AFL 2017 - AFL Round 9

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Geelong |$2.00|$2.13|$2.05|$2.00|$2.02|$2.02
\West.Bulldogs |$1.80|$1.72|$1.78|$1.85|$1.80|$1.80
\|line:2.5|line:3.5|line:3.5|line:2.5|line:2.5|line:3.5
\total score:|***.5|160.5|***.5|160.5|160.5|158.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\St.Kilda |$1.75|$1.74|$1.74|$1.77|$1.75|$1.76
\Sydney |$2.10|$2.10|$2.10|$2.10|$2.10|$2.07
\|line:3.5|line:5.5|line:4.5|line:4.5|line:5.5|line:4.5
\total score:|***.5|187.5|***.5|186.5|186.5|187.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\G-W Sydney |$1.20|$1.19|$1.20|$1.22|$1.25|$1.22
\Richmond |$4.60|$4.75|$4.50|$4.50|$4.00|$4.35
\|line:28.5|line:28.5|line:29.5|line:27.5|line:27.5|line:27.5
\total score:|***.5|159.5|***.5|***.5|160.5|160.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Brisbane |$8.50|$8.50|$9.00|$9.00|$9.00|$8.50
\Adelaide |$1.07|$1.07|$1.06|$1.07|$1.05|$1.07
\|line:44.5|line:45.5|line:45.5|line:45.5|line:44.5|line:43.5
\total score:|***.5|167.5|***.5|***.5|168.5|167.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Collingwood|$1.50|$1.54|$1.54|$1.55|$1.58|$1.55
\Hawthorn |$2.60|$2.50|$2.50|$2.50|$2.40|$2.45
\|line:10.5|line:11.5|line:11.5|line:12.5|line:9.5|line:11.5
\total score:|***.5|170.5|***.5|170.5|170.5|171.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Essendon|$2.45|$2.45|$2.45|$2.50|$2.55|$2.60
\West Coast|$1.55|$1.55|$1.55|$1.55|$1.52|$1.50
\|line:11.5|line:10.5|line:11.5|line:12.5|line:10.5|line:12.5
\total score:|***.5|190.5|***.5|188.5|190.5|190.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Melbourne |$1.48|$1.46|$1.45|$1.47|$1.47|$1.50
\North Melb.|$2.65|$2.72|$2.75|$2.75|$2.70|$2.60
\|line:14.5|line:13.5|line:13.5|line:13.5|line:13.5|line:12.5
\total score:|***.5|187.5|***.5|185.5|188.5|185.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Fremantle |$1.28|$1.29|$1.30|$1.33|$1.33|$1.31
\Carlton|$3.75|$3.70|$3.60|$3.45|$3.35|$3.50
\|line:20.5|line:21.5|line:21.5|line:20.5|line:21.5|line:20.5
\total score:|***.5|146.5|***.5|***.5|147.5|147.5

ODDS AT 15.30 ON 16/5/17

 

[hedgedhog]

Richmond is the definite value this round, Carlton also looks like value.

 

[targett]

Sydney at +7.5 $1.90 or $2.15 SU
Sydney's last two games against the Saints at Etihad an average winning margain of 83 points.Swans are gaining momentum and this is worth Considerable thought IMO.

 

[maskmcgee]

Richmond is the value of the round.

Absolutely nothing else. Can't pick a totally certain winner for any match, yet alone a line. Going to be a total disaster. Sitting this week out.

 

[Russian Demon]

Richmond is the value of the round.

Absolutely nothing else. Can't pick a totally certain winner for any match, yet alone a line. Going to be a total disaster. Sitting this week out.

I think I'll insure our game vs North. Haven't beaten them for years, so money on North over $2 is value to me. And bet on Ben Brown to have a field day.

 

[JC Hawks]

Adelaide at the line looks pretty good to me. Should bounce back and the Lions are pretty hopeless.

 

[Flying frog]

First post starting 0-0

round 9 tips

2u Cats straight up
2u Swans straight up
2u Tigers +29
2u Pies -3.5
2u Blues + 21.5
1u Roos +11.5

Good luck tail or fade

 

[HeavyPop]

Geelong 1st quarter +1.5

 

[Silent Alarm]

Was going to put money on the Kangaroos to beat the Crows at about $5.50-6.10ish and then the Dees to roll the Crows at 6 bucks... got distracted on the Saturday and the early start got me... everyone talked me out of the Adelaide one...

Not minding the Lions v Crows and chucking a few bucks on Brisbane Lions at $8...

 

[targett]

Cats v dogs Friday night
TGS 158.5
There may be a chance of the rain missing Geelong get on the Overs now and create a middle pre match.
Late shower10°C19°C
Chance of rain: 80% (5-10mm)

 

[Flying frog]

Geelong 1st quarter +1.5

With you on that. The cats must respond. to have 14 tackles in the first half is appalling. And that ultimately cost them last Saturday . Friday night on the big stage , first home game of the year, against the reigning champs. No need to say anymore


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[benji21]

Will be keeping an eye on weather for Pies TGS Under and the Brisbane game TGS overs.
Rain expected for the pies game
The brisbane game the rain is expected in the evening, so if it shifts a little it should go over

 

[targett]

Sydney at +7.5 $1.90 or $2.15 SU
Sydney's last two games against the Saints at Etihad an average winning margain of 83 points.Swans are gaining momentum and this is worth Considerable thought IMO.

