AFL 2023 - AFL Round 12

[balmainforever]

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Tailed String

 

[tominator8]

EDDIE FORD 3+ @34 SB LOCK

 

[Robo87]

langers!!!!

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Martin yesss

Another 4 please

 

[Selim]

Stringer playing to much midfield for my liking here

 

[Fizza]

CCJ off and running

 

[NYRB]

AFL Stat Multiplier Spreads for Giants v Richmond. Trends based on past 3 years for players. A few reasoning behind of each of the plays.

View attachment 1704223
$1 Stakes

Brent Daniels UNDER 107- this is about 45 points too high. Had a good game last week but 2 goals still should be able to see profit on this selection. I dont also recall him from the past being in the triple digit line.

Callan Ward OVER 48- Have him pencilled in for a goal today, and his averages from last 3 seasons suggets an over is a solid play.

Shai Bolton UNDER 214- To keep it simple , he goes under this line in 45 of his last 54 games. He also averages 142.12 in the stat multiplier in last 3 seasons.

Graham OVER 38- Can oblige with a goal and with a low line.

$0.75 Stakes

Coniglio OVER 97- I feel this is a better selection than taking him on for a goal at $2.50 or thereabouts with sportsbooks. A goal will cover his 97 line based on stats.

$0.50 Stakes

Tom Green OVER 92- Tom Green plays better in home fixtures than away fixtures. Home fixtures= Showgrounds/Manuka Oval/Sydney Olympic Stadium (Accor Stadium). Some interesting stats, in the last 55 AFL games: Tom Green has 16 goals from 24 home games. And at the same time, Tom Green has 6 goals from 31 away games. So he clearly is a player that prefers home surroundings. And I missed out on the week he got 1071 in his Stat Multiplier down at Manuka. Lets go against the trend and back him in for a goal today.


Note Graham- has changed to 41 line now at the time of writing, which Ill use in my final P & L.

Result of the Stat Multiplier (Goals x Kicks x Handballs) Tips using $0.50, $0.75 and $1 stakes.

$1 Stakes

Brent Daniels UNDER 107=+$107

Callan Ward OVER 48=+$192

Shai Bolton UNDER 214=+$88

Graham OVER 41=-$21

$0.75 Stakes

Coniglio OVER 97=-$72.75

$0.50 Stakes

Tom Green OVER 92=-$46


Overall Net Profit and Loss for the Stat Multiplier for Giants v Tigers= +$247.25



Still down for the 2 matches overall this round but made some recovery today match.

 

[Fizza]

FFS string

 

[Selim]

Stringer wtf

 

[Selim]

Shocking first half only hope is Langford

 

[Robo87]

no essendon goals in that quarter - get your ShiP together essendon!

 

[Suncraze]

Bombers -17.5 LIVE TAB

 

[Whit3y]

1 more would be lovely

Did he get it?

 

[TryAnHit]

Langford 3+ goals, 6+ marks $5.30 (BYO Sportsbet)

He's done this 3/11 matches this year.

The combo is ~ double the straight up 3+ goals odds of $2.70 despite hitting the marks hurdle in 8/11 matches and each time he's kicked 3+.

So you're getting value on the combo (vs individual legs), even before you account for the fact the two legs are highly correlated.

Thanks for this

 

[Robo87]

Langers station 3! yes

 

[Selim]

with

Zurhaar 2-5 @2.40, 5.90, 17, 51

Coleman Jones 2-4 @4.25, 13, 61

Draper 2-4 @4.35, 10, 34

Guelfi 2-4 @3.15, 8.50, 26

Zurhaar, Guelfi, Jones all on 1 goal

Langford on 3 goals

surely some of these gotta start hitting

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Martin!!!

 

[Suncraze]

Bombers -17.5 LIVE TAB

Adding -18.5 TAB

 

[Mazza1234678]

Someone shoot me for thinking Weideman could kick a goal against the Roos

This campaigner is pathetic

 

[TryAnHit]

with

Zurhaar, Guelfi, Jones all on 1 goal

Langford on 3 goals

surely some of these gotta start hitting

I feel ya
Gws v tigers was a coma game... all finhsing on 1

 

[Selim]

finally Zurhaar

 

[Mazza1234678]

Weidemans hands could be the worst in the AFL

 

[Selim]

CCJ has 2

 

[Selim]

Zurhaar, Guelfi, Jones all on 1 goal

they all kicked a 2nd lol

ZURHAAR A 3RD LESSGOOO

 

[Selim]

ZURHAAR WITH A 4TH???? HOLY HE HAS FINALLY DELIVERED