AFL 2023 - AFL Round 10 (Sir Doug Nicholls Round - part 1)

[balmainforever]

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Darcy Cameron

14

Darcy Cameron

Age

29

Ht

204cm

Wt

103kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

6.0

1star

K

3.3

1star

HB

2.7

2star

CL

0.3

2star

HO

5.3

5star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

CL

0.5

3star

HO

3.5

5star

D

6.0

2star

K

3.3

2star

HB

2.7

3star

CL

0.3

2star

HO

5.3

5star

1,2,3 @ 2.85,13,71

365

 

[NYRB]

Barrass is a huge loss for West Coast as mentioned by HTPunter. Barrass took 18 marks last year against Hawks. Dont think West Coast have that great intercept marks down back without: Barrass, Hurn, Shuey and McGovern.

West Coast defence looks a bit undersized, inexperienced and a little bit light at the back. Im assuming Mitch Lewis plays on Harry Edwards today, Koschitzke gets Bazzo. Harry Edwards doesnt move as good to Lewis compared.

Surely if there is a game Koschitzke fires, its a game like today. He has been a player that has let me down quite a bit in the past. This is a ground he performs best in the AFL as well. (Best Goal per game ratio) Match up wise, I dont think Rhett Bazzo will be strong enough to play 1 on 1 against him . Only weights 86 kilograms and gives up a centimetre or so in height.


So Ill go the Sportsbet Free hit

Mitch Lewis 3+ Goals
Koschitzke 2+ Goals
Waterman 2+ Goals
Odds: $8.50

Ive taken a slightly modified bet at PointsBet, which pays better odds and requires one less goal:

Mitch Lewis 2+ Goals
Koschitzke 2+ Goals
Waterman 2+ Goals
Odds: $9.34

Ive also done doubles for Mitch Lewis 3+ Goals, Koschitzke 2+ Goals, Waterman 2+ Goals. (at TopSport)


And this is a bit more of speculative play since Nash has been named in the forward line and can use his 198 centimetre to stretch that undermanned West Coast defence.
Mitch Lewis 2+ Goals
Koschitzke 2+ Goals
Waterman 2+ Goals
Nash Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: $37.03 (PointsBet)


And in case its a low scoring game, can see each of these getting on the scoreboard. I think Hawthorn may look to go more to Brockman today since its the Sir Doug Nicholls round.
Under 169.5 Total Match Points
Brockman 2+ Goals
Petruccelle Anytime Goalscorer
Dylan Moore Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: $27 (PointsBet)

I don’t usually like cashing out bets but Waterman is playing too deep and hasn’t really had a look at goals. I’m happy to cash out that first bet as I’d price probably around $5.50 so alone for Waterman to snag 2+ goals in the 2nd half.

If the bet gets up , I’m happy to live with that.

 

[dontlimitme]

I don’t usually like cashing out bets but Waterman is playing too deep and hasn’t really had a look at goals. I’m happy to cash out that first bet as I’d price probably around $5.50 so alone for Waterman to snag 2+ goals in the 2nd half.

If the bet gets up , I’m happy to live with that.

View attachment 1692928

 

[Robo87]

hoskin elliot 2+ @ 12 on sb

yes taken WHE 2g+ @12
also WHE ags @2.85
WHE 3g+ @41

 

[_ASP3X]

hoskin elliot 2+ @ 12 on sb

Alright, lets do this again.

WHE AGS - 1u @ $2.45
WHE 2+ - 1.5u @ $10
WHE 3+ - 0.65u @ $26

 

[GROTTO]

yes taken WHE 2g+ @12
also WHE ags @2.85
WHE 3g+ @41

 

[Robo87]

is that you at the house of the CEO of SB when hes not home?

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Cottrell 1,2,3 @ 3.10,17,91

365

 

[badusername]

hoskin elliot 2+ @ 12 on sb

Down to $10 now but also tailed.

 

[GROTTO]

is that you at the house of the CEO of SB when hes not home?

Bet365 CEO house.

 

[badusername]

Down to $10 now but also tailed.

Lucky to get on at $10, now at $5.25 a few minutes later.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

I don’t usually like cashing out bets but Waterman is playing too deep and hasn’t really had a look at goals. I’m happy to cash out that first bet as I’d price probably around $5.50 so alone for Waterman to snag 2+ goals in the 2nd half.

If the bet gets up , I’m happy to live with that.

View attachment 1692928

Waterman looks like his up @ FF

 

[BloodRet]

With Darcy Cameron

14

Darcy Cameron

Age

29

Ht

204cm

Wt

103kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

6.0

1star

K

3.3

1star

HB

2.7

2star

CL

0.3

2star

HO

5.3

5star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

CL

0.5

3star

HO

3.5

5star

D

6.0

2star

K

3.3

2star

HB

2.7

3star

CL

0.3

2star

HO

5.3

5star

coming in I’m taking the Johnson train , hoping Cameron takes the second ruck duties

Johnson 3-5 @8, 26, 75 topsport

 

[BloodRet]

Also Elliot 3-5, he’s due for a big game been a bit quiet of late. This is his kind of game to catch a burner

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Anyone else get some completely busted cashout offers in the last quarter of the Brisbane GC game on SB last night? Had this dumb bet which was completely cooked sitting at $0 cashout then all of a sudden spiked massively. Another mate had something similar. Guessing someone at SB is getting the ass today
View attachment 1692778


Full degen bet for today, Lewis & Allen goal each quarter $128 SB

Allen letting the team down

 

[NYRB]

Waterman looks like his up @ FF

The problem for West Coast is the ball supply up to the forwards has been slow and a bit too 1 dimensional. Easy pickings for the Hawks defence.

 

[Robo87]

Also Elliot 3-5, he’s due for a big game been a bit quiet of late. This is his kind of game to catch a burner

tailing aswell. same thoughts! and he doesnt like to share the ball either.

 

[tangolikelama]

Never cash out crew

 

[Robo87]

Lucky to get on at $10, now at $5.25 a few minutes later.

the entire bigfooty has hit sb. theyre running scared.

 

[GROTTO]

Also Elliot 3-5, he’s due for a big game been a bit quiet of late. This is his kind of game to catch a burner

tailing aswell. same thoughts! and he doesnt like to share the ball either.

Tailed, he can take us home with 5+ today, come on.

 

[GROTTO]

Hill has special boots today, take me home with 4+ and No Gin in the way.

 

[BloodRet]

You can still get 9.50, 41 for hoskin elliot at pb lads

 

[toenail11]

Tailing Elliot for 4
Also got on whe for 2 and 3

McKay 5 @40

 

[badusername]

9/15 of 3+ last year, 5/15 of 4+. Working his way into fitness this year in 3 decent losses - today against no McGov/Barrass/H.Edwards (their 3rd tall) he should have a bag in him.

$4.25 for 4 seems value on that basis

I stand corrected! Well played sir. I just personally don't tend to go for any more than 3+ goals.

 

[BloodRet]

McKay 3
Elliot 2
Hill 2
Hoskin elliot
Cripps
@46.25