AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 17

[balmainforever]

 

[demon_fanatic]

Call me crazy but 2.60 and 12.5 line for Essendon is a little off I feel.. Pies lose another two valuable contibutors to the way they play in Noble and Mcreery (who knows about Maynard he hurt knee late too) and no real ins coming back in this week.. I'd Say Jiaths brother would replace Noble despite the height disparity?

Essendon once again looked great around the ball 1st half but couldn't convert and then totally lost the plot in 3rd when they had those 4 shocking decisions go against them and really turn the match.. (the Draper Mark, the Menzie deliberate and the non paid holding the balls on Stewart and I think it was Bowes) yes it isn't an excuse for how Geelong ran over them but it really rattled them and showed that maybe they aren't as mature as they've been claiming...

But they match up well to go head to head with Daicos, Crisp, De Goey with Caldwell/Durham good at defensive aspects and Merrett improving...Don't think Pies have the big forward to keep Ridley from his intercepting role either. Also a bit of upside as Merrett had a shocker with his disposal (47%) and Martin had a lot of shockers which is normal lol.. but yeh upside in Wright/Langford/Stringer you'd think two of the three will play much better on Friday.. add to that a few tweaks to the lineup they really need to go One ruck probably Draper and bring in the two form midfielders Shiel and Tsatas.. to replace Goldy and probably Menzie but could be Harrison Jones if his injury keeps him out.

 

[targett]

Call me crazy but 2.60 and 12.5 line for Essendon is a little off I feel.. Pies lose another two valuable contibutors to the way they play in Noble and Mcreery (who knows about Maynard he hurt knee late too) and no real ins coming back in this week.. I'd Say Jiaths brother would replace Noble despite the height disparity?

Essendon once again looked great around the ball 1st half but couldn't convert and then totally lost the plot in 3rd when they had those 4 shocking decisions go against them and really turn the match.. (the Draper Mark, the Menzie deliberate and the non paid holding the balls on Stewart and I think it was Bowes) yes it isn't an excuse for how Geelong ran over them but it really rattled them and showed that maybe they aren't as mature as they've been claiming...

But they match up well to go head to head with Daicos, Crisp, De Goey with Caldwell/Durham good at defensive aspects and Merrett improving...Don't think Pies have the big forward to keep Ridley from his intercepting role either. Also a bit of upside as Merrett had a shocker with his disposal (47%) and Martin had a lot of shockers which is normal lol.. but yeh upside in Wright/Langford/Stringer you'd think two of the three will play much better on Friday.. add to that a few tweaks to the lineup they really need to go One ruck probably Draper and bring in the two form midfielders Shiel and Tsatas.. to replace Goldy and probably Menzie but could be Harrison Jones if his injury keeps him out.

Noble and Beau wont play, will know more about Maynard Wednesday , Schultz comes in

 

[fpm84]

Few very early plays I like, all at B365:

Tom Stewart 2+ @41 - priced as a defender, will likely play midfield again, will take any midfielder at those odds.

Sam De Koning 2+ @34 - will play as number one ruck again, kicked a goal v Carlton.

Quinton Narkle

42

Quinton Narkle

Age

26

Ht

182cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.7

4star

K

6.9

3star

HB

6.8

4star

M

2.1

2star

T

3.0

5star

G

0.6

4star

D

11.4

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

1.8

2star

T

3.6

4star

G

0.0

1star

D

12.0

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.4

4star

G

0.8

4star

3+ @34 - with Mcentee and Evans out of the side, Narkle played half forward v St Kilda. Had 4 possessions inside 50m for 1.2.

Jeremy Howe

38

Jeremy Howe

Age

34

Ht

190cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.0

4star

K

11.2

4star

HB

5.7

4star

M

6.4

5star

T

2.1

4star

MG

318.1

4star

D

21.5

5star

K

16.5

5star

HB

5.0

3star

M

6.5

5star

T

2.0

3star

MG

433.3

5star

D

15.2

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

6.2

4star

M

6.8

5star

T

1.6

4star

4+ @125 - why not?

