AFL 2017 - AFL Round 5

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I am going with Richmond and Collingwood at the line to end this round. Rain predicted for Melbourne tomorrow and also on ANZAC Day. Tuesday will be a wetter game than Monday night though.

Any reasoning behind your picks? Is it because of the weather or?

Personally i'm on the dees +3.5 @ 1.92 for 1u

Already down 2.5u this round :(
 

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Any reasoning behind your picks? Is it because of the weather or?

Personally i'm on the dees +3.5 @ 1.92 for 1u

Already down 2.5u this round :(

Like the way Richmond are going (I know, I know, famous last words) but the line is less than a goal. Melbourne are hot and cold, and even with Hogan back, I think the big occasion of ANZAC eve will suit Richmond more. Collingwood HAVE to win on Tuesday. Essendon are okay in fits and spurts, but they get tired in the second half. Again, a line of -8.5, the Magpies should cover that. Just my gut. Could be wrong...after all, my gut told me to end a six leg multi with WCE at -15.5! :huh:
 
Richmond -11.5
Collingwood +31.5

$2.52

Should be able to mop up with that.
We'll actually, has a 40% chance of winning, so will "mop up" less than half the time.

Also, I really don't like Richmond to blow it out tomorrow.
 
Based on what
I'll assume that you're asking the question in regards to Richmond and not elementary mathematics.

But anyway, Richmond have played Carlton, Collingwood, west coast and Brisbane. Hardly a stellar form indication.

Plus, they tend to struggle to defend the teams that attack directly through the centre of the ground. And i don't believe they've changed their game style greatly this year.

Bullshit posturing aside, I have this game capped at a 1 point win to melbourne.
 
Since I already bet and got great lines for Round 6, looked at round 7. Value as ever.

Richmond +16.5 v Dogs
GWS -12.5 v. Saints
Crows - 15.5 v North
Port -7.5 v Scumcoast

$12.49
$18.27 if you took Richmond H2H instead. And Tigers should start favourites. Dogs headed for huge loss to GWS.

Might bet both 1U on both.
 
Since I already bet and got great lines for Round 6, looked at round 7. Value as ever.

Richmond +16.5 v Dogs
GWS -12.5 v. Saints
Crows - 15.5 v North
Port -7.5 v Scumcoast

$12.49
$18.27 if you took Richmond H2H instead. And Tigers should start favourites. Dogs headed for huge loss to GWS.

Might bet both 1U on both.
OK
 

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Like the way Richmond are going (I know, I know, famous last words) but the line is less than a goal. Melbourne are hot and cold, and even with Hogan back, I think the big occasion of ANZAC eve will suit Richmond more. Collingwood HAVE to win on Tuesday. Essendon are okay in fits and spurts, but they get tired in the second half. Again, a line of -8.5, the Magpies should cover that. Just my gut. Could be wrong...after all, my gut told me to end a six leg multi with WCE at -15.5! :huh:

Bit staggered with your thoughts on the ANZAC eve suiting Richmond more, considering Melbourne have won the first 2 comfortably.
 
Bit staggered with your thoughts on the ANZAC eve suiting Richmond more, considering Melbourne have won the first 2 comfortably.

We'll see...what happened over the past two games has zero to do with how each team is traveling now. Richmond are a much better side, and Melbourne have improved too, but I feel it's Richmond's 4 points tonight.
 
We'll see...what happened over the past two games has zero to do with how each team is traveling now. Richmond are a much better side, and Melbourne have improved too, but I feel it's Richmond's 4 points tonight.

Really can't see how they are a much better side. They've beaten Brisbane, Carlton and Collingwood, all bottom 8 (even 4 for Brisbane and Carlton)) teams, and then West Coast who showed yesterday how incompetent they are at the MCG.

My comment about the ANZAC game was in response to you saying Richmond would stand up to the "big occasion", which has no evidence to it based on past results.

Melbourne 1-39 @2.63 the play for mine.
 

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AFL 2017 - AFL Round 5

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