balmainforever
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- Sep 4, 2003
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anybody who posts bets after the count is over on Sunday without putting them up first WILL BE CARDED
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AFLW 2024 - Round 4 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2022 Brownlow Medal
- Thread starter TheJanuaryMan
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In previous years, Sportsbet have had hourly specials on the Brownlow.
Is this happening today?
Is this happening today?
I'm going to have a go at this but will leave Laird out, think it will tight with him and Keays.
When I tried this I had like 18 legs in it just mucking around, then when I done it on topsport it would only let me do a max of 8 legs, so maybe PB was similar.
If that's the case I'm going to do a heap of 8 leg bets tonight with $1.10 chances for 3 votes. See if I can finish in the green with that
This surprises me. I don't have him close to the 3 or 2 round 1, might sneak a 1, not close to being in the votes round 2, and a contender round 3.
Do you mind if you have time if you share your votes for the 3 Saints games and some reasoning? Cheers
I did last year, was at 80% of my limit for losses after first 5 rounds, but came back with a vengeance round 7-23. Once you get on a role and turning over the stake and profits you can get some real decent wins.
Solely based on last year go easy rounds 1-5 as that's where the surprises were for me.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 34,725
- 10,563
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
I agree with you on Rd 4 on Parish, looks a bit short. TAB have $1.07 on Parish, TopSport $1.10, Sportsbet $1.20, PointsBet $1.08. Sportsbet had Parish at $1.05 on my record a few days ago, so I think they probably had money in for other guys.
Personally there are better bets at the Brownlow and upon reviewing my odds, Parish was not best on ground for me in that game.
(PS- Also want to thank @ teamlenny who I had a bit of debate earlier this year, he has helped me get a better understanding of backing odds and the margins. )
- Oct 6, 2011
- 34,725
- 10,563
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Was playing around with the TopSport Round by Round algorithm last night, they allowed up to 10 legs. Was doing for a bit of fun: 2 x Western Derby medal winners, 2 x Showdown Medal Winners, Queens Birthday Medal Winner, 2 x Sydney Derby medal winners, 2 Q Clash medal winners and the Ian Stewart Medal, came to odds of around mid 10ish, tried also to add an 11th leg, the Dream Time medal game, and it wouldnt allow me to add.
- Aug 16, 2009
- 1,499
- 3,070
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Anyone else have Roarke Smith polling in the Dogs round 23 game? Dunkley was the clear 3 then no one else really stood out from the Dogs point of view so could be a bit of a raffle for votes. Surprised to see he's still $5 to poll a vote, I've taken him in a couple of different combination of multis to add a bit of value.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 34,725
- 10,563
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
After yesterdays Sydney v Collingwood prelim final, not sure anyone can trust the umpires to allocate the votes correctly or spot on.
That Ginnivan 50 metre penalty has to be one of the worst decisions ever in a final (watching footy for nearly 30 years) and the hands in the back from Quaynor to Papley was not right call.
That Ginnivan 50 metre penalty has to be one of the worst decisions ever in a final (watching footy for nearly 30 years) and the hands in the back from Quaynor to Papley was not right call.
Do you mean when Papley put his hands in the side of Moore? I'm happy for Papley to both be paid a mark there because first look was he took it, he didn't push Moore, and Quaynor did jump on him.
There's gonna be a few surprises but most years the umps pay a standout 3 a 3, most surprises are in the shitty dour games when a mid might have maxed out at 30 touches but they were useless and a defender or a small forward kicking 3 steals it
This is what I'm rocking with boys. Way better odds on ladbrokes compared to SB.
I'm also on Lachie Neale to win.
I just think he stands out more in brisbane and gets more quality possessions.
Oliver is good but has a lot of cheap possessions and isn't as clean with the footy.
Also has a lot of star players the umpires will recognise too.
I'm also on Lachie Neale to win.
I just think he stands out more in brisbane and gets more quality possessions.
Oliver is good but has a lot of cheap possessions and isn't as clean with the footy.
Also has a lot of star players the umpires will recognise too.
Attachments
To poll a vote
And games to poll in
Frampton round 6 - 26d 8m
Silvagni round 10 - 20d 2g
Jeffrey round 10 - 5 goals
Budarick round 12 - 25d
Mcinerney round 21 - 19d 37ho
Ceglar round 23 - 24d 29ho
Roarke Smith round 23 - 19d 3g
$679 boosted
And games to poll in
Frampton round 6 - 26d 8m
Silvagni round 10 - 20d 2g
Jeffrey round 10 - 5 goals
Budarick round 12 - 25d
Mcinerney round 21 - 19d 37ho
Ceglar round 23 - 24d 29ho
Roarke Smith round 23 - 19d 3g
$679 boosted
- Oct 6, 2011
- 34,725
- 10,563
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Margins from the Rd 4 Essendon v Adelaide
Would be short changing yourself if you backed Laird there at $4.00. Ladbrokes have a higher margin but have more options. Palmerbet the least competitive bookmaker of that lot with 4 runners only.
Would be short changing yourself if you backed Laird there at $4.00. Ladbrokes have a higher margin but have more options. Palmerbet the least competitive bookmaker of that lot with 4 runners only.
