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- #201
Mostly clear, light winds...
AFL 2020 - AFL Round 8
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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Mostly clear, light winds...
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,198
- 11,854
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Not sure where your getting your forecast from, but in terms of rain, it will be far less than expected on the Gold Coast last night. They are saying around a 10% chance of rain.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,198
- 11,854
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Nathan Brown from Sportsbet is on a run with his SGM, Im 1 win from 5 attempts following him so I'll go in again. For some reason I reckon he gives better insights for teams he has played before (Bulldogs and Richmond). Below are his reasons and predictions:
SGM:
Richmond 1-39 pts (The Giants have lost every Inside 50 count in 2020 this season)
Under 123.5 points (both of these sides have been low scoring)
Anytime Goalscorer: Toby Greene
Thats paying $8.25
SGM:
Richmond 1-39 pts (The Giants have lost every Inside 50 count in 2020 this season)
Under 123.5 points (both of these sides have been low scoring)
Anytime Goalscorer: Toby Greene
Thats paying $8.25
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I actually like that one
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,198
- 11,854
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Lyyynnnchy the Giants v Tigers game is being played in Sydney
Apologies, still had my screen set to GC haha!
squeaky1000
Team Captain
- Apr 30, 2018
- 368
- 967
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Posted on Afl.com after each round
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,198
- 11,854
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Goalscorer bets from my side:
Dusty Martin to kick 3+ @ $13.Won the Norm Smith medal last year for his goals in the grand final, like Rankine last night,he will get his opportunities in front of goal.
Mabior Chol 2+ @ $10, Chol 3+ @ $61. Spent a bit of time in the forward line last week and he managed 2 goals. Not the worse big tall up there.
Castagna 2+ @ $5, Castagna 3+@ $20, Castagna 4+ @$101
SGM Taranto AGS, Castagna 2+ @ $11.50 (Powerplay to $12.50)
Taranto had his opportunities last week and the Giants gave him more time in the forward line. I see him spending a bit of time up there. Taranto 2+ @ 6.50, Taranto 3+ $23, Taranto 4+ @ 101
Dusty Martin to kick 3+ @ $13.Won the Norm Smith medal last year for his goals in the grand final, like Rankine last night,he will get his opportunities in front of goal.
Mabior Chol 2+ @ $10, Chol 3+ @ $61. Spent a bit of time in the forward line last week and he managed 2 goals. Not the worse big tall up there.
Castagna 2+ @ $5, Castagna 3+@ $20, Castagna 4+ @$101
SGM Taranto AGS, Castagna 2+ @ $11.50 (Powerplay to $12.50)
Taranto had his opportunities last week and the Giants gave him more time in the forward line. I see him spending a bit of time up there. Taranto 2+ @ 6.50, Taranto 3+ $23, Taranto 4+ @ 101
- Mar 27, 2018
- 7,289
- 20,185
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
This one is alright in the sense there is no correlation between the legs, so you are getting the full multiplier.
LionsOrDieTrion
All Australian
- Jun 23, 2020
- 802
- 1,128
- AFL Club
- Brisbane Lions
Just put Richmond h2h, they are unlikely to win 40+ but if they did...
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,198
- 11,854
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
I reckon Brown should put it in a H2H which is $2.25 for Richmond instead of $2.63 for the margin between 1-39 pts for Richmond. Anyone at $15 for Tigers to win by 40+ , I just want to have some insurance for that in case they do win by that much.
- Jun 18, 2013
- 510
- 552
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
Cameron and Lynch to combine for 4+ @$5 on Tab seems decent.
2u Greene 2+ goals @ $3 (SB)
0.5u Greene 3+ goals @ $8 (SB)
Really don't think Richmond have anyone that will be able to contain Toby tonight. If anyone in the Giants team will be up for the GF replay tonight it'll be him. Expecting a big performance.
0.5u Greene 3+ goals @ $8 (SB)
Really don't think Richmond have anyone that will be able to contain Toby tonight. If anyone in the Giants team will be up for the GF replay tonight it'll be him. Expecting a big performance.
