcglynn's game and awarded him 4 votesHow does brownlow Genius work?
He has given both J.P.Kennedy and R.Gray 1 vote each for the R20 (Syd vs Port game).
My wallet would have received an allergic reaction from their tips last year had I followed their tips.How accurate has Brownlow genius been in previous years?
Solid bet. I have him a 25% chance to poll in the Melbourne game and 25% chance to poll in Round 21 against the Roos. So that makes it a 56% chance of not polling in both games which makes the $2.75 on offer good value.Mr Bontompelli not to get a vote is 2.75, reckon his only chance is rd 15 v. melb. He kicked the match winner but have him about 5th in line. anyone give the lad one anywhere?
Not sure on N.Jones as a lock for Melbourne. Jones will most likely poll in more games than any other Dee but Round 4 and Round 9 stand out as his only possible 3 vote games with a few 1's to top up his tally. Tyson doesn't have as many games that he has opportunities to poll in but when he does poll it should be higher with likely 2 or 3 vote games in Round 7, Round 8, Round 9, Round 11 and Round 18. I'd be cautious on Prestia as well - D.Swallow will go very close to knocking him off.All bets placed... have a lot on Selwood to win throughout the year have small covers on Gray and JPK, really hoping Ablett doesnt get up otherwise only break even...
Final:
Selwood 25
Ablett/Fyfe 23
Kennedy 22
Gray 20
Beams/Pendles 19
Rockliff 18
Teams:
Locks: Rockliff (Bris), Gibbs (Carl), Fyfe (Freo), Selwood (Geel), Ablett/Prestia (GCS - dep on mkt), N.Jones (MElb), Riewoldt (Saints)
Should win: Ward (GWS), Lewis (Haw), Gray (Port), Kennedy (Syd), Libba (WBD)
Too close to call: Sloane/Danger (Adel), Beams/Pendles (Coll), Goddard/Heppell (Ess), Harvey/Dal Santo (North), Richmond, Priddis/Shuey/Kennedy (WCE)
Value team votes: Sloane, Beams, Goddard, Dal Santo, Kennedy/Shuey, Barlow (Fyfe out mkt), Bartel (Selwood/SJ out mkt)
Won't be getting on: Lewis, heppell, Priddis all a chance to be upset in my book and far too short
Not much value around still, but liking the Trifecta of Selwood, Ablett, Kennedy with small savers with gray included in variations...
Also have had a big play on Team votes multi of N.Jones, Kennedy (Syd), Prestia, Gibbs
Loving Cotchin over Heppell in H2H also
Gray most games to poll
Thanks and see you all in the winners circle!
I have doubts about that.Johnson and Cotchin rd 4 leader both at 11s
Have enuf brownlow betting tix to build a house at the moment. Have followed markets all year.
Put it in the bank:
Priddis most WCE at 1.80, Rocky most Bris 1.50, Watson over Swan 2.20.
Value:
Gray most just for Port 21s, Johnson and Cotchin rd 4 leader both at 11s, Libba most for Dogs 5.50,
Hanneberry number 4s at 6s, Scott D. Thompson Backs at 12s, Rockliff handicap with +10 start $7.50,
Selwood rd 5 leader 4.25, Prestia most GC without gaz 2.50, Selwood winner into hawks GF winner at 32s.
Confetti:
Hanneberry most swans 5.50 (got on week before injured), Boomer overall winners at 151s (ineligible),
Montagna most saints at 2.20 (i was high). Roughy most votes hawks at 11s (when mitchell injured b4 lewis became a magnet.
Have plenty of head to heads, multis and other randoms that im happy with but they are main ones.
lol...you want to borrow my calculator....Solid bet. I have him a 25% chance to poll in the Melbourne game and 25% chance to poll in Round 21 against the Roos. So that makes it a 56% chance of not polling in both games which makes the $2.75 on offer good value.
lol...you want to borrow my calculator....
If your calculator doesn't give 0.56 for 75% x 75% I suggest you get it replacedlol...you want to borrow my calculator....
56.25% actually but who's counting.....lolIf your calculator doesn't give 0.56 for 75% x 75% I suggest you get it replaced
Nice.still not over confident on stevie j, did like the odds tho
Nice.
I only questioned because I got on a few weeks after that and it was 4.50. **** this, never heard about it at 11s.
6 or 7.....gunna be a logjam of leaders after rnd 4 I reckonwhat count do we have stevie j on after round 4?
Yeah, dead heat rules apply.
Thoughts on most votes for St. Kilda? Montagna at $18 seems good value, although Nick had quite a good year.
Has anyone seen the CBA Brownlow report?
Thanks for the link, but I've seen it and was wondering what people thought of it
Thanks for the link, but I've seen it and was wondering what people thought of it
Can you explain dead heat rules? I'm confused how this works for a trifecta for e.g. Kennedy/Ablett/Lewis if Kennedy and Ablett were to tie