AFL 2022 Brownlow Medal

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anybody who posts bets after the count is over on Sunday without putting them up first WILL BE CARDED
 
Rich vs PtA
L Baker
D Prestia
K Amon

Ess vs Carl
S Docherty
H McKay
P Cripps

Fre vs Haw
A Brayshaw
C Serong
J O’ Meara

Bris vs StK
L Neale
H McCluggage
J Lyons

Nth vs GWS
S Coniglio
H Himmelberg
T Green

Coll vs Melb
C Oliver
B Mihocek
M Cox
 

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Neale should get 3 votes in the following 8 games: rounds 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13

I think round 1 is the only potential shortfall.

Round 8 should get 2 votes McCluggage

Outside chance of polling a vote or two in rounds 3 and 4

I think a range of 22-25, with 23 or 24 being the most likely numbers.
 

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Going to keep a close eye on Jack Sinclair over the next couple of weeks. Currently at $10 for most St Kilda votes and I've got him 1 vote behind Higgins who has been very quiet after a solid first few weeks of the season. Current market - Steele $2.75, Gresham $4, Crouch $4.50, King $8, Higgins $9.

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dont know what Betfair have done this year with their predictor, it looks like they have updated their site on a week by week basis and excluded the previews of the earlier rounds. Cant seem to access the Round by Round votes but can access their table and last rounds analysis. Their totals seem a bit off looking at Rds: 2,3 ,7, 9, 10 and 13. For Rd 3, their sum of votes is 50 votes for the Round which cant be right, as there is total of 54 allocated votes for the Round. (it might be an input error on their tables from their side) I havent seen their whole week-to-week reviews for this year , so cant say how reliable they are for this year.

Before You Bet had a pretty good strike rate from 165 games they predicted last year for the 3 Votes, getting 124/165. They seemed less reliable on games where the higher weighted was weighted equal highest with 2.5 votes.
 
TheJanuaryMan said:
Less than two weeks out from the start of the season and it's that time of year again. Looking toward the 2022 Brownlow. As I say each year, do your own counts in real time and never forget, the real value is often not in the winner but in the team votes, H2H and the like. Team Votes give you 18 chances to win, for example.

My pre-season stable this year:
Lachie Neale: $10
Jack Steele: $12
Sam Walsh: $34 (I'm aware he will miss games early but if the leaders start slowly, this price won't last if he returns the same way he finished last year)
Andrew Brayshaw: $51
Matt Rowell: $67
Bailey Smith: $81
Tim Kelly: $81
Zac Butters: $151

Best of luck, all who play in 2022. As I asked last year, please strongly consider donating a % of any winnings to the magnificent people at Beyond Blue. Each day, we lose around 7 men to suicide. That is 7 too many. They need our support.
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Wish I’d taken your $51 on Brayshaw but I don’t ever bet on long term events. I need the dopamine hits of SGM.
 
EFL Boy said:
Have Crouch 2 behind. Initially saw it as a huge chance to grab some value for Steele but now think Crouch should have a 2-5 vote lead by the time Steele is back. $5 for Crouch right now is way overs.
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Think it did work out as a great value grab for Steele in the end. Due back this week.
 
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