Thank God for pettrucelle! Legend
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AFLW 2024 - Round 9 - Indigenous Round - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
-.2U for the match.Only because I had a good day with the North match, and I am dumb enough to listen to advice from people on this forum*:
*No offense guys, I love you all.
1U Multi: West Coast -23.5; Ebert AGS @ $4
.2U Mult: West Coast 40+; Ebert 3+ goals @$141
.5U Ebert 2+ goals @5
.5 U Ebert 3+ goals @15
.5U Ebert FGS @ 21
All SB
0.8u Cripps 2g+ @3.60 b365
0.2u Cripps 3g+ @11 b365
1.5u Ebert ATGS @2 lads
0.5u Ebert 2g+ @6 b365
0.2u Ebert 3g+ @23 b365
I forgot to say, you have to also take into account who each team has played. GWS obviously played the harder teams where as Freo has played arguably 3/4 bottom teams already.GWS worst quarter is their first. GWS to cover the line in all but the first Q.
They win 2nd, 3rd and 4th Qrt by 5.25, 6.25 and 4.5 points respectively, so far this year.
I just read the weather report, exactly same as you mate. You even wrote on here there should be no rain later onEvery year someone reckons they can predict the weather
Going all out with the game today. Ten units on this match.
Poor bankroll management? Probably.
But if I end up with egg on my face today then I might give the punting a miss for the next few weeks.
I have other things I should be doing anyway.
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Total points line at 178.5 seems outrageously low to me.
i) Last two matches between these teams have gone 230+.
ii) North's defence is still a shambles. No way we contain AMT and Fantasia. At least one will get off the leash.
iiii) Essendon's bruise-free footy will suit Hall and Polec. Expect inside-50s galore.
iv) This fixture could become 'marquee'. Football is a business. Is either coach dumb enough to lock the game down?
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Check out the odds for Fantasia 2g ($2.4), 3g ($4), 4g ($10). Juicy AF.
i) Has kicked 10 goals in three matches against North. We are his bunny.
ii) Kicked two goals in both matches coming into this game.
iii) No Marley Williams, Sam Wright playing his first match this season. Fantasia will probably be minded by Pittard (okay) or Atley (iffy) or Macmillan (huge trouble for North).
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Most disposals: Merrett
i) Has built nicely this year: 16, 28, 26, 35
ii) Good form against North: 2018 = 32; 2017 = 33; 2018 = 36.
iii) Brad Scotts won't tag him, and couldn't even if he wanted to, because we'll be stretched for stoppers as it is.
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My bets (all SB)
1U total points > 200.5 @ 4
.5U total points > 220.5 @ 11
.4U total points > 230.5 @ 23
.1U total points > 240.5 @ 71
2U Fantasia 2+ goals @ 2.37
1U Fantasia 3+ goals @ 4
.5U Fantasia 4+ goals @ 10
.5U Fantasia most goals @ 10
1U Multi: Merrett 30+ disposals, Fantasia 3+ goals, total points > 178.5 @ 15.5
.5U Most disp (Merrett) / most goals (Fantasia) @ $36 (was @41 a moment before I put bet on)
.5U Multi: Merrett 30+ disposals, AMT 3+ goals, total points > 220.5 @ 61.5
2U straight up on North @ 2.20 (genuine 50/50 game and North have big first quarters, SB 12+ promo looks good)
Coming back from concussion into a hard tag. Poor Fyfey3u Fyfe Under 28.5 disposals $1.75 (lads)
Actually had 2U on Boak and Rocky than what i posted.Going hard in eagles vs Port game
4U Ebert U93.5 lads 1.88
1U Darling 1.62 more goals than Westhoff TAB
2U Rocky U34.5 disp 1.96 PB
2U Boak U31.5 disp 1.92 PB
1U Ebert U 22.5 disp 1.87 SB
1U Burton U22.5 disp 1.87 SB
2U Rozee U66 5 @1.88 PB
Where are you finding 29.5 for Fyfe? Highest I could find was 29 on 365 at $1.650.5U Ross U106.5 SB
1U Oliver over Ross 1.8 Lads
0.5U Billings U98.5 SB
0.5U Webster U72.5 BE
0.5U J.Steven U96.5
0.5U Viney over Harmes 2.15
0.5U J.Lewis U78.5
1U Fyfe U29.5 disp 1.87
0.5u Himmelberg more goals than McCarthy 1.90
1U Hopper over Walters
0.3U Buntine 3.75 AGS lads
Need a strong performance by melbourne today with so many saints unders. Lewis and Steven with limited game may struggle scoring
I wouldn't read too much into where he is on the team sheet, we list everyone randomly. I like it though because he'll get tagged in the middle so should spend a fair bit of time forwardDusty named in fwd pocket for Rich? anyone think he's worth a shot? hasnt kicked a goal this year but.. its dusty.
2g+ is @3 b365
3g+ is @8.50 b365