- Banned
- #1,292
Can’t see Steele being on 5 votes after round 3 let alone 9
Could be Sinclair in the saints votes round 1 , but I’m personally hoping hayes gets atleast 1. Was absolutely everywhere when the game was on the line and booted 3
I’ve multied him into many things, like juh a vote , Martin a vote , etc
Also hoping membrey can get a vote somewhere as similar to hayes against Carlton. Not numbers like some mids but stood up and won the game when it mattered
Gone hard on brayshaw leader round 5 with keys as a backup at massive odds
Could be Sinclair in the saints votes round 1 , but I’m personally hoping hayes gets atleast 1. Was absolutely everywhere when the game was on the line and booted 3
I’ve multied him into many things, like juh a vote , Martin a vote , etc
Also hoping membrey can get a vote somewhere as similar to hayes against Carlton. Not numbers like some mids but stood up and won the game when it mattered
Gone hard on brayshaw leader round 5 with keys as a backup at massive odds
- Oct 6, 2011
- 34,725
- 10,563
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
I got 3 of those 7 polling. My only worry a few of those guys, not sure if the umps would even know them.
But hey why not , i might tail it as Adelaide were one of my least watched teams in 2022.
Also gone for my own one
May
Lever
Banfield
McStay
Sam Taylor
Langford
Membrey
All to poll a vote at 46.51
To poll a vote: Heath Chapman @ $3.50
Coaches votes
Round 3
West Coast v Fremantle
10 Lachie Schultz (FRE)
6 Jeremy McGovern (WCE)
4 Shannon Hurn (WCE)
4 Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)
4 Heath Chapman (FRE)
1 Blake Acres (FRE)
1 Sam Switkowski (FRE)
Round 4
Fremantle v GWS
10 Will Brodie (FRE)
8 Heath Chapman (FRE)
3 Griffin Logue (FRE)
3 Brennan Cox (FRE)
2 Nathan O'Driscoll (FRE)
2 Lachlan Keeffe (GWS)
1 Isaac Cumming (GWS)
1 Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)
10 Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)
7 Will Brodie (FRE)
4 Heath Chapman (FRE)
4 Sean Darcy (FRE)
3 Caleb Serong (FRE)
1 Bailey Banfield (FRE)
1 Jordan Clark (FRE)
Spoil vs Adelaide Rd 1 could snatch a vote as well.
Coaches votes
Round 3
West Coast v Fremantle
10 Lachie Schultz (FRE)
6 Jeremy McGovern (WCE)
4 Shannon Hurn (WCE)
4 Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)
4 Heath Chapman (FRE)
1 Blake Acres (FRE)
1 Sam Switkowski (FRE)
Round 4
Fremantle v GWS
10 Will Brodie (FRE)
8 Heath Chapman (FRE)
3 Griffin Logue (FRE)
3 Brennan Cox (FRE)
2 Nathan O'Driscoll (FRE)
2 Lachlan Keeffe (GWS)
1 Isaac Cumming (GWS)
1 Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)
Round 8
Fremantle v North Melbourne
10 Andrew Brayshaw (FRE)
7 Will Brodie (FRE)
4 Heath Chapman (FRE)
4 Sean Darcy (FRE)
3 Caleb Serong (FRE)
1 Bailey Banfield (FRE)
1 Jordan Clark (FRE)
Spoil vs Adelaide Rd 1 could snatch a vote as well.
Nicktheguy
Debutant
- May 12, 2015
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Bossbet promo
Any of Neale, Oliver, Cripps to win the brownlow
$2 odds, max bet $20
Any of Neale, Oliver, Cripps to win the brownlow
$2 odds, max bet $20
- Oct 6, 2011
- 34,725
- 10,563
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
If there is a better price somewhere than 46.51, and someone allows multi, id love to top up a bit more. Not sure what a fair price is , just going off my instinct and the games Ive seen those guys play.
Banfield had a very good game against Brisbane in Rd 12. Freo were the underodgs in that game, so I think the umps will side with the underdog there.
May/Lever are well known for their defensive duties . For me, they both have multiple games to get a vote or 2.
Can see also the last 4 getting potentially Top 2 votes on the ground. Langford and Membrey both kicked goals so will get noticed. McStay has a couple of games where he could bag a vote.
Sam Taylor was excellent in the last game of the season.
Banfield had a very good game against Brisbane in Rd 12. Freo were the underodgs in that game, so I think the umps will side with the underdog there.
May/Lever are well known for their defensive duties . For me, they both have multiple games to get a vote or 2.
Can see also the last 4 getting potentially Top 2 votes on the ground. Langford and Membrey both kicked goals so will get noticed. McStay has a couple of games where he could bag a vote.
Sam Taylor was excellent in the last game of the season.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 34,725
- 10,563
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Decided to add Chapman to Poll a vote
May
Lever
Banfield
McStay
Sam Taylor
Langford
Membrey
Chapman
to boost it odds of 162.79 for all 8 players to poll a vote. Who will let me down there?
He had a shocker round 1?
I certainly don't expect it to get up but I mean it's $670 odds for a reason, all played games where they were top 5 on the field for me so to me I think it is worthwhile.
Out of interest, which 3 do you have polling as I have 4 very good chances plus a 5th who only position is holding him back (Frampton). And I think the umps know all the players, some standout more but they know all the names when putting the man on the mark etc.
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