2016 AFL - Round 10

[freo_leo29]

Viney 30+ @ $4 (TAB) - 4/9 this year, including a loss at 24 touches being up in cotton wool for basically a quarter against GC. Same logic as Jones bet previously, this is just clear overs imo.

Coniglio 30+ @ $2.75 (TAB) - 5/8 this year and 5 of the last 6. If anything Coniglio will put a soft tag on rather than Adelaide tagging him so that should not be an issue. Again I just see this as decent overs like Viney.

Like the Viney one
$100 25+ @1.8
$32 30+ @4


EDIT: I also don't mind Ed langdon 2 goals @ 9 Bet365, never get these odds for a winger/HFF so had a small bite at this, also a smaller amount on 3 goals @41 - don't necessarily expect these to come through but with Walters/ballas playing more midfield and Crozier half back this week (Ross said he liked him there last week) Then i reckon Langdons odds are decent value wise

 

[ricardogp]

On North +29.5 and both teams to score 70 tonight.

 

[targett]

Putting a free bet on a line is a bad move

But putting it on a 1.11 pop is hideous

What are you on about.Its a free bet which he cant lose.Turning his freebie in to real cash.

 

[champinoman]

$505 Zaharakis U28.5 @1.87 Sportsbet

Where do I find these markets on Sportbet? (Using app)

I can only seem to find the disposals over markets.

 

[zannnn]

In for some laughs

1U @ 90 Boomer 30+ / Thomas 3+

 

[Scootyb]

Just wanted to see if you had a better idea (or any other freo supporters) ,do you have any idea if Barlow is coming back into the side to play in the midfield? (probably as a straight swap for mundy?) or will he have the same role forward as the start of the season

Trying to work out if he is actually value in player prop markets or if it is a trap

This week I imagine he'll play in the middle, long term can't see that continuing though

 

[Jay-Z]

Got a feeling about North tonight. $100 h2h @ 2.95 and $20 40+ @ 15.

I hope you're right!!

 

[ALL IN]

What are you on about.Its a free bet which he cant lose.Turning his freebie in to real cash.

Your only turning ur $50 free bet into $10 profit. (Remember u dont get the $50 from the free bet only the profit) You need to back Brisbane with the free bet @ $8 and then bet $350 on Hawks @ 1.11 which means you get break even if Brisbane win and u win $38.5 profit if Hawks win. (Or find a game where the odds are better and you will get closer to your $50 profit when the favourite wins)

 

[Lensen]

What are you on about.Its a free bet which he cant lose.Turning his freebie in to real cash.

boom, $60 free bet into $6.60 cash what a ride

 

[freo_leo29]

Where do I find these markets on Sportbet? (Using app)

I can only seem to find the disposals over markets.

Aussie rules -> player exotics -> Disposals O/U

 

[targett]

boom, $60 free bet into $6.60 cash what a ride

If You look at the image i posted this is for STAKE RETURNED ....

 

[Lensen]

If You look at the image i posted this is for STAKE RETURNED ....

So you posted an irrelevant image to a query about free bets, someone new to betting will obviously not realise

If people ask for advice and your advice is terrible probably shouldn't give it out

 

[targett]

So you posted an irrelevant image to a query about free bets, someone new to betting will obviously not realise

If people ask for advice and your advice is terrible probably shouldn't give it out

No you didnt look until you where made aware, poor observation from a GollyWog ...which even a newbie could figure

 

[ricardogp]

If I had a free bet I had to put on tonight's game I'd probably go north/under 178.5. A lot of talk on being a scrappy game, and the double market still has a game total higher than the single market. And with a free bet you might as well go the underdog. Nothing to lose and it's a $5.50 payout...

 

[targett]

Your only turning ur $50 free bet into $10 profit. (Remember u dont get the $50 from the free bet only the profit) You need to back Brisbane with the free bet @ $8 and then bet $350 on Hawks @ 1.11 which means you get break even if Brisbane win and u win $38.5 profit if Hawks win. (Or find a game where the odds are better and you will get closer to your $50 profit when the favourite wins)

Yes correct unlesss its a stake returned bet

 

[vdub]

Well I'm back from overseas,

time for a multi, not really focused (got a lot going on) but......

Geelong
Hawks
St Kilda

19U

@ 1.58

just in case someone calls me out on my stupid % Im not betting 19% of my entire bank roll, just 19% of one of my acts.

 

[Youdy]

Well I'm back from overseas,

time for a multi, not really focused (got a lot going on) but......

Geelong
Hawks
St Kilda

19U

@ 1.58

just in case someone calls me out on my stupid % Im not betting 19% of my entire bank roll, just 19% of one of my acts.

That seems an incredibly confusing way of working out your stakes haha
Unless all of your accounts have the same amount of money in them your units will always be different sizes?
But if it works, good luck to you

 

[iluvparis]

1U - WB/StK/Geel/Rich/Haw @ $2.57 (sports)

 

[Profphat]

Hopefully the game will tighten up otherwise it will go overs

 

[Bic]

In for some laughs

1U @ 90 Boomer 30+ / Thomas 3+

Oh Lindsay! Missed a sitter for you

 

[vdub]

That seems an incredibly confusing way of working out your stakes haha
Unless all of your accounts have the same amount of money in them your units will always be different sizes?
But if it works, good luck to you

Yea, I'm not really giving two sh*ts about working out the real percentage cause I only bet using one of the three acts, I will axe one of them and consolidate to two agency's once I pull my minor acc into profit since I'm 10% down on that one then I'll start posting real % bets. For now, Just bear with my incredible confusion, hopefully It'll be over by the end of this weeks sport!

 

[zannnn]

In for some laughs

1U @ 90 Boomer 30+ / Thomas 3+

Oh boomer, lift

Was eyeing cunnington instead @108... Damn

 

[Dusty3]

Got on under 179.5 (Sportsbet) at half time - They're only on track for this total due to the big scoring and very accurate first quarter. Scoring slowed in the 2nd quarter and I don't think they'll be able to maintain this accuracy the entire game.

Edit: Three quick goals as I post hahahaha

 

[Robo87]

Got on under 179.5 (Sportsbet) at half time - They're only on track for this total due to the big scoring and very accurate first quarter. Scoring slowed in the 2nd quarter and I don't think they'll be able to maintain this accuracy the entire game.

Edit: Three quick goals as I post hahahaha

yea i noticed those goals haha. lucky not much scoring in the last half of that 3rd qrtr! thanks to that the game should still should go under atm..

 

[Dusty3]

yea i noticed those goals haha. lucky not much scoring in the last half of that 3rd qrtr! thanks to that the game should still should go under atm..

I feel like these totals in play could be very profitable, given they are essentially automated there is no real adjustment for things like being overly accurate for too long, for games becoming more congested etc etc. Would try making a model myself but why bother when others have ones that function very well already that I can tail!

Also for the guys that do that, looking into quarter by quarter scoring trends could also be profitable? Not entirely sure on that though.