2016 AFL - Round 7

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carl +21.5/tgs under 169.5 @ $3.20
geel -12.5/tgs under 184.5 @ $3.60
syd -70.5/tgs over 176.5 @ $2.85
adel +2.5/tgs over 187.5 @ $3.45
nth -22.5/tgs over 195.5 @ $3.35

$5 on each combo of 3 legs

1 out of 3 so far. if i get the last 2 im up from it. when i put it on i thought it was going to be a bit wet or overcast for the first two games on top of carl/coll/eagles when away beinglow scoring sides

ohhh well
 

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Hayden Crozier anytime GS @2.30 Sportsbet - Averaging a goal a game this year, kicked 0.2 v north then 2.2 v carlton and 1.1 v adelaide so he is getting the opportunities.

Also a bite at Crozier 3 goals @27 Sportsbet - just think the odds are generous for a player who would spend 75% of his time on ground in the forward half
Very very small bets on Croz 4 goals@163 and 5 goals @501 sportsbet have obviously set the odds expecting freo to be flogged, maybe if we play well then these are in with a chance.

Oh and Small bet on Suban anytime goalscorer@2.75 and 3 goals@36, coming back from kicking 3 in the wafl so Ross may play him forward of the ball more,(he has kicked 3 vs gws before) wouldn't recommend tailing this as Suban will probably spud it up.
Nice tips! they're going well so far.
 
0.5u Nakia Cockatoo, Anytime GS @1.85 SB (he's kicked 0,1,1&3 goals in 4 games this year.) WIN
0.5u Alex Sexton, Anytime GS @1.85 SB (kicked 1,1,1,2,0,2 goals in 6 games.) LOSS
Unfortunately Sexton broke his arm and this also broke any chance of him scoring..

makes 3of4 with my Anytime GS picks YTD. (Taberner & degoey posted in round5 thread)
 
$400 Tom Scully U26.5@ 2 sportsbet
$400 Tom Scully 25+@2 Tab

looking for that middle

$265 Luke Parker 30+ @ 3
$435 Luke Parker U29.5 @1.80

= about 80 profit each way

$280 Aaron Hall 30+ @2.25
$340 Aaron Hall U31.5@1.85
Tom f#%king scully, needed one more disposal ffs, i was two off with hall last week and now 1 off this week, hopefully next week I hit a middle.

+0 from scully bet
+80ish from Parker bet
+ like 10 bucks for the hall bet, way off this week
 

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Sydney 1.01 in all these multi's is funny

I no rite

Wouldn't you at least try and get a 1.75, 1.5 or at the very least a 1.25 multiplier out of the game?
 
5U Geelong H2h
Syd -44.5
GC plus 42.5
Adeliade plus 45.5
GWS plus15.5

1U @ 2.28

While I'm stoked with the results Ive got for one days betting, I can't say the same for the GC which I'm going to have to allocate most disapointing team / wooden spooners of the week who got absolutely thrashed at home, couldn't remotely hold a plus 45 point head start / $1.08 margin against the demons.

Unless Brisbane can manage to go down away by 90 to port lol
 
Cannot believe maybe got 3! He has been horrible at kicking this year but good bet


My croz and subes anytime goal scorer bets were wins and well and truly covered my other flutters of 3 goals etc so decent night on the punt
Again another player that is in terrible form, but a player that plays 100% forward time that is a proven goalkicker over many years is paying $9.5 for 3> goals Im going to take those odds everyday of the week.
 
Couple for me tomorrow:
Boak Disposals:
25> @$1.89, 30> @$5.4, 35> @$22 and 40> @$101

Dal Santo Disposals:
20> @$1.42 and 25> @$3.5

Petrie Goals:
3> @$3.50, 4> @$8 and 5> @$19
 
Have a multi with Carlton (win), Geelong (win) and Brisbane over Port (pending). Cash out for $116 or go for the $370?

I dunno if Brissy are ready to be good on the road (although they were good v Sydney).

Hard call. Depends how much you need the cash. If it doesn't mean that much to you go full #YOLO
 
Unibet <29.5 Stevens 1.87

30 or more 2.6 Sports
2.5 Willhill/Centrebet
Good spot
Took $425 @2.60
$575 @1.87

Doing my look through the markets now after getting back from the freo match, doesn't seem to be much on offer, think there is a Mitch Robinson middle using the TAB and Unibet but only a 1 disposal middle with a loss each way if it loses
 
Well that ts freo gws match literally went to the last kick for 166.5 or higher!! Crazy watching live!!
Weird game. After the first half, thought the total was cracking 200 easy, then freo decide to lock it down. I don't get freo, they were 2 goals down with 2 mins to go and they decide to keep flooding GWS forward pockets. They did this until the siren which baffles me. Surely you'd open the game up and try and win? If it doesn't work, big deal. Ross Lyon is mental
 
Last total for R7 Port/Brisbane-O165.5

this looks real good:) the improved weather forecast (rain is mostly now and morning) and the radar looks good for 440pm...

sportsbet already has moved it back up to 170.5.. willyhill/centrebet slow to react like normal still at 165.5.. i think it'll start at around 173.5 if weather holds early arvo, hows AAMI stadium drain surface wise??

Think both teams will look to run a lot here and take the game on.
 

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2016 AFL - Round 7

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