AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 10

[balmainforever]

 

[pacemaker]

Really interested in Brisbane goalscorers this round.

No value for CHEE CHEE!

 

[kicksome]

Since Howe is out and that harvey Harrison might be in doubt with an ankle, I'm also keen to see who might line up forward.

Bookies will be on the phone to them quick smart

Any guesses anyone ?

 

[sohohoho]

Since Howe is out and that harvey Harrison might be in doubt with an ankle, I'm also keen to see who might line up forward.

Bookies will be on the phone to them quick smart

Any guesses anyone ?

Johnson or Krueger probably come in.
Schultz aswell

 

[Atavistic]

Lukosius 4 into Long 4 @ 2501.

Can't think of anything sensible to bet on right now.

 

[pacemaker]

Addicted to the $100 odd multis.

Gold Coast v Geelong
Tyson Stengle

18

Tyson Stengle

Age

26

Ht

175cm

Wt

71kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.3

2star

K

5.8

2star

HB

3.5

3star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.4

4star

G

1.1

4star

D

10.3

3star

K

5.3

2star

HB

5.0

3star

M

1.3

1star

T

2.0

3star

G

0.5

4star

D

8.8

3star

K

5.6

3star

HB

3.2

3star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.6

4star

G

1.6

5star

To Kick 2+ Goals
Jed Walter To Kick 2+ Goals
Sydney v Carlton
Will Hayward

9

Will Hayward

Age

26

Ht

186cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.6

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

3.4

3star

T

2.8

4star

G

1.1

4star

D

9.0

2star

K

4.3

2star

HB

4.7

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

2.7

4star

G

0.7

4star

D

9.4

3star

K

6.2

3star

HB

3.2

3star

M

2.6

3star

T

3.4

5star

G

1.4

5star

To Kick 2+ Goals
Matthew Owies To Kick 2+ Goals
Collingwood v Adelaide
Izak Rankine

23

Izak Rankine

Age

24

Ht

181cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.0

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

2.7

4star

G

2.0

5star

D

13.0

3star

K

9.0

4star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

2.7

4star

G

2.0

5star

D

13.0

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

2.7

5star

G

2.0

5star

To Kick 2+ Goals
Bobby Hill To Kick 2+ Goals

$113.70 PB

 

[NonPhixion]

Full degen
T.Berry AGS
Rachele 2+
Greene 5+
$134.06 PB

 

[BloodRet]

Sydney 1-39
Collingwood 1-39
St Kilda 1-39
GWS head to head
Port Adelaide 1-39
@34 boosted Neds

 

[NYRB]

Early thoughts is , I dont mind this:

 

[Fizza]

Blicavs hopefully goes forward for the Cats. Gone him and J Henry
Both @ 365
1,2,3 = $2.45, 13, 71

 

[ferrisb]

SB Free Hit
Witts AGS $6
Holmes 20+ $1.29
Combo price is $9, which is a really nice boost from the straight multi price (6 x 1.29 = 7.74).

For: Holmes has hit 20+ in last 11 matches
For: Witts has kicked AGS 2/3 matches
For: Without Cameron and possibly Hawkins, maybe J Henry/Blicavs spend more time fwd, weakening Geel defense
Against: Not sure TIO is great for ruckman goals
Against: Witts' two recent goals were against WCE and North in big wins. Won't be so easy this week

 

[ferrisb]

Nat Fyfe 2+ @ $19 B365

For

Spent a lot of time fwd last week, pretty much the most since late 2022
Took 2 marks I50 last week. Has taken 4 in the last three weeks (which included a match playing just 4thQ as sub)
Three scoring shots in the last three matches

Against

Last week's extra time in fwd line was after having been the sub the week before (easing him back in?)
Hard to score against St Kilda (Fyfe's last 3-goal game was against STK in 2022, but that wasn't Ross stint 2.0)

 

[jikost]

Gawn Hail Mary - Turner and JVR both missing so Melbourne need to replace 2 forwards... reports of a possible debut for ruckman Will Verrall which will allow Max to spend time inside 50. Bailey Williams is a pretty average ruck so makes sense for Verrall to debut this week if he indeed does. Also doubts around Jeremy McGovern

20

Jeremy Mcgovern

Age

32

Ht

197cm

Wt

97kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.7

4star

K

10.1

4star

HB

4.6

3star

M

6.8

5star

T

1.5

3star

MG

238.7

4star

D

12.4

3star

K

8.6

3star

HB

3.8

3star

M

6.4

5star

T

2.0

3star

MG

183.4

3star

D

11.0

3star

K

8.8

4star

HB

2.2

2star

M

7.2

5star

T

1.4

4star

's fitness and if he doesn't play it leaves the Eagles backline very exposed. Anyway, he's kicked 5 in Perth once before so why not...

2+ @ $7 tab
3+ @ $26
4+ @ $151
5+ @ $401

 

[kicksome]

Gawn Hail Mary - Turner and JVR both missing so Melbourne need to replace 2 forwards... reports of a possible debut for ruckman Will Verrall which will allow Max to spend time inside 50. Bailey Williams is a pretty average ruck so makes sense for Verrall to debut this week if he indeed does. Also doubts around Jeremy McGovern's fitness and if he doesn't play it leaves the Eagles backline very exposed. Anyway, he's kicked 5 in Perth once before so why not...

