balmainforever
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anybody who posts bets after the count is over on Sunday without putting them up first WILL BE CARDED
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AFLW 2024 - Round 6 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2022 Brownlow Medal
- Thread starter TheJanuaryMan
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- Oct 6, 2011
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The 3, 2, 1 was agreed from the commentary team of Brad Johnson and Gerard Healy for Sydney v Adelaide. the 1 was a bit of a debate between Laird and Sam Berry for me.
Think Oliver a chance to sneak the 1, had a monster first half.
Neale 1 or 2, miller was fantastic.
Neale didn’t stand out at all I thought.
Miller, Ellis, Anderson and even Witts were the best 4 players in my eyes but surely Brisbane players have to poll in win… neale and Mcluggage best out of them probably . Bit of a raffle really.
- Oct 6, 2011
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i Agree with you I think Oliver can poll the 2 votes here.
But the 3 looks safe for the Bont i would imagine. Dont think you will get 2.20+ . Would have a play at 2.40+ ish if available. The 2 and 1 could be switched here. Using a 113% margin as Id be keen to have a look at the top 4 players listed there.
- Oct 6, 2011
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I find with the Q-Clashes, whoever usually wins the Best on Ground Medal, usually polls the 3 on Brownlow night.
- Oct 6, 2011
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Sportsbet if your reading this , would love odds of 6/1+ for Ugle-Hagan or English at odds of 19/2+ for Rd 19: Bulldogs v Melbourne. Would be keen to have a look at those odds for BOG.
- Oct 6, 2011
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The Q-Clash Medal tally:
Brave man to bet against Touk. But you can go with your instinct if you feel that way.
Up until 3qtr time I thought Miller was easily best player on the ground.
Got shut down a bit in the last though.
Yeh pretty shocked you can still get $4 now for Neale after that game
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3 Saad
2 Cripps
1 Walsh
?
2 Cripps
1 Walsh
?
- Oct 6, 2011
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Dawggin It
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How Brayshaw polls early is going to be one of the more interesting factors on the night.
Umpires showed with Walsh last year that they are willing to reward elite outside players but the trend over the last decade+ has been for clearance winning/contested midfielders.
Neale and Oliver seem well ahead on that front this year. I wouldn't be surprised to see brayshaw under poll relative to current predictions.
Case in point - previous poster who didn't notice Neale as much this week - he had 10 clearances and 7 inside 50s. Plenty of quick release handballs in traffic that aren't obvious on tv but I bet the umps see them.
Umpires showed with Walsh last year that they are willing to reward elite outside players but the trend over the last decade+ has been for clearance winning/contested midfielders.
Neale and Oliver seem well ahead on that front this year. I wouldn't be surprised to see brayshaw under poll relative to current predictions.
Case in point - previous poster who didn't notice Neale as much this week - he had 10 clearances and 7 inside 50s. Plenty of quick release handballs in traffic that aren't obvious on tv but I bet the umps see them.
I noticed Neale plenty of times doing the replays this morning clear best on for mine
Umm, Brayshaw? Took a few standout intercept marks and got a lot of it. Wouldn't surprise me if he polled here. But it's a hard game to call.
- Oct 6, 2011
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Think in a Bulldogs win, very hard to pick him for the 3 votes. Maybe it was just me but I didnt notice him as much. Might be good for a 1 or 2 vote.
The Brownlow Guru
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Very clear
3. Bontempelli
2. JUH
I thought. Anyone else is battling it out for 1 vote. Oliver had minimal impact in the 4th so I have him missing out.
3. Bontempelli
2. JUH
I thought. Anyone else is battling it out for 1 vote. Oliver had minimal impact in the 4th so I have him missing out.
thoughts on the Brissy Game?
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If umps are swayed by the medal winner, then Touk Miller will get the 3 votes.
Neale could just easily get the 3 votes too. If not, then 2 for Neale.
Starcevich the 1 vote.
So, it's either...
Miller - 3
Neale - 2
Starcevich - 1
OR
Neale - 3
Miller - 2
Starcevich 1
Last edited:
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Not really concerned RE Brayshaw under-polling. Has shown an ability to poll when he plays well in previous seasons, coupled with the extra wins this season, pretty confident. But yes, first few rounds will tell how that goes.
Obviously a very small sample size here but in previous games in which he has had 25+ disposals and Fremantle have won, he has polled 13 votes from 8 games at an average of 1.6 votes per game.
This season he has done this in every single win, so 12 games.
Obviously a very small sample size here but in previous games in which he has had 25+ disposals and Fremantle have won, he has polled 13 votes from 8 games at an average of 1.6 votes per game.
This season he has done this in every single win, so 12 games.
yeh interesting neale hasn't formed in the betting though he would come in a fair bit based of Oliver not really polling and Brayshaw
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