AFL 2019 - AFL Round 6

[Bic]

Overall Record 0-0

Travis Boak under 30.5 $1.80 SB (3u)
Shaun Higgins over 29.5 $1.75 BE (3.5u)

Higgins is out.

 

[maskmcgee]

North over 8.5 behinds first half 8.60 @ Beteasy
Had 8 last week v. Us, 10 against Adelaide the week before. Surely should be shorter than 8 - 1

 

[sledbomber]

Nick Larkey is paying $23 for Kangaroos first goal and $41 for the match with Beteasy. I don't know much about him but someone mentioned before he is a forward and he is listed on Footywire as a forward 198 cm and 93 kg. The team sheet has him at half back, but I don't think that means he will play there. Tabtouch have the same odds for him.

 

[sledbomber]

North over 8.5 behinds first half 8.60 @ Beteasy
Had 8 last week v. Us, 10 against Adelaide the week before. Surely should be shorter than 8 - 1

Hopefully for you Mason Wood gets a few shots at goal.

 

[alhay6]

Brad Scott has said Ziebell will get some time in the middle this round and they will make some changes forward.

20+ disposals @2.70
25+ disposals @10
30+ disposals @101

This is pretty huge with Higgins now out

 

[andwhenitcomes]

This is pretty huge with Higgins now out

Also down to 1.22, 2.40 and 7.50 now.

Half thinking of cashing out...

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Nick Larkey is paying $23 for Kangaroos first goal and $41 for the match with Beteasy. I don't know much about him but someone mentioned before he is a forward and he is listed on Footywire as a forward 198 cm and 93 kg. The team sheet has him at half back, but I don't think that means he will play there. Tabtouch have the same odds for him.

Won the VFL leading goalkicker award last year.

Will almost certainly be playing as a KPF although Brads Scotts may have completely lost his marbles so nothing is definite.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

If you think North are a chance to win, consider multi-ing it up with Dumont for either 25/30+ possessions and Larkey AGS/2+/3+.

We don't win without Dumont covering for Higgins, and Brown/Wood can't kick a winning score on their own.

As for me? I'm betting on a huge Port win. Will do a heap of small multis with:

*Port 25+/40+/60+

*Their forwards such as Gray, Ebery and Rozee to kick 2+/3+

*Rockliff to gather 30+/35+

North will be lucky to get the ball out of their back 50 all night.

Has there been a 100-point drubbing yet this year? Tonight could be the night.

 

[happy punter]

Also down to 1.22, 2.40 and 7.50 now.

Half thinking of cashing out...

Which book did you place those bets with?

 

[Butler]

Which book did you place those bets with?

Sportsbet

 

[Browney2006]

North over 8.5 behinds first half 8.60 @ Beteasy
Had 8 last week v. Us, 10 against Adelaide the week before. Surely should be shorter than 8 - 1

Rather take half and half on this with sportsbet

North
9-10 behinds @ $19
11-12 behinds @ $81

 

[happy punter]

Sportsbet

Annoyingly none of the books I bet with even have Ziebell listed in the disposal markets.

Great bet, hopefully it cashes for him. Good luck

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Ziebell is a dud, you'll see.

I'd be cashing out if I were you.

 

[GROTTO]

Ziebell is a dud, you'll see.

I'd be cashing out if I were you.

Dont taunt the Punting forum, Ziebell set for 40+ tonight.

 

[JuniorWatch]

I've cashed out the 30 possession bet because it's gone 10x + which is amazing.
Thanks whoever that was, great intel

 

[Jugada]

Ziebell 30+ / Larkey 3+ @ 201 for an interest

 

[maskmcgee]

Also down to 1.22, 2.40 and 7.50 now.

Half thinking of cashing out...

What sort of cashout you get offered for 101 down to 7.50?

 

[csnody]

What sort of cashout you get offered for 101 down to 7.50?

x10 of what the bet was.

 

[maskmcgee]

Steal, but if they claim the odds are 7.5 to 1 why would they give you 10-1 regardless of what it opened at?

 

[csnody]

Steal, but if they claim the odds are 7.5 to 1 why would they give you 10-1 regardless of what it opened at?

So you take the money. Give them 10 bucks now rather than 100 later... But it doesn't look like it's going to happen anyway.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Boak + Rockliff 70+ disposals combined @ $6 with Ladbrokes on the player performance tab

They’ve done it 3/5 times this season including both games they’ve played at Adelaide Oval. Another of those 5 games had Rockliff injured early with Boak still holding up 35 of his own.

Far from a shoe in, but great value.

Sheesh this is looking pretty good at HT. 40/70
Some people coming up with some gold this week.
Loving it.

Probably just cursed it didn't I

 

[Browney2006]

Sheesh this is looking pretty good at HT. 40/70
Some people coming up with some gold this week.
Loving it.

Probably just cursed it didn't I

And then 10 in the 3rd. The curse is real!

 

[andwhenitcomes]

So you take the money. Give them 10 bucks now rather than 100 later... But it doesn't look like it's going to happen anyway.

Yeah, I was being offered about 8 times the stake (which isn’t bad but not a fair price versus the odds). Rarely if ever a +EV decision.

 

[0utsider]

1u SGM Boak o29.5, Ebert 2g, Port 26.5 @6
1u Rockliff u34.5 @1.84

Looking good at the start of the 4th

 

[0utsider]

Don't know if this has been mentioned already but both Josh Dunkley and Toby Mclean are paying 101 to get 30+ against Freo. Think thats way overs with the possibility of Bont being pushed forward opening up a potential move for one of them from the forward line to the midfield.

Worth a cheeky $2 for me.