AFL 2022 AFL Round 16

[balmainforever]

POSTING OF BETS AND RESULTS AFTER THE FACT WILL NOT BE TOLERATED ANYMORE!!
ANYONE WHO DOES IT WILL BE GIVEN A HOLIDAY.

CONSIDER THIS EVERYONE'S FINAL WARNING!!!!!!

 

[natooo]

Bailey Williams to spend more time forward with Kennedy out and Nic nat back in the ruck. 2/3 12/26 pb

 

[Selim]

both these look good so far but 2nd halves are my Kryptonite this year

curse of the 2nd halves strikes again woooo

 

[BloodRet]

Nah I was simply saying he didn't have to kick around the corner. And yeah I might get a bit carried away at times but s**t happens

I get the frustration 35 out straight in front when there’s money on the line have a crack at the campaigner this thread is for letting off steam also and keep telling the people who don’t like it who post none of their own multies to get ****ed

 

[BloodRet]

I'm out, Having a week or two off

You’ll be back winning mate, you’re a good punter I see you just out of luck like a lot of us

 

[NYRB]

Dont mind the Tackles market for tomorrows game between GWS V Hawks on the Giants players. Newcombe is a kid and o"meara doesnt have the tank as he did 2-3 seasons ago. Fancy Josh Kelly or Coniglio to win this market in a 4 horse race.



If your feeling brave Coniglio 8+ Tackles paying $4.60, Josh Kelly 10+ Tackles at $10.

Its going to be a slop tomorrow in Sydney and a lot of ground ball and in and unders. It will be a scrap.

 

[NYRB]

Toby Greene

4

Toby Greene

Age

31

Ht

182cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.7

5star

K

12.5

5star

HB

10.2

5star

M

4.8

5star

T

3.0

5star

G

1.2

4star

D

17.5

4star

K

9.5

4star

HB

8.0

4star

M

4.8

4star

T

1.0

2star

G

2.3

5star

D

26.6

5star

K

12.4

5star

HB

14.2

5star

M

4.8

5star

T

3.6

5star

G

0.0

1star

is on a run of 28 matches in a row with at least a goal.

If there is a game where he might not score a goal tomorrow, tomorrow might be the game, with a swimming pool predicted at the Showgrounds.

$7 is overs for 'Exactly 0 Goals'. Would be happy to push that down to around $5.50 or so.

but even 1 Exactly 1 goal doesnt look too shabby.

 

[BloodRet]

Toby Greene is on a run of 28 matches in a row with at least a goal.

If there is a game where he might not score a goal tomorrow, tomorrow might be the game, with a swimming pool predicted at the Showgrounds.

$7 is overs for 'Exactly 0 Goals'. Would be happy to push that down to around $5.50 or so.

but even 1 Exactly 1 goal doesnt look too shabby.

View attachment 1438202

Could be more value in the tall forwards to go goalless for that market. Mitch Lewis and Kozi @4 and 2.15 respectively. I much prefer kozi to go goalless and would bet on it if I could multi it with other legs but it’s singles only

 

[Jugada]

Few spec tackles multis for tomorrow just in case its a slog in the mud

Kelly 10, Omeara 10, Newcombe 10, Cogs 8

Any 3 @ 423, 289, 450, 327
All 4 @ 1800

 

[BloodRet]

Kyrgios nadal reiwoldt 2 Bolton 2 Ryan Rioli /Greene 2 / marshall 2 Burgoyne @38.5 lads boosted

 

[BloodRet]

Toby most goals/Reiwoldt 2 Darling Ryan/ Marshall 2 Taberner 2 @19 lads boosted

 

[dontlimitme]

144 points from geelong, 21 goals 18 behinds and rohan doesn't score as a full forward. incredible

 

[BloodRet]

144 points from geelong, 21 goals 18 behinds and rohan doesn't score as a full forward. incredible

Would've undone so many multies, **** he's useless a lot of the time

 

[GROTTO]

GROTTO thank you king!!!

