2019 planning

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In these situations I try to take a guess on what i think these players will average.

For me I think Treloar can improve and average 110 - 115 (injury affected score of 66 in last years avg of 108.5, plus Collingwood appear to be playing a higher possession game) and Laird imo will probably stay the same 107. Macrae is a hard one to tell, will he be able to continue what he did last year? Averaged 122, and had a score of 44 where he got injured, we could give him anywhere from 120 - 125 depending on how we feel he is going to do. Witho averaged 88 and signs point to natural progression so maybe around 95.

Treloar 110 + Laird 107 vs Macrae 125 + Witho 95

Its all subjective and how you think the guys will go scoring this year. You can also consider value in your decision too, maybe you think Witho is 10 points underpriced which means your $$ are better spent going with him etc.

Treloar 110 + Laird 107 are 2 players you want to finish with so you will have to trade for them, I always wonder how many $ or points is 1 trade worth?
Is Witho a keeper? Probably, I am big on him, but more than likely Treloar and Laird Laird are. So if points are the same but maybe have to make 1 trade does that swing things? Id go Treloar and Laird out of those 2.
 
Was just analyzing both Pies games, and it looks like they're playing a high possession game style. Doesn't look to be a one off, considering that they had 72 more uncontested possessions than Freo and 110 more than Carlton today. Was watching them today, and the way they played reminded me a lot of West Coast. If that's the case, then Collingwood could be a real strong fantasy prospect this season. Especially players like Josh Thomas who you can pick as a forward and who has gone 95 and 101
Actually reminded me of Collingwood two, three and four years ago. Strong midfield, high possession, but going around in circles and taking forever to get it moving.

Will be great for Fantasy but too much waxing with each other. Wouldn't want to touch their fwds if they keep that up
 

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Witherden and McCarthy

OR

T. Kelly and Ridley

Leaning towards option 2, which would give me a backline of Crisp, Smith, Williams, Ridley, Clark, Duursma (Burgess, Scrimshaw)
My forward line would be 5 deep then, and give me a lineup of Danger, Boak, Telly, Newnes, Worpel, Setterfield (Drew, Petrucelle)

This option also moves Drew to the bench, which moves Burgess to the backline, which means all my rooks (at this stage) should play (besides rucks)

If I go option 1, it's more balanced on sight, but then I'm betting that Witherden averages more than Kelly, which I can't see happening. I see a lot of people with forward lines with Setters and 2 basement rooks, but I'm actually thinking of going with 3 high-priced rookie defenders, 2 medium one's who will score well and one premo. I can't justify paying up for Whit, Lloyd and Laird, when the most they'll all average will be 105 (max). Rather have a shitty defence who scores half decently and a stacked forward line full of mids, rather than a decent defence and a forward line full of forwards and sketchy rooks. It's contrary to what I've seen, so I'm curious on what people think?
 
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Witherden and McCarthy

OR

T. Kelly and Ridley

Leaning towards option 2, which would give me a backline of Crisp, Smith, Williams, Ridley, Clark, Duursma (Burgess, Scrimshaw)
My forward line would be 5 deep then, and give me a lineup of Danger, Boak, Telly, Newnes, Worpel, Setterfield (Drew, Petrucelle)

This option also moves Drew to the bench, which moves Burgess to the backline, which means all my rooks (at this stage) should play (besides rucks)

If I go option 1, it's more balanced on sight, but then I'm betting that Witherden averages more than Kelly, which I can't see happening. I see a lot of people with forward lines with Setters and 2 basement rooks, but I'm actually thinking of going with 3 high-priced rookie defenders, 2 medium one's who will score well and one premo. I can't justify paying up for Whit, Lloyd and Laird, when the most they'll all average will be 105 (max). Rather have a shitty defence who scores half decently and a stacked forward line full of mids, rather than a decent defence and a forward line full of forwards and sketchy rooks. It's contrary to what I've seen, so I'm curious on what people think?
Kelly and Ridley would be my choice. We have a very similar setup in defense.

Im currently debating whether to play Drew and have a better midfield or play Scott and bat deeper in the forwards. I think with 6 6 6 there will be more DPP forwards to choose from through the year so having the ability to have more a more open forward line will be better.
 

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Jamie Elliot in the forward line make my team look so much better in the midfield. 57 from 55% TOG & 66 from 64% TOG in both JLT games yet he averages 80% TOG through his career. Has scored between 76-86 in the last 3 seasons he played and 6 6 6 rules will help his scoring potential.

Trading Worpel to Elliot saves 100k and they should have similar scores. The thing that holds me back is no one seems keen for Elliot when he has so much value.
 
Witherden and McCarthy

OR

T. Kelly and Ridley

Leaning towards option 2, which would give me a backline of Crisp, Smith, Williams, Ridley, Clark, Duursma (Burgess, Scrimshaw)
My forward line would be 5 deep then, and give me a lineup of Danger, Boak, Telly, Newnes, Worpel, Setterfield (Drew, Petrucelle)

This option also moves Drew to the bench, which moves Burgess to the backline, which means all my rooks (at this stage) should play (besides rucks)

If I go option 1, it's more balanced on sight, but then I'm betting that Witherden averages more than Kelly, which I can't see happening. I see a lot of people with forward lines with Setters and 2 basement rooks, but I'm actually thinking of going with 3 high-priced rookie defenders, 2 medium one's who will score well and one premo. I can't justify paying up for Whit, Lloyd and Laird, when the most they'll all average will be 105 (max). Rather have a shitty defence who scores half decently and a stacked forward line full of mids, rather than a decent defence and a forward line full of forwards and sketchy rooks. It's contrary to what I've seen, so I'm curious on what people think?
Currently the structure I’m rolling with
 
Jamie Elliot in the forward line make my team look so much better in the midfield. 57 from 55% TOG & 66 from 64% TOG in both JLT games yet he averages 80% TOG through his career. Has scored between 76-86 in the last 3 seasons he played and 6 6 6 rules will help his scoring potential.

Trading Worpel to Elliot saves 100k and they should have similar scores. The thing that holds me back is no one seems keen for Elliot when he has so much value.

He keeps popping in and out of my team. Can certainly see a lot of value in him. Injury is always the worry with him I guess
 

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