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- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,989
- 16,083
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
My only concern betting on Greene is that the umpires officiate him with separate rules to everybody else.
It is shambolic.
He'll get taken high, no free, run to the next contest, lay a solid tackle, whistle, free kick to the opponent for 'high' or 'in the back'.
This means he gets no easy shots on goal, he has to truly earn every single one.
It is shambolic.
He'll get taken high, no free, run to the next contest, lay a solid tackle, whistle, free kick to the opponent for 'high' or 'in the back'.
This means he gets no easy shots on goal, he has to truly earn every single one.
That is true, the umpiring of late has been shambolic, so maybe he gets a few in his favour...
- Jan 21, 2013
- 11,564
- 24,238
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
Love this.
- Jan 21, 2013
- 11,564
- 24,238
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
Mine for the night
Greene 2+
Taranto AGS
Dusty AGS
Perryman 15+
Lambert 15+
@18.25
Greene 2+
Taranto AGS
Dusty AGS
Perryman 15+
Lambert 15+
@18.25
Sorry for clogging up the thread with a few posts, but have two more.
2.5u Coniglio over 20.5 disposals @ $1.80 (lads)
2.5u Whitfield over 22.5 disposals @ $1.80 (lads)
Richmond tend to give up a few disposals to opposing mids, and should happen more so tonight in a game I expect them to get dominated in the midfield battle. Both these guys into form now after slow starts to the season and we get a one disposal better line than what other bookies are offering. Last three weeks we've seen numerous mids up on their season averages: Higgins 36 (22 season average), Dumont 25 (20), Polec 23 (20), Mills 29 (18*), Clarke 23 (18), Petracca 27 (24), Oliver 26 (25). GWS like to control possession, and although I expect a little more urgency tonight, I still believe these are great bets.
2.5u Coniglio over 20.5 disposals @ $1.80 (lads)
2.5u Whitfield over 22.5 disposals @ $1.80 (lads)
Richmond tend to give up a few disposals to opposing mids, and should happen more so tonight in a game I expect them to get dominated in the midfield battle. Both these guys into form now after slow starts to the season and we get a one disposal better line than what other bookies are offering. Last three weeks we've seen numerous mids up on their season averages: Higgins 36 (22 season average), Dumont 25 (20), Polec 23 (20), Mills 29 (18*), Clarke 23 (18), Petracca 27 (24), Oliver 26 (25). GWS like to control possession, and although I expect a little more urgency tonight, I still believe these are great bets.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,198
- 11,854
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Tailed @ $18.22 (but with the boost on Ladbrokes @ $21.66)
Richmond without: Caddy, Cotchin, Astbury, Prestia, Nankervis, Edwards and Houli.
This is the Richmond back 6: Broad, Grimes, Balta, Short, Vlaustuin and Naish. I don't know about you guys but the more i think about it the more, I think GWS forwards will carve this defence out, if they ball gets inside the Giants forward 50. I think the Giants will win this, their midfield is also a bit more harder and faster than the Tigers midfielders.
yousnoozeyoulose
Debutant
- Sep 7, 2011
- 138
- 95
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
I always have a thing for GWS midfielders sneaking a goal. Beteasy has fantastic odds. Kelly inparticular is my favourite, he always finds himself forward and manufactures a chance for himself, he has kicked a goal 2/6 games so far this season but in every game he has had atleast one shot at goal. You can argue that with Greene back in the side and Taranto resting forward that itll be less likely for a Kelly goal but I think the odds are tasty.
Kelly AGS @ $4.00
Taranto AGS @ $3.00
And for those liking Taranto 2+ he's $11 @ BE
Kelly AGS @ $4.00
Taranto AGS @ $3.00
And for those liking Taranto 2+ he's $11 @ BE
- Jun 13, 2016
- 2,441
- 23,892
- AFL Club
- Essendon
GWS have brought in 2 forwards and only dropped 1 meaning i think Taranto will spend more time up the ground this week sadly.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,198
- 11,854
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Damn feel like I got shortchanged for 2+ with Taranto at Sportsbet. Thanks for the spot, taken him for 2+ at BetEasy @ 11.
