AFL 2023 - AFL Round 4

[balmainforever]

 

[GROTTO]

cam rayner 2.60/11/41/400 was switched forward towards end of game last week, if they put him forward this week these odds are insane

Seriously. On a Monday and inside the first page. Woweee. mouncey2franklin is King, you are Lord.

This was the Gulden Boy of 2023.... so far.

I also appreciate the "ad nauseum" harping on about it during the week, you definitely made most degens jump on it because of your later posts.

Cam was quite the Thug Train with 4+.

 

[dontlimitme]

Seriously. On a Monday and inside the first page. Woweee. mouncey2franklin is King, you are Lord.

This was the Gulden Boy of 2023.... so far.

I also appreciate the "ad nauseum" harping on about it during the week, you definitely made most degens jump on it because of your later posts.

Cam was quite the Thug Train with 4+.

i literally was waiting for the odds to drop all of monday to instantly put them on because i saw him the same odds vs the dogs and thought they may swing him forward, but didnt bet him and they swung him last Q, so instantly knew they were going to change it up next week (esp cause of how bad they were vs bulldogs)

 

[balmainforever]

Strong first post

Only took 4 years as well.

 

[balmainforever]

No need for the personal bashing.
So someone got something wrong.
Most of us have made $$$$ out of last night. Get over it.



Debate : yes
Personal slander : no

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Seriously. On a Monday and inside the first page. Woweee. mouncey2franklin is King, you are Lord.

Maybe in '21 and '22, but I'm shot these days. It may be time to put me out to pasture.

There's at least half a dozen regulars in here who have taken up the mantle of long shot winners.

dontlimitme was the guy who taught us all the magic of the sportsbet SGM trick back in '20 (Josh Kennedy iirc).

The trains were really his doing in the beginning, I only followed.

bulletride has shown us the way with the tab SM trick in '23.

jikost is consistently hitting bets paying $5 to $20.

Leeroy Brown will always be a legend of this board for his Ziebell vs Sydney pick in '22.

These are just the first who spring to mind, there are of course others as well.

I'll always have the memories of Gulden '21, Sheed '21, Rachele '22.

But I think my best days are behind me and I will now watch from the stands as the real moneymakers of this board strut their stuff.

If Larkey kicks 1.4 or some dumb shit tomorrow, that'll be it for me, I may have to retire before I tarnish my legacy further.

But I'll always be out there, cheering for my fellow degens to win big.

There aren't many things AFL-related more satisfying than seeing the degens:

1) steal from the books, and

2) give to the bottleshops and various adult establishments

 

[freddy mercury]

Harry McKay

10

Harry Mckay

Age

26

Ht

200cm

Wt

106kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.9

3star

K

7.5

3star

HB

2.4

2star

M

5.5

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

1.4

5star

D

6.6

1star

K

4.6

2star

HB

2.0

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.4

2star

G

1.4

5star

D

8.8

3star

K

6.8

3star

HB

2.0

2star

M

4.4

4star

T

0.8

3star

G

2.0

5star

to kick 3 or more $2 with Sportsbet. Perfect conditions, north melbourne look a little vulnerable down back. Motlop 2 or more goals $3.80, brockman kicked 3 last week. Got it as a multi at $6.75.

 

[TheCandyMan]

Just boarded the Jesse train for 4+ and Comben 4+ @71

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[TryAnHit]

This very bet winning inside literally the first seconds of play, set up a wonderful foundation for the rest of the night.

Astute punt and logical explanation.

I won this bet and had bets on him 15+ and 20+

Safe to say he is the worst and most lazy ruckman in the AFL... any decent ruck would have had 25+ touches yesterday

 

[Selim]

Well done mate, well done, I told you to keep your head up and stay strong. The wheel turned for you, really happy for you.

