AFL 2023 - AFL Round 14

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Wilmot got 4 tackles last week and thinking he can get an increased role this week.

$4 for 4 tackles
For the sake of it I’ve got on $17 for 6 and $151 SGM odds for 8…I can’t see Wilmot making it to 151 games without getting 8 tackles in a game.
 
Few bets for tonight's game, hoping for a high scoring, close game.

2u - DBJ AGS @ $1.85
1u - DBJ 2+ @ $4.50
0.5u - DBJ 3+ @ $17
0.2u - DBJ 4+ @ $51

1u - DBJ 15+ disposals @ $2.25
0.6u - DBJ 20+ disposals @ $7.50

2u - Wire to Wire - any other result @ $2.10

0.5u - JHF, DBJ & Danger AGS @ $7.25

1.3u - DBJ, SPP, Stengle AGS @ $3.20

Total Outlay = 9.1u
-1.2u for this game.

Very frustrating with DBJ getting 1.2 and 14 disposals, & Stengle no goal in his 50th. Could have been a very nice night, but just missed the mark.
 
Amartey Party
I like it

Its a bit of a risk as I can see Amartey spending time in the ruck. But with no Buddy playing, even if he spends around 30% in ruck, its worth it. My thinking is with No Logan, No Buddy and now no Heeney, the Swans will have to look for other avenues to goal.


Feel like Sydney will have to play their 3 big forwards up front: McLean, Buller and Amartey. And if your asking me which of those three has the better reputation at this level, its Amartey.

Ive taken Amartey 2+/3+/4+ and 5+ at $3.20/$9/$31/$81 at TopSport
 
I like Wicks for goals tonight, with Heeney, Franklin & Clarke out, Wicks should park in the forward line. Also don't mind Gulden, he's 2.0 & 3.1 in his 2 games against Brisbane and will have his chances.

2u - Wicks AGS @ $1.90
2u - Wicks 2+ @ $5.30
0.5u - Wicks 3+ @ $18
0.25u - Wicks 4+ @ $81

1u - Gulden AGS @ $2.12
1u - Gulden 2+ @ $7.00
 

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Imo we'll see Campbell or Cunningham play fwd to replace Clarke's role. We've got heaps of defenders too. I'm betting on Campbell as he played a bit fwd in the 2nd half v St.kilda. I also think Buller gets low tog, hope I'm wrong on that though. Goodluck.
 
buller 5.3 in his first VFL game last week for swans, gotta train him on SB

5/19/81 on SB for 2/3/4

Tailed, you’ve gotta be on this train. Currently@$91 for 4 on SB.
Watched his footage from the VFL and he looks big and coordinated, not Gumby like at all. Nice kick from the looks of it.

Looking at the line-ups, Andrews and Payne probably go to Mclean and Amartey as the more experienced tall forwards and Ryan Lester comes in as the third tall replacing the injured Darcy Gardner. Lester gets farken bags kicked on him as a key Defender. Buller train could become the Bullet train if he gets that matchup.

Tailed Buller 2-4 on SB

Tailed Buller too

Expecting him to be subbed off at 3/4 time with 2 disposals though
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Hopefully he kicks 4+ for us and we all get to say to him....

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On trains for

Buller 2/3/4 @5.10, 19, 91

Amarety 2/3/4/5 @2.82, 7.50, 23, 81

Papley 2/3/4/5 @1.92, 3.80, 12.85, 26

Daniher 4/5/6 @4.50, 9.50, 23

Bailey 2/3/4 @2.55, 6.25, 19

Fort 1/2/3 @1.92, 5.80, 23
 

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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 14

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