AFL 2017 - AFL Round 18

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Adelaide |$1.45|$1.48|$1.47|$1.50|$1.48|$1.47
\Geelong |$2.75|$2.70|$2.65|$2.65|$2.65|$2.70
\|line:16.5|line:16.5|line:15.5|line:15.5|line:16.5|line:15.5
\total score:|178.5|178.5|177.5|177.5|177.5|176.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Essendon |$1.30|$1.30|$1.27|$1.33|$1.30|$1.28
\North Melb. |$3.55|$3.55|$3.75|$3.45|$3.60|$3.70
\|line:24.5|line:23.5|line:24.5|line:22.5|line:23.5|line:25.5
\total score:|193.5|193.5|192.5|190.5|193.5|191.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Melbourne |$2.35|$2.30|$2.35|$2.35|$2.30|$2.35
\Port Adelaide |$1.60|$1.62|$1.60|$1.62|$1.62|$1.60
\|line:8.5|line:9.5|line:9.5|line:8.5|line:9.5|line:9.5
\total score:|179.5|179.5|178.5|179.5|179.5|178.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West.Bulldogs |$1.40|$1.40|$1.38|$1.40|$1.40|$1.39
\Gold Coast |$3.00|$3.00|$3.00|$3.05|$3.00|$3.00
\|line:18.5|line:17.5|line:17.5|line:17.5|line:17.5|line:17.5
\total score:|165.5|166.5|164.5|166.5|164.5|165.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Sydney |$1.22|$1.24|$1.25|$1.25|$1.25|$1.24
\St.Kilda |$4.35|$4.10|$3.90|$4.15|$4.00|$4.10
\|line:28.5|line:27.5|line:28.5|line:26.5|line:28.5|line:27.5
\total score:|173.5|174.5|174.5|171.5|174.5|174.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Fremantle |$1.90|$1.87|$2.00|$1.95|$1.93|$1.98
\Hawthorn |$1.90|$1.93|$1.81|$1.90|$1.89|$1.85
\|line:H2.5|line:F0.5|line:H2.5|line:H1.5|line:H1.5|line:H1.5
\total score:|165.5|166.5|166.5|163.5|166.5|167.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Richmond |$2.25|$2.30|$2.20|$2.30|$2.20|$2.20
\G-W Sydney |$1.65|$1.62|$1.67|$1.65|$1.68|$1.67
\|line:6.5|line:6.5|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:6.5|line:7.5
\total score:|162.5|162.5|162.5|161.5|162.5|164.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Collingwood |$2.25|$2.25|$2.22|$2.30|$2.25|$2.25
\West Coast |$1.65|$1.66|$1.65|$1.65|$1.65|$1.65
\|line:8.5|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:7.5
\total score:|185.5|184.5|184.5|185.5|185.5|184.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Brisbane |$2.25|$2.35|$2.30|$2.25|$2.35|$2.25
\Carlton |$1.65|$1.60|$1.60|$1.67|$1.60|$1.65
\|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:6.5|line:8.5|line:7.5
\total score:|182.5|182.5|181.5|180.5|182.5|181.5

ODDS AT 16.30 ON 19/7/17

 

[demon_fanatic]

Don't mind Brisbane 2.65 next week at home vs blues I think it's basically a coin flip surely given Carltons lack of scoring power .. line is 13.5 crownbet

 

[Robo87]

I like Geelong with their good record against us lately (last 5wins)+ Sloane and Lever likely to both miss. I think i heard Danger is hopeful to recover enough to play. So assuming those teams for each i would say Geelong beat us again in the midfield and hence win the game.
Also like Port and Sydney.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

I'm liking Gold Coast at $3.

 

[demon_fanatic]

I like Geelong with their good record against us lately (last 5wins)+ Sloane and Lever likely to both miss. I think i heard Danger is hopeful to recover enough to play. So assuming those teams for each i would say Geelong beat us again in the midfield and hence win the game.
Also like Port and Sydney.

Yeh our mid is still weeks away from
Competing vs good teams

 

[come on oliver]

Cats 1-39 $3 unfortunately looks a solid bet.

 

[targett]

I like Geelong with their good record against us lately (last 5wins)+ Sloane and Lever likely to both miss. I think i heard Danger is hopeful to recover enough to play. So assuming those teams for each i would say Geelong beat us again in the midfield and hence win the game.
Also like Port and Sydney.

“He does exaggerate injuries,” Cornes said on the Sunday Footy Show.

“In his time at Adelaide, his teammates had to sit him down and say, ‘look, you do carry on a little bit with your injuries’.”
“He does (carry on), so I’d be surprised if he missed with that injury yesterday,” Cornes said.

 

[iluvparis]

“He does exaggerate injuries,” Cornes said on the Sunday Footy Show.

“In his time at Adelaide, his teammates had to sit him down and say, ‘look, you do carry on a little bit with your injuries’.”
“He does (carry on), so I’d be surprised if he missed with that injury yesterday,” Cornes said.