2+ @ $7 tab
3+ @ $26
4+ @ $151
5+ @ $401

Old mate Tom mcdonald a chance to go forward?
$8 for 1 on PB
$34 for 2 on b365

 

[jikost]

Old mate Tom mcdonald a chance to go forward?
$8 for 1 on PB
$34 for 2 on b365

Highly unlikely given he's finally found form again in the backline, but it's a small possibility. Maybe worth some loose change at those odds. I think they'll bring in Ben Brown and Verrall so no need for McDonald forward.

 

[dontlimitme]

Gawn Hail Mary - Turner and JVR both missing so Melbourne need to replace 2 forwards... reports of a possible debut for ruckman Will Verrall which will allow Max to spend time inside 50. Bailey Williams is a pretty average ruck so makes sense for Verrall to debut this week if he indeed does. Also doubts around Jeremy McGovern's fitness and if he doesn't play it leaves the Eagles backline very exposed. Anyway, he's kicked 5 in Perth once before so why not...

2+ @ $7 tab
3+ @ $26
4+ @ $151
5+ @ $401

petty at 8/21/67 for 3/4/5 on PB also good for this. Its petty i know, but there aint much else and its west coast

also callum sneeze on PB 6/23 for 3/4 vs richmond

petty/sneeze 2/2 @ 7.7
3/3 @ 48
4/4 @ 483

 

[burge13]

petty at 8/21/67 for 3/4/5 on PB also good for this. Its petty i know, but there aint much else and its west coast

also callum sneeze on PB 6/23 for 3/4 vs richmond

petty/sneeze 2/2 @ 7.7
3/3 @ 48
4/4 @ 483

Should be a market for Petty 3/4/5 disposals at decent odds imo

 

[dontlimitme]

Should be a market for Petty 3/4/5 disposals at decent odds imo

don't worry i still feel the shame in my post choosing the mighty petty for goals, but i feel those odds against the worst coast are worth a shout

 

[bluebob1]

Early thoughts is , I dont mind this:

View attachment 1988373

three legs failed last week against freo plus the possibility of sydney losing.

 

[NYRB]

three legs failed last week against freo plus the possibility of sydney losing.

Might just stick to AFL Fantasy betting then.

Early thoughts on AFL Fantasy multis? Touk Miller 100+ AFL Fantasy Points, Sam Flanders 90+ AFL Fantasy Points, Anderson 80+ AFL Fantasy Points?

 

[Fizza]

Blicavs hopefully goes forward for the Cats. Gone him and J Henry
Both @ 365
1,2,3 = $2.45, 13, 71

Henry has come into $1.67, 4, 13. Hope you lads got on, snipers I assume

 

[ferrisb]

Might just stick to AFL Fantasy betting then.

Early thoughts on AFL Fantasy multis? Touk Miller 100+ AFL Fantasy Points, Sam Flanders 90+ AFL Fantasy Points, Anderson 80+ AFL Fantasy Points?

They would cannibalise a few points off each other.

Any idea how often they hit those? Either solo or as a combo?

Interestingly Gold Coast are 5-2 up there and Geelong have never played at TIO.

 

[NYRB]

Back to post above but Ladbrokes have a price of around evens for AFL Fantasy Betting Multi for Thursday Night Football:

Touk Miller

11

Touk Miller

Age

28

Ht

178cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.7

5star

K

9.5

4star

HB

12.3

5star

M

3.7

4star

T

5.4

5star

CL

4.2

5star

D

22.0

5star

K

11.4

4star

HB

10.6

5star

M

2.9

3star

T

4.8

5star

CL

4.1

5star

D

17.8

5star

K

5.8

3star

HB

12.0

5star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

3.0

5star

100+ AFL Fantasy Points
Sam Flanders 90+ AFL Fantasy Points
Noah Anderson

15

Noah Anderson

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

4star

M

2.0

2star

T

0.0

1star

CL

0.0

1star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

2.0

2star

T

0.0

1star

CL

0.0

1star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

6.0

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

0.0

1star

CL

0.0

1star

80+ AFL Fantasy Points

at around 2.07 or so. I think thats a good bet builder but will steer away just because surprisingly Geelong had the wood over Gold Coast as a team in AFL Fantasy scoring. (since 2017 Rd 7)

Team Records in AFL Fantasy Scoring between the 2 sides:

Gold Coast v Geelong
Rd 3, 2023: 1445 v 1526
Rd 22, 2022: 1507 v 1700
Rd 10, 2021: 1338 v 1857
Rd 10, 2019: 1486 v 1644
Rd 23, 2018: 1505 v 1913
Rd 11, 2018: 1348 v 1742

If you include the COVID year in 2020, Geelong also beat them as a Fantasy points wise as a team.

 

[dontlimitme]

tailing gawn 3/4 @ 21/100 on 365, also hitting cameron TRAYNER again vs a deplorable richmond side

rayner 10/35 3/4 on 365

rayner 4/gawn 3 @ 735
Rayner 3/gawn 3 @ 210
Rayner 3/Gawn 2 @ 55
Rayner 4/Gawn 2 @ 192.50

all 365

 

[Johanpetro]

Henry has come into $1.67, 4, 13. Hope you lads got on, snipers I assume

I mentioned him earlier in the thread at $17 for 2. Was hoping for better odds. Tbh I highly doubt he will play forward but hope he does for those that got on

 

[pacemaker]

Taken Gawn 1-4
$2.10 tab
$6.50 pb
$21 b365
$100 b365

There were supposedly better markets 6 hours ago but have been chewed up.