2016 AFL - Round 10

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1u Melbourne -3.5. Have won as favourites, have won consecutive games, have won on the road although against Gold Coast. Port just showing nothing on the road this year.
 
Early leans and thoughts...

Sydney 1-39 1u, extra day prep and at home... And just the better team i wouldve thought.

Pies +17.5 2u, team is finally clicking... Especially in their mids. Will be a close one

Geelong -36.5 1u, would want to bounce back after that performance... Have a well balanced team and is far superior.

Gws 1-39 1u, the team to beat this year.
 
Looking ahead to Round 11 a couple that stick out to me:

Adelaide -25.5 vs St Kilda
Geelong -9.5 vs GWS
North Melbourne -14.5 vs Richmond
Saints could destroy freo with all their injuries and GWS are a fair shot at beating the crows - this line is just as likely to come in as it is to go out
Unless GWS get flogged away from home then i doubt this line will change
Richmond should flog bombers and North could get flogged by Swans - line should move in imo
 
Round 10 Totals:

Sydney/NorthM - O178.5 (SB)
StKilda/Freo - U182.5 (SB)
Essendon/Rich - U177.5 (b365)
Carlton/Geelong - U182.5 (b365)


Edit: adjusted with betting sites.
 
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Throwing a few more units saints minus. Mundy probably not playing.
Also on adelaide and Sydney at the minuses.
Think gws due a little bit of a let down. And Sydney will be to good at home for a team in still not sure about. But they may prove me wrong this weekend
 
Throwing a few more units saints minus. Mundy probably not playing.
Also on adelaide and Sydney at the minuses.
Think gws due a little bit of a let down. And Sydney will be to good at home for a team in still not sure about. But they may prove me wrong this weekend

I don't try and play big multi's i just work on a system of 3-4 way multi's with combined odd of 2.50-4.50 per round. The last 2 seasons before this one i've run an 11 and then a 14% winning margin across the season. Last week i ran adelaide -25 into west coast to win into GWS to win into St Kilda to win. This week i've gone early on a hawks half time/full time double into st kilda to win into adelaide.

I've only started taking it more seriously recently after running the numbers and working on who and how i bet and in the past and now only have a sportsbet account. So in a lot of ways looking to learn from and understand other peoples systems and whether or not i should be running accounts with all the major online bookies or just stick to my system and my so far trusty returns in regards to sportsbet.
 
I don't try and play big multi's i just work on a system of 3-4 way multi's with combined odd of 2.50-4.50 per round. The last 2 seasons before this one i've run an 11 and then a 14% winning margin across the season. Last week i ran adelaide -25 into west coast to win into GWS to win into St Kilda to win. This week i've gone early on a hawks half time/full time double into st kilda to win into adelaide.

I've only started taking it more seriously recently after running the numbers and working on who and how i bet and in the past and now only have a sportsbet account. So in a lot of ways looking to learn from and understand other peoples systems and whether or not i should be running accounts with all the major online bookies or just stick to my system and my so far trusty returns in regards to sportsbet.

If your looking at betting more on line bets,totals etc etc you've got to have a few other options up your sleeve IMO.SB have the pies at +17.5 & CB +15.5
 
I don't try and play big multi's i just work on a system of 3-4 way multi's with combined odd of 2.50-4.50 per round. The last 2 seasons before this one i've run an 11 and then a 14% winning margin across the season. Last week i ran adelaide -25 into west coast to win into GWS to win into St Kilda to win. This week i've gone early on a hawks half time/full time double into st kilda to win into adelaide.

I've only started taking it more seriously recently after running the numbers and working on who and how i bet and in the past and now only have a sportsbet account. So in a lot of ways looking to learn from and understand other peoples systems and whether or not i should be running accounts with all the major online bookies or just stick to my system and my so far trusty returns in regards to sportsbet.
I joined all the major bookies for the purpose of clearing bonus bets and for bonus whoring all the promotions available (some of which are massively profitable). This would also give you the option of choosing the best odds on your chosen bets as odds can fluctuate across sites.

Sounds like you have a successful system in place so that's the hard work done.
 
Definitely very interesting game. North's biggest challenge for the year. If North get up, they're not pretenders. Predicting a tough contested game, similar to the Hawthorn Sydney game last week
I think your right on predicting a tough contested game - I think it may have similarities with the NM / WB game. Sydney (minus Richards) won't want to have too much uncontested ball coming into forward 50 with a potent NM forward line.

I'm not sure it's their biggest challenge though as the WB game showed their ability to adapt and grind out a good win against a quality opponent. With Higgins out and if Wells misses they might lack a bit of polish to go with the grunt though.
 

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2016 AFL - Round 10

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