Seems like an unbiased piece of analysis

 

[Jimmy69r]

Was on tilt Sunday morning and was very close to putting $200 on Shannon Hurn for the BOG at 51 to win 10k but of course pussed out and bet more on nrl game which of course lost. Was great odds looking back at it don't know why I changed my mind.
So I try this week multi$ 200 at nearly 50 odds again to win 10k. Adel-14.5, ess-24.5, syd-26.5, dogs -19.5, wc -5.5 and bris+12.5

 

[Sabbathen]

Was great odds looking back at it don't know why I changed my mind.

Probably because Shannon Hurn hasn't been BOG for about 6768532 years mate.

 

[mookieb]

Probably because Shannon Hurn hasn't been BOG for about 6768532 years mate.

He's a quality footballer Hurn but geez Freo kicked it to him like they were doing it on purpose...

 

[Djoker]

Was on tilt Sunday morning and was very close to putting $200 on Shannon Hurn for the BOG at 51 to win 10k but of course pussed out and bet more on nrl game which of course lost. Was great odds looking back at it don't know why I changed my mind.
So I try this week multi$ 200 at nearly 50 odds again to win 10k. Adel-14.5, ess-24.5, syd-26.5, dogs -19.5, wc -5.5 and bris+12.5

Calm down mate, if you're still on tilt take a breath, dont need an oraz 2.0.
Nothing l overly dislike in the multi but I'd wait for teams - sloane/danger fitness for starters

 

[Jimmy69r]

Probably because Shannon Hurn hasn't been BOG for about 6768532 years mate.

Yeah I did research and thats what turned me off. But I knew eagles would win the game so then only really 22players could be BOG, I had feeling freo would just bomb into the forward line so maybe either Mcgovern or Hurn would be bog, and that maybe they hard mark Mcgovern which they did freeing up hurn. It was a fluke he won and i think was only going to take him coz he was 51 but i didnt anyway so i shut up now.

 

[Russian Demon]

Does it need to be said that if you are throwing hail mary multis to chase your losses you need to take a break?

This kind of behavior is why all of the books can offer such insanely good deals like the 24 point payout, yet still be a money printing factory. If we all bet sensibly, these deals wouldn't exist because the bookies would get cleaned out too often.

Don't be the guy who loses far more than he can afford just so the patient punters can clean up.

 

[SM]

I'm liking Cats Friday night, I don't think Adelaide will be able to get over them. Bookies seem to be overinflating Demons' form which will make the Crows win look more impressive than it was which should give the Cats some juicy value.

 

[puntking]

cats have the wood over crows i think cats with the line

 

[Djoker]

Crows Cats is this weeks points pileup at crown, only hit like 2/8 since they've changed it to bonus bets and to add to previous venting of the change from rewards points means I can't do 'cash withdrawals' at crown anymore.

 

[Sketi]

Underdogs I like this week:

Geelong
Richmond - GWS playing disjointed footy atm
Brisbane

 

[Jimmy_the_Gent]

Yeah I took Richmond and Brisbane.

 

[targett]

Crown points pile up Cats v Crows

 

[lids2richo]

Liking dees this week especially if they have a few in's

 

[targett]

Liking dees this week especially if they have a few in's

Looks like Watts,Salem,Tyson will play and Viney an outside chance.

 

[benno_]

speaking of Hail Mary multis...

Crows 2nd Quarter -3.5
Bombers 1st Quarter -5.5
Port 1st Quarter -1.5
Bulldogs 3rd Quarter -4.5
Swans 3rd Quarter -6.5
Hawks 4th Quarter +0.5
GWS 2nd Quarter -1.5
Eagles 1st Quarter -1.5
@150.27

Had a little look at some quarter lines yesterday after not really doing them much the last month or so. Would normally do mainly singles, but not super confident in jumping straight back into them and outlaying too much across them all. Might bet on a couple, but probably just sticking to a little multi of them for the fun of it this week so I have something on it incase it actually happens to win lol.

 

[Russian Demon]

speaking of Hail Mary multis...

Crows 2nd Quarter -3.5
Bombers 1st Quarter -5.5
Port 1st Quarter -1.5
Bulldogs 3rd Quarter -4.5
Swans 3rd Quarter -6.5
Hawks 4th Quarter +0.5
GWS 2nd Quarter -1.5
Eagles 1st Quarter -1.5
@150.27

Had a little look at some quarter lines yesterday after not really doing them much the last month or so. Would normally do mainly singles, but not super confident in jumping straight back into them and outlaying too much across them all. Might bet on a couple, but probably just sticking to a little multi of them for the fun of it this week so I have something on it incase it actually happens to win lol.

Port at -1.5 in the first is about as safe a money as you'll get. Melbourne seems to have a penchant for going down early only to spend the rest of the game clawing it back, sometimes getting ahead on the siren. Smarter men than I have labelled it Stranglewank footy.

 

[wizzard400]

Like the look of:
Geelong
Port
Hawthorn
Brisbane

On the 'hail mary' multi's, I've found they can be occasionally fun as long as you never throw down more than $5 - $10 on them. No way I would put more on them, you're basically just paying the bookies otherwise.