Thanks for the compliment champ,my pleasure.

 

[GROTTO]

144 points from geelong, 21 goals 18 behinds and rohan doesn't score as a full forward. incredible

Rohan is too busy with Physio to worry about goal scoring.

He is kicking his goals off the field.

 

[teamlenny]

Dont mind the Tackles market for tomorrows game between GWS V Hawks on the Giants players. Newcombe is a kid and o"meara doesnt have the tank as he did 2-3 seasons ago. Fancy Josh Kelly or Coniglio to win this market in a 4 horse race.

View attachment 1438194

If your feeling brave Coniglio 8+ Tackles paying $4.60, Josh Kelly 10+ Tackles at $10.

Its going to be a slop tomorrow in Sydney and a lot of ground ball and in and unders. It will be a scrap.

116% group of 4 there, you are going to struggle to beat that in something that is hard to predict due to the randomness of tackles long term.
The alternate tackles look a better play

 

[lebsta]

I live about 10 mins away from Sydney showgrounds - terrential heavy rain the last 48 hours. Could be the worst conditions seen in an AFL game in some time. Best of luck today gents.

 

[teamlenny]

Few spec tackles multis for tomorrow just in case its a slog in the mud

Kelly 10, Omeara 10, Newcombe 10, Cogs 8

Any 3 @ 423, 289, 450, 327
All 4 @ 1800

Are these with Pointsbet as does not look like they allow you to add from the same market for them?

 

[NYRB]

Weather outside Sydney now. Live 25 minutes from the ground.

View attachment IMG_1839.MOV

 

[fpm84]

Are these with Pointsbet as does not look like they allow you to add from the same market for them?

I got:

JOM 6+ tackles
Kelly 6+ tackles
Cogs 8+ tackles
Newcombe 8+ tackles
Total points under 119

For $99 (boosted) at PB.

 

[Kiddbrown]

Richmond 100+.
$15. Sb

 

[NYRB]

I havent stepped outside today but I was next door yesterday at Accor Stadium at the Showgrounds. Rained seemed heavier yesterday than today.

As I speak I dont think the rain is pouring down that badly right now. Things may change closer to game time.

 

[NYRB]

116% group of 4 there, you are going to struggle to beat that in something that is hard to predict due to the randomness of tackles long term.
The alternate tackles look a better play

116% margin is a high one but its a bit of a novelty market. So long as you can pick what you think is value, im happy to take . You wont see any other bookie offering a 'Tackles' market .

Where high margins pis$ me off, is in the common markets like Total Match Points, where bookies like Sportsbet cap stuff on goalscorers, Total Match points etc

Ive heard of instances of where you can barter with a sports betting company to get better prices, which I think should be an option.

 

[teamlenny]

116% margin is a high one but its a bit of a novelty market. So long as you can pick what you think is value, im happy to take . You wont see any other bookie offering a 'Tackles' market .

Where high margins pis$ me off, is in the common markets like Total Match Points, where bookies like Sportsbet cap stuff on goalscorers, Total Match points etc

Ive heard of instances of where you can barter with a sports betting company to get better prices, which I think should be an option.

you are not going to haggle with big corps like pointsbet to get better margins, any adjustments they make to them would be to do with their own interests and not just suiting one customer.

if you can find value in that tackle market I would be backing that player alternate tackles instead given the higher variance on offer in the stat. Unlikely to win the group and not hit them given the conditions today

 

[kicksome]

Who are the best contested possession players for Hawks and GWS ?
Since it'll be wet I might just do a SGM for disposals on all the players that can get their own ball

 

[teamlenny]

Who are the best contested possession players for Hawks and GWS ?
Since it'll be wet I might just do a SGM for disposals on all the players that can get their own ball

Green, Mitchell, JOM & Newcombe, other starting mids like Cogs, Worpel, Kelly also going to see an uptick.
Maybe avoid Ward who is maybe squeezed out of midfield today.