AFL 2023 - AFL Round 2

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Big O AGS @ $4 tab - Darcy Fort back in the team, which means Oscar will get his 5-10 minute stints up forward every quarter. He'll have his chances... just needs to clunk one.

2+ @ $19 sb
 
I'm on Banfield 2+ 3+ 4+ @ Neds and SB, best prices

had 2.3 from 6 shots last time we played north, Freo need to bounce back and has been swapped in for a forward in Treacy


Playing for a spot in the team so will have to be a bit selfish

open warning, he aint very good so this could be a bust lol
Yeah tailed , Terrible footballer but does know how to seagull.

Can get slightly better odds at b365, 4+ @40 if you want to get real weird with it
 

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A few players I like this week are Kade Chandler (1.2 last week 5/16 touches in fwd 50, 7 scoring involvements and 2 goal assists). With Pickett out would think his forward time only increases. $1.70 ags
Taylor Adams (1.1 last week, also 5/16 touches in fwd 50, 9 score involvements and 3 goal assists). Also kicked 2.1 in the practice match. $2 ags pointsbet
Luke Pedlar (kicked a goal, 8 scoring involvements and 2 goal assists). Heatmap is a bit all over the place but with Mcadam out he should spend more time inside 50?
Done them all anytime in one multi with Gawn ags, Gresham ags, Dixon 2, Mihocek 2, Fogarty 2 @58 neds
And the three for 2 each @200 BOOSTED pointsbet
 
A few players I like this week are Kade Chandler (1.2 last week 5/16 touches in fwd 50, 7 scoring involvements and 2 goal assists). With Pickett out would think his forward time only increases. $1.70 ags
Taylor Adams (1.1 last week, also 5/16 touches in fwd 50, 9 score involvements and 3 goal assists). Also kicked 2.1 in the practice match. $2 ags pointsbet
Luke Pedlar (kicked a goal, 8 scoring involvements and 2 goal assists). Heatmap is a bit all over the place but with Mcadam out he should spend more time inside 50?
Done them all anytime in one multi with Gawn ags, Gresham ags, Dixon 2, Mihocek 2, Fogarty 2 @58 neds
And the three for 2 each @200 BOOSTED pointsbet

Tailed for 0.5u each all AGS $6, all 2+ $200, pb
 
Stengle was disappointing last night, cost me a SGM

Tonight i like Oliver o/30, Trac o/25, Brown 2+, Fritsch 2+, Gawn AG, Grundy AG, Trac AG, Dees H2H
 
The Swans should spank the Hawks this week. Who is going to kick the goals?

Callum Mills had three touches inside 50 and kicked a goal last week.

Is rumoured to have a hand injury and has never kicked more than two goals in a game.

Did kick 1 against Hawthorn last year though.

.5u each 2+ 3+, $14, $67, pb

Chad Warner has already been mentioned in this thread, 0.3 last week.

.5u each 3+ 4+, $11, $38, ts

The heatmap for Harry Cunningham last week looks like he was playing high half forward. Kicked 2.1

.5u each 2+, 3+, $4.25, $13, pb
 
Sam Switkowski for freo
kicked 1.2 last week in a low scoring shitshow vs the saints. Now playes norf at home. Kicked 2.0 last time they played and he was subbed off.
interestingly enough he hasnt kicked over 2 goals before, so keep that in mind. But as these odds im willing to have a go.

2+ $3.75
3+ $12
4+ $34

@PB
 
dont mind Gunston at the 13 spread total pts at pointsbet.. got 12 last week in an effort where they barely scored half 2.. so lot of upside on this bet and he won't get lever or May you'd think.. has the smarts to almost gurantee 1-2 goals a game and a modest return of even like 3 goals 1 is a decent result on the 13 spread
 

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Sam Switkowski for freo
kicked 1.2 last week in a low scoring shitshow vs the saints. Now playes norf at home. Kicked 2.0 last time they played and he was subbed off.
interestingly enough he hasnt kicked over 2 goals before, so keep that in mind. But as these odds im willing to have a go.

2+ $3.75
3+ $12
4+ $34

@PB

One of my big disappointments last week. Willing to buy tickets one more time.

.5u each 3+ 4+ $12 $34 pb
 
taking ashcroft over 75.5 and Bailey over 78.5 fantasy.. Ashcroft has scope for improvement back at home this week and had a big game vs Geelong albeit practise but the pedigree is there... still got 59 last week in a flat performance , Bailey named in Centre and he got 78 last week with only 2 tackles and mediocre possession count of 16, hes not a big tackler but if he gets 4-5 of these in Centre and pushes those disposals to 20 he should clear this line well providing he finds the goals again, thought about Berry to replicate his dominant semi final performance vs Dees but with Dunkley in there now he seems to have been shuffled out to the wing again and won't be doing much in and under grunt work.... although he could tag oliver which would bring big tackles into the equation... anyone think he goes to Oliver? pretty sure he did in semi and turned the game for them with his energy
 
The Swans should spank the Hawks this week. Who is going to kick the goals?

Callum Mills had three touches inside 50 and kicked a goal last week.

Is rumoured to have a hand injury and has never kicked more than two goals in a game.

Did kick 1 against Hawthorn last year though.

.5u each 2+ 3+, $14, $67, pb

Chad Warner has already been mentioned in this thread, 0.3 last week.

.5u each 3+ 4+, $11, $38, ts

The heatmap for Harry Cunningham last week looks like he was playing high half forward. Kicked 2.1

.5u each 2+, 3+, $4.25, $13, pb
Already on Warner. Guy seems to always kick goals against lowly teams.
 
That Brisbane backline looks suspect in terms of tall defenders.

Last week the three Port forwards who had the most shots on goal were all talls:

Marshall 4.1, Dixon 3.3, Georgiades 1.3

That's 15 scoring shots among the three tall forwards.

I would have thought of Harris and Payne as good and serviceable respectively but they seemingly had a bad week last week.

This week they are joined by 195cm St Kilda discard Darragh Joyce who is making his AFL debut.

They have to cover Brown (4.1 last week), McDonald (0.1), and the resting Gawn (2.0) / Grundy (1.1).

McDonald had a poor outing against the Dogs but kicked 3.0 against Richmond in the practice match.

Whoever gets Joyce as a defender may become the main target going forward, could be a day out.

Grundy .5u 3+ $18 ts

Gawn .5u 3+ $9 tab
 
80% time up forward :oops:. Wonder if Fritch in will changes that.

It was 80% forward half, but only 4 disposals out of 17 were inside 50 (one more was just outside).

Grundy took 16 centre bounces, Gawn took 13.

It will be interesting to see if / when one of them becomes established as the primary ruck and the other a fwd/ruck.

In rd1 they seemed to be splitting it close to 50/50.

We know Gawn is capable of kicking a bag, it looks like Grundy may be as well.
 
Long time lurker first time poster.

Elliot Himmelberg adelaide
2+ 4.5$
3+ 14$
4+ 51$
All on Pointsbet
Tex and Fogarty will get Richmond's two best defenders so EH will get his opportunities.
Adelaide Oval is a happy hunting ground for him kicking bags of 4 twice last year including
round 5 against Richmond last year. He is a bit of a useless campaigner sometimes that lives
in his brothers shadow but at those odds definitely worth a hit.
 

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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 2

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