I completely misread the Langford to the backline move lol. One of those times you make the wrong bet but get the right result I guess. So often it's the opposite.
Langford now has a handball, but we're still looking at a nice collect.
-
AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2023 - AFL Round 9
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Langford now has a handball, but we're still looking at a nice collect.
- Oct 21, 2015
- 2,742
- 5,551
- AFL Club
- Brisbane Lions
- Other Teams
- Denver Nuggets, Golden Knights
40+ margin after the siren you beauty
- Mar 28, 2012
- 2,222
- 3,610
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
- Other Teams
- Pittsburgh Steelers Perth Scorchers
96 combined margin in the finish. We’ll take it
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
I completely misread the Langford to the backline move lol. One of those times you make the wrong bet but get the right result I guess. So often it's the opposite.
Langford now has a handball, but we're still looking at a nice collect.
haha ! it doesnt matter that it was misread, jikost still goes bang!!
8*2*1 =16. (142-16) x10 = $1260. nice one!
Last edited:
- Sep 25, 2013
- 15,526
- 23,408
- AFL Club
- Sydney
- Other Teams
- Norwich City, Detroit Pistons
Lmfao my mate who is a very casual, low budget gambler just burgled the 65k jackpot on the pokies off a $20 note. I’m hopping into the shower and jetting over , the 
has been ordered
has been ordered
Hollow Knight
Imperfect vessel
- May 3, 2005
- 97,123
- 108,904
- AFL Club
- Brisbane Lions
- Other Teams
- Scuderia Ferrari, Dallas Cowboys
Ouch!
- May 20, 2016
- 9,978
- 14,794
- AFL Club
- GWS
Lmfao my mate who is a very casual, low budget gambler just burgled the 65k jackpot on the pokies off a $20 note. I’m hopping into the shower and jetting over , the
holy shit yes
Lmfao my mate who is a very casual, low budget gambler just burgled the 65k jackpot on the pokies off a $20 note. I’m hopping into the shower and jetting over , the
One for the good guys! God bless
Posting my bets now might not have another chance before the saints game
Rankine 2-5 @2.10, 4, 11, 30
Fogarty 2-5 @1.66, 3.05, 6.75, 15
Murphy 1,2,3 @2.60, 17, 34
Caminiti 1-4 @1.87, 5, 15, 80
Higgins 2-5 @1.83, 3.75, 10, 25
Sharman 1-4 @1.64, 4.30, 13, 51
Rankine 2-5 @2.10, 4, 11, 30
Fogarty 2-5 @1.66, 3.05, 6.75, 15
Murphy 1,2,3 @2.60, 17, 34
Caminiti 1-4 @1.87, 5, 15, 80
Higgins 2-5 @1.83, 3.75, 10, 25
Sharman 1-4 @1.64, 4.30, 13, 51
- Oct 21, 2015
- 2,742
- 5,551
- AFL Club
- Brisbane Lions
- Other Teams
- Denver Nuggets, Golden Knights
Stocker is 8/8 for 15+ touches this season. $1.50 odds on Lads is a good multi filler
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,288
- 11,123
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Rankine odds for 2+ Goals on TopSport, have gone in from $2.12 to $1.87.(Think it did reach $1.69 on my screen when I logged on this morning)
I rate it about a 50:50 chance of happening , so a bit dissappointed I missed out there.
Caminiti odds also shortened and Im going to ignore now at $3.15 (was $4 on TopSport last night). Sportsbet have crunched that in as well.
Had you multi those two on TopSport you could have got odds of $8.24 for Rankine 2+ Goals and Caminiti 2+ Goals last night. Its now currently $6.25 on TopSport with the TopUp Token.
I rate it about a 50:50 chance of happening , so a bit dissappointed I missed out there.
Caminiti odds also shortened and Im going to ignore now at $3.15 (was $4 on TopSport last night). Sportsbet have crunched that in as well.
Had you multi those two on TopSport you could have got odds of $8.24 for Rankine 2+ Goals and Caminiti 2+ Goals last night. Its now currently $6.25 on TopSport with the TopUp Token.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,288
- 11,123
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
And these goalscorer odds for Collingwood v Giants have all shortened as well. And I can see a world where these players cover. But im not too keen on the odds of around $12 or $13 for it to all happen. Had you placed that SGM last night, could have got odds around $20 or $21 (with their boost), which would have got me interested. If you can get that around $20 + I reckon thats worth a nibble. Good luck to all punters today.
Is Bedford playing as a small forward?
Bedford/Ginnivan 2+ @ $10.40 (lads)
Also Ginnivan 2 goals at $2.35 on SportsBet seems value. Beautiful day for footy at the G hopefully high scoring.
Ginny/Beford/Cadman 2+ @38 SportsBet
Just not sure if Bedford is playing his small forward role or more up the ground?
Bedford/Ginnivan 2+ @ $10.40 (lads)
Also Ginnivan 2 goals at $2.35 on SportsBet seems value. Beautiful day for footy at the G hopefully high scoring.
Ginny/Beford/Cadman 2+ @38 SportsBet
Just not sure if Bedford is playing his small forward role or more up the ground?
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,288
- 11,123
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Anyway Ive decided to go for the 'juice' today since the 2+ Goalscorer odds have gone a bit from Himmelberg and Caminiti
Ill go
Caminiti 3+ Goals v Crows
Harry Himmelberg 3+ Goals v Collingwood
Odds: $75 at TopSport
Caminiti stretches the Adelaide defence with his height. A bad scenario would be if Butts plays on him , which id be prepared to write off the bet straight away. Im hoping Butts gets Membrey, which would then expose the Crows backline height. I think Owens could potenttially do well today with his height and leap. Caminiti has never kicked 3+ Goals before, but he has 2+ Goals for 3/5 games this season.