Possible Inclusions

Kurt Tippett kicked four goals straight in his return from a hip complaint

Speedster Gary Rohan slotted four goals to go with 19 disposals in his return from concussion

Defender Aliir Aliir picked up 21 disposals and eight marks

 

[Oraz]

Geelong 1st quarter +1.5

On this too,

As Flying Frog mentioned,
Cats will come out breathing fire after getting hammered in the media all week about their lack of tackle pressure.


I also like Swans at the line, St kilda are a good side but they are a little lean on the inside. If Sydney's inside mids are up and about it will be hard for St Kilda to get on top.

Also like Carlton, North, Essendon, Hawthorn.


Any thoughts on Hawthorn v Collingwood?
Collingwood couldn't beat a GWS side that were down 2 players for 3 quarters.
Hawthorn have played well in their last 2 games.

Who wins?

 

[TheScream]

Will be keeping an eye on weather for Pies TGS Under and the Brisbane game TGS overs.
Rain expected for the pies game
The brisbane game the rain is expected in the evening, so if it shifts a little it should go over

Was pretty shocked to see the TGS at 167.5, the two biggest over teams in the comp. If the rain is not torrential I still see Adelaide putting up a big score just a matter of if brisbane can keep up. Also was waiting to pound the under in the Freo game and it comes out at 148.5... If it's raining that is still too high.

 

[Flying frog]

On this too,

As Flying Frog mentioned,
Cats will come out breathing fire after getting hammered in the media all week about their lack of tackle pressure.


I also like Swans at the line, St kilda are a good side but they are a little lean on the inside. If Sydney's inside mids are up and about it will be hard for St Kilda to get on top.

Also like Carlton, North, Essendon, Hawthorn.


Any thoughts on Hawthorn v Collingwood?
Collingwood couldn't beat a GWS side that were down 2 players for 3 quarters.
Hawthorn have played well in their last 2 games.

Who wins?

Hawthorn did what they had to do last week . It took them until the 3rd quarter to blow away the lions. Remember there are injury clouds over Cyril and Stratton. The pies really should of won that game. There ball movement into the forward line in the last quarter wasn't up to scratch and if it wasn't for blairs poor sliding tackle, we would be talking about a pies win.
I think the pies will be dirty after the "one that got away" and I think they get up for this must win clash


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[langdon19]

Was pretty shocked to see the TGS at 167.5, the two biggest over teams in the comp. If the rain is not torrential I still see Adelaide putting up a big score just a matter of if brisbane can keep up. Also was waiting to pound the under in the Freo game and it comes out at 148.5... If it's raining that is still too high.

Came out at 158.5

 

[free at last]

Will be keeping an eye on weather for Pies TGS Under and the Brisbane game TGS overs.
Rain expected for the pies game
The brisbane game the rain is expected in the evening, so if it shifts a little it should go over

This game has the potential to be extremely wet...The weather model charts are looking quite similar to last year's charts when the swans & suns clashed in torrential rain.

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

Melbourne forward Jesse Hogan diagnosed with form of testicular cancer. Will have surgery today. Out indefinitely. Exclusive theage

 

[free at last]

View attachment 371044

They tend to guess fairly accurately these days I've found....I've made some good money off their speculations.

 

[TheScream]

Came out at 158.5

Shame, must've been only a couple mins late to the party...
In any case, think Carlton +21.5 is a good bet considering this should be a low scoring game. Freo aren't good enough to be over 3 goal faves except vs the lions. Think they might be in for a let down after last week, only concern for me is Carlton's travelling.

2.5U Carlton +21.5
0.5U Carlton SU @3.75
1.25U Collingwood SU @1.68
1.25U Collingwood v Hawks under 172.5
Also Adelaide -36.5 from last week.

 

[mookieb]

Shame, must've been only a couple mins late to the party...
In any case, think Carlton +21.5 is a good bet considering this should be a low scoring game. Freo aren't good enough to be over 3 goal faves except vs the lions. Think they might be in for a let down after last week, only concern for me is Carlton's travelling.

2.5U Carlton +21.5
0.5U Carlton SU @3.75
1.25U Collingwood SU @1.68
1.25U Collingwood v Hawks under 172.5
Also Adelaide -36.5 from last week.

Hawks have been hit pretty hard by injuries. Rioli plus Frawley, Birchall and Stratton from their backline. Given our history this season of leaking goals Coll might rack up a big target here. Only question is it looks like their is rain about.

Got Coll earlier in the week, but given the injuries -9.5 at Bet365 looks enticing.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Isnt there decent rain forecast for Sydney too on Saturday for gws game?

 

[benno_]

Bulldogs 3rd Quarter -0.5
Saints 4th Quarter -1.5
GWS 3rd Quarter -7.5
Adelaide 2nd Quarter -11.5
Eagles 2nd Quarter -2.5
Melbourne 3rd Quarter -3.5
Carlton 2nd Quarter +5.5

0.2U @83.41

I might also bet on some of them as singles, but just rolling with a small stake on the multi for now.