I know you took the Motorbike to 5+ was almost going to follow you too.

thanks mate, those first 2 rounds had me scared for the season but since the showdown its been a good run, im so glad i went on rayner last minute, made the night very sweet slept like a baby ahah

 

[freo_leo29]

Taberner train is on

Woefully out of form, Fremantle can't score but jeez Adelaides tall defenders are meh

3+ 4+ 5+ @ SB

Real shot in the dark this one but if Rayner can kick 4 vs the pies then anything is on this round

 

[GROTTO]

And North > $4 seems overs. Two most important mids back into the team, Blues missing some key mids of their own.

The only part of the field where the Blues look comfortably ahead is their key forwards.

I searched this thread and there is precisely zero love for Larkey from what I can tell.

Kicked 7 against this mob 18 months ago, three in their most recent match (in a big loss).

And in North's only previous match at Colonial this season he kicked six.

Of his 38 goals last season, 24 were at Etihad, despite only playing 10/20 season matches there.

He is a Telstra Dome specialist and if the North mids get on top, Larkey will enjoy silver service.

There wasn't much he could do last week when his team was getting smashed in the middle.

10s for 5 and 26s for 6 seem like overs in this degenerate's opinion

Your argument makes Larkey a sound bet for Full Degen, especially given he has gone FULL Degen recently vs Blues with Weitering also in that side.

Tailed.

 

[Selim]

yea tailed larkey aswell always plays well against carlton

 

[TheCandyMan]

Comben 2+
Stephenson 2+
Motlop 2+

@97 sb

Or go the sb free swing @83

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[tangolikelama]

Everyone else is going full degen in the name of jesus christ today yeah?

 

[tangolikelama]

Comben 2+
Stephenson 2+
Motlop 2+

@97 sb

Or go the sb free swing @83

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

TAILED

 

[sneak]

3 leg multi
1u
Stephenson 15+
Carl 1-39
Over 167.5
@10.73

 

[bulletride]

SB
Larkey 6 McKay 6 $1801
Larkey 5 McKay 5 $101

Stephenson 2/3/4 $5/$17/$91

 

[sneak]

Comben 2+
Stephenson 2+
Motlop 2+

@97 sb

Or go the sb free swing @83

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

Tailed

 

[Selim]

boys i cant remember if it was last year or late 2021 but i remember cripps playing a cracker against north and kicking like 4 or 3 goals and could of had 5 but missed a few, dont think he has kicked a goal this year so he is due so

Cripps 1,2,3, @1.77, 4.50, 13

 

[Fizza]

Everyone else is going full degen in the name of jesus christ today yeah?

Nailed it

 

[LukeParkerno1]

After Rayner Night it’s now Ziebs Day

But I have to load a few Carlton ones who does everyone like

 

[footy75]

Sydney/Saints

 

[LukeParkerno1]

boys i cant remember if it was last year or late 2021 but i remember cripps playing a cracker against north and kicking like 4 or 3 goals and could of had 5 but missed a few, dont think he has kicked a goal this year so he is due so

Cripps 1,2,3, @1.77, 4.50, 13

All over any time in a SGM has kicked 1 each game.

 

[NYRB]

Comben 2+
Stephenson 2+
Motlop 2+

@97 sb

Or go the sb free swing @83

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

Ive tailed , got $82.50 at SB

3 leg multi
1u
Stephenson 15+
Carl 1-39
Over 167.5
@10.73

And tailed that for the Free hit but at the poorer odds of $8.50. I am 0 for 6 from these Sportsbet SGM Free hits- so a word of caution.


And did


Stephenson 15+ Disposals
Carlton 1-39 points
Over 40.5 pts in the 1st Qtr
at $8.45 (TopSport)


Stephenson picked up 24 disposals and 3 goals against the same team 2 years ago. A slightly modified bet:

Stephenson 20+ Disposals
Carlton 1-39 pts
Over 167.5 pts
@ $22 (SB)

Also was offered this for my Powerprice Sportsbet offer. 8.50 would be a no- go for me. But $12.41?:

 

[TheCandyMan]

Everyone else is going full degen in the name of jesus christ today yeah?

That's if you call Stephenson 4+ @91 Sheezel 3+ @67 Comben 4+ @71 Motlop 4+ @64 on top of God knows what else full degen. We all have our own definition of full degen.

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app