I think there is a good chance Murphy lines up on Harry Himmelberg today. With Hogan taking on their best defender in Darcy Moore, I think Himmelberg is a stronger and taller player and a bit more experienced. I see Maynard potentially taking on Cadman, who he has covered for strength but not height. Sometimes I feel strength and height can cancel each other out.
Ill go
Caminiti 3+ Goals v Crows
Harry Himmelberg 3+ Goals v Collingwood
Odds: $75 at TopSport
Caminiti stretches the Adelaide defence with his height. A bad scenario would be if Butts plays on him , which id be prepared to write off the bet straight away. Im hoping Butts gets Membrey, which would then expose the Crows backline height. I think Owens could potenttially do well today with his height and leap. Caminiti has never kicked 3+ Goals before, but he has 2+ Goals for 3/5 games this season.
I think there is a good chance Murphy lines up on Harry Himmelberg today. With Hogan taking on their best defender in Darcy Moore, I think Himmelberg is a stronger and taller player and a bit more experienced. I see Maynard potentially taking on Cadman, who he has covered for strength but not height. Sometimes I feel strength and height can cancel each other out.
Not sure if you use Lads but Himmelberg is still juice there. $3.60 for 2+
- Sep 12, 2013
- 1,985
- 2,577
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Rankine 2.15 and Camiti $5 on 365 if ya have it
_ASP3X
Premium Platinum
- Mar 14, 2022
- 1,228
- 1,246
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
Odds for Caminiti on B365 for a key forward are ridiculously good. For a guy with 7 goals in his last 4 games and coming back after suspension with a point to prove, I'm all over him.
Caminiti AGS - 2u @ $1.87
Caminiti 2+ - 1u @ $5
Caminiti 3+ - 1u @ $17
Caminiti 4+ - 0.25u @ $80
Caminiti AGS - 2u @ $1.87
Caminiti 2+ - 1u @ $5
Caminiti 3+ - 1u @ $17
Caminiti 4+ - 0.25u @ $80
Ouchkabibbles
Rookie
Same bet is $100 at Ladbrokes
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,288
- 11,123
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
In a cross Game Multi today
Ill go Adelaide v Saints Under 161.5 pts
Giants +34.5 handicap v Collingwood
Odds: $3.99
I kind of thought the line would be set at that line for the Adelaide v Saints game. But Ross Lyon teams are traditionally pretty defensive. And im one of these guys that hate betting on the under but at that line ,the first play is to take the under. The Saints backline might very well be the best backline in the comp. And I think in Battle and Dougal Howard they have good matchups for Tex Walker and Fogarty.
Think if this was 30.5, i wouldnt touch. But Giants have covered the 34.5 line in their last 9 games aginst Collingwood. I can see a Collingwood win but not sure if it will be a blowout. I didnt watch much of Bulldogs v Giants last week but Tom Green seemed to have a really good game.
I think this bet from Daisy Thomas has some potential today. Sidebottom the obvious risky leg but generally speaking I really like it. (it was around $17 or $18 yesterday). Dont want to look at stats but you would hope its a tight game maybe and that the Pies have a lot of contested ball for Sidebottom disposals to get up?
Ill go Adelaide v Saints Under 161.5 pts
Giants +34.5 handicap v Collingwood
Odds: $3.99
I kind of thought the line would be set at that line for the Adelaide v Saints game. But Ross Lyon teams are traditionally pretty defensive. And im one of these guys that hate betting on the under but at that line ,the first play is to take the under. The Saints backline might very well be the best backline in the comp. And I think in Battle and Dougal Howard they have good matchups for Tex Walker and Fogarty.
Think if this was 30.5, i wouldnt touch. But Giants have covered the 34.5 line in their last 9 games aginst Collingwood. I can see a Collingwood win but not sure if it will be a blowout. I didnt watch much of Bulldogs v Giants last week but Tom Green seemed to have a really good game.
I think this bet from Daisy Thomas has some potential today. Sidebottom the obvious risky leg but generally speaking I really like it. (it was around $17 or $18 yesterday). Dont want to look at stats but you would hope its a tight game maybe and that the Pies have a lot of contested ball for Sidebottom disposals to get up?
badusername
Team Captain
- Sep 1, 2022
- 328
- 358
- AFL Club
- Richmond
Tailed.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 36,288
- 11,123
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Maybe a better watered down version of that bet is:
Collingwood 1-39 pts
Sidebottom 20+ Disposals
Hogan 2+ Goals
Ash Johnson 2+ Goals
Odds: $15.30 on Pointsbet if anyone is interested.
Thinking about it a bit further, Macrae philosophy is stat padding doesn matter anymore. I can see a world where Giants keep it close, and Sidebottom clears 20+.
Sidebottom only cleared 25+ Disposals cleared in 4 of his last 33 games. So I take back my statement 25+ being a 'good play'. Its not. But 20+ is a potentially clearable number.
Collingwood 1-39 pts
Sidebottom 20+ Disposals
Hogan 2+ Goals
Ash Johnson 2+ Goals
Odds: $15.30 on Pointsbet if anyone is interested.
Thinking about it a bit further, Macrae philosophy is stat padding doesn matter anymore. I can see a world where Giants keep it close, and Sidebottom clears 20+.
Sidebottom only cleared 25+ Disposals cleared in 4 of his last 33 games. So I take back my statement 25+ being a 'good play'. Its not. But 20+ is a potentially clearable number.
