AFL 2020 - AFL Finals Week One (no aftertiming allowed)

[balmainforever]

 

[X_box_X]

 

[GROTTO]

When do the odds come out, I need my next fix.

 

[burge13]

Dogs best there, port at $2 good also

 

[NYRB]

quirky stat but Port Adelaide are the 7th team in VFL/AFL history to start the season from top and end the season on top .




Based on form and history , this Port side will be hard to beat. Should be favourites against Geelong, and favourites in the prelim at home. Reckon they are good shots to make grand final from here at least. (haven't checked odds yet)

 

[GROTTO]

Chism balmainforever can you please make this a sticky. Thanks.

 

[maskmcgee]

quirky stat but Port Adelaide are the 7th team in VFL/AFL history to start the season from top and end the season on top .

View attachment 967260


Based on form and history , this Port side will be hard to beat. Should be favourites against Geelong, and favourites in the prelim at home.

Based on what? They're easily the worst side to go a whole season on top, the second worst minor premier since 2005 (Freo 15'), playing a side which absolutley obliterated them about a month ago, then will come up against a side with a very good record against them at Adelaide Oval in the semis. Very good chance I think of them not winning a game, based on form and history.

Cats by a mile
Tigers by a mile
Dogs
Eagles by a mile.

Too easy, whatever that is, multi it up.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I don't care about any of this until they release the JK Train odds for 4/5/6 vs the Pies.

 

[GROTTO]

Based on what? They're easily the worst side to go a whole season on top, the second worst minor premier since 2005 (Freo 15'), playing a side which absolutley obliterated them about a month ago, then will come up against a side with a very good record against them at Adelaide Oval in the semis. Very good chance I think of them not winning a game, based on form and history.

Cats by a mile
Tigers by a mile
Dogs
Eagles by a mile.

Too easy, whatever that is, multi it up.

Since 119, Port have only beaten the Cats, twice.

However, one of those was the last time the Cats played at Adelaide Oval.

 

[NYRB]

Know records are there to be broken. I'm pretty sure Geelong have a not so good record in finals in Adelaide all up. They are 0-3 in Adelaide for games combined against the SA teams in Finals.


Port at anything above $1.80 for me is a good bet. Just feel like Port match up better against Geelong around the ground as well. I wouldn't look too much into the home and away flogging Port received up there in QLD.

 

[mookieb]

Since 119, Port have only beaten the Cats, twice.

However, one of those was the last time the Cats played at Adelaide Oval.

Last year Cats lost to Port, but that was coming off a bye where they have typically been quite insipid.

 

[GROTTO]

Last year Cats lost to Port, but that was coming off a bye where they have typically been quite insipid.

Hmmm and we have a bye before the finals.

Plot thickens.

Does the Cats have one of the worst records off the bye?

 

[GROTTO]

Punters must have blown their entire load when those odds came out. They have been bashed in.

 

[mookieb]

The prize for the "we're just happy to be here can't believe we finally made the finals" goes to St Kilda.

Close to even money vs WB. Madness. 2u WB -2.5 and a BB on 40+. I'll be staggered if the line doesn't move in WB direction.

 

[mookieb]

Hmmm and we have a bye before the finals.

Plot thickens.

Does the Cats have one of the worst records off the bye?

Cats have been the worst team off a bye, but most of those games were home and away.

I reckon Cats were fantastic for most of the season, but terrible last two games. I won't be touching the game.

 

[balmainforever]

Cats have been the worst team off a bye, but most of those games were home and away.

I reckon Cats were fantastic for most of the season, but terrible last two games. I won't be touching the game.

They did beat Essendon after the "so called" bye this year though. Although Essendon could've actual been the bye and they haven't done anything since?

 

[GROTTO]

Cats have been the worst team off a bye, but most of those games were home and away.

I reckon Cats were fantastic for most of the season, but terrible last two games. I won't be touching the game.

I could be wrong, but the Cats have not won a final outside of Victoria in over 15 years.

Then again, I think they have only played 2 finals outside of Victoria in that time.

 

[balmainforever]

I could be wrong, but the Cats have not won a final outside of Victoria in over 15 years.

Then again, I think they have only played 2 finals outside of Victoria in that time.

Have never won a final outside of Melbourne
2017 preliminary to Adelaide
2013 qualifying to Fremantle (at Geelong)
2005 semi to Sydney
2004 qualifying to Port Adelaide

 

[GROTTO]

Have never won a final outside of Melbourne
2017 preliminary to Adelaide
2013 qualifying to Fremantle (at Geelong)
2005 semi to Sydney
2004 qualifying to Port Adelaide

Never won a final in SA.

0-3 in Finals.

Lost to Crows in '97 at Footy Park. in semi final

 

[5 Bucks]

Can't really get behind the Cats because of what happened in that one match in 1997... They've got players who weren't even born then!

 

[NYRB]

The Bulldogs price is about right, they should start favourite there. Seeing that they are priced around $1.80 .

The talk is just a matter of the venue. Saints v Bulldogs in Adelaide, or Saints v Bulldogs at Metricon . From what I hear, nothing has been confirmed yet in terms of venue.

AFL seem to want the game played in Adelaide , where they can get around 20,000 people. If AFL are looking to save costs, then playing it in QLD seems the logical thing to do.

 

[burge13]

St Kilda are rubbish, I don't think the venue matters for that game. Dogs will want Naughton and Wallis back though, 2 of their best forwards out evens it up a lot (I'd still tip them over saints though).

The game's in Adelaide now anyway.

 

[The_Steadier]

I simply cannot get enough of adding neale for brownlow and serong for rising star to every bet.

Im taking :
tigs u40 + neale and serong @ 3.12

WC u40 + neale and serong @ 3.14

And because I love em, and we torched the dogs earlier in the year and are 2/2 in radelaide this year:
saints u40 + neale and serong @ 3.81

 

[AFLFootyChick]

I simply cannot get enough of adding neale for brownlow and serong for rising star to every bet.

Im taking :
tigs u40 + neale and serong @ 3.12

WC u40 + neale and serong @ 3.14

And because I love em, and we torched the dogs earlier in the year and are 2/2 in radelaide this year:
saints u40 + neale and serong @ 3.81

What do you mean u40? 1-39?

 

[The_Steadier]

What do you mean u40? 1-39?

Yep