Will also keep an eye on Esava Ratugolea

27

Esava Ratugolea

Age

25

Ht

197cm

Wt

108kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.6

2star

K

4.8

2star

HB

3.8

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

2.2

4star

MG

131.6

2star

D

8.1

2star

K

4.3

2star

HB

3.9

3star

M

2.1

2star

T

2.5

3star

MG

109.0

2star

D

9.2

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

4.2

4star

M

4.0

4star

T

2.2

4star

MG

133.8

3star

odds (not currently listed on B365), Marshall and Dixon out and Port backline functioned better without Esava. They swung him forward v GWS a couple of weeks ago and reckon he’s a good chance to play forward this week.

 

[bulletride]

Few very early plays I like, all at B365:

Tom Stewart 2+ @41 - priced as a defender, will likely play midfield again, will take any midfielder at those odds.

Sam De Koning 2+ @34 - will play as number one ruck again, kicked a goal v Carlton.

Quinton Narkle 3+ @34 - with Mcentee and Evans out of the side, Narkle played half forward v St Kilda. Had 4 possessions inside 50m for 1.2.

Jeremy Howe 4+ @125 - why not?

Will also keep an eye on Esava Ratugolea odds (not currently listed on B365), Marshall and Dixon out and Port backline functioned better without Esava. They swung him forward v GWS a couple of weeks ago and reckon he’s a good chance to play forward this week.

Tailed Stewart AGS $7 and Narkle 2/3 @ $11/$51 both on PB

 

[NYRB]

Taken the TAB Touch WA offer on Bombers to beat Magpies at $2.73.

If Bombers lead by 12+ pts at any stage during match but lose, bet refund.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Taken the TAB Touch WA offer on Bombers to beat Magpies at $2.73.

If Bombers lead by 12+ pts at any stage during match but lose, bet refund.

does that come up in your specials taB? I only have 4 specials and they are all pretty ho hum multi bonuses etc

 

[NYRB]

does that come up in your specials taB? I only have 4 specials and they are all pretty ho hum multi bonuses etc

Yes I have a few more specials......13 at the time of writing:

 

[dontlimitme]

Few very early plays I like, all at B365:

Tom Stewart 2+ @41 - priced as a defender, will likely play midfield again, will take any midfielder at those odds.

Sam De Koning 2+ @34 - will play as number one ruck again, kicked a goal v Carlton.

Quinton Narkle 3+ @34 - with Mcentee and Evans out of the side, Narkle played half forward v St Kilda. Had 4 possessions inside 50m for 1.2.

Jeremy Howe 4+ @125 - why not?

Will also keep an eye on Esava Ratugolea odds (not currently listed on B365), Marshall and Dixon out and Port backline functioned better without Esava. They swung him forward v GWS a couple of weeks ago and reckon he’s a good chance to play forward this week.

tailed narkle and howe

also howe 2/3

also howe and narkle 2/2 @ 48, 3/3 @ 782 and howe 4/narkle 3 @ 4250 (lol)

 

[demon_fanatic]

you'd think the Pies play Howe down there as it gives them a tall target to occupy Ridley.. Essendon a different side if Ridley can play as the interceptor and leave Mckay/Laverde to take the two talls.

 

[dontlimitme]

you'd think the Pies play Howe down there as it gives them a tall target to occupy Ridley.. Essendon a different side if Ridley can play as the interceptor and leave Mckay/Laverde to take the two talls.

i'll die on the hill that howe is a really good forward especially given their current situation

 

[ferrisb]

you'd think the Pies play Howe down there as it gives them a tall target to occupy Ridley.. Essendon a different side if Ridley can play as the interceptor and leave Mckay/Laverde to take the two talls.

Agree, but the flip side is also true.

Playing Howe down back allows Moore to play as interceptor...

 

[CarterS]

Port at evens the early play for me. Rate them about 1.60 at home.

 

[dontlimitme]

Agree, but the flip side is also true.

Playing Howe down back allows Moore to play as interceptor...

 

[X_box_X]

Port at evens the early play for me. Rate them about 1.60 at home.

Is that because you rate PA or don't rate WB?

If it's the latter, you will most definitely be interested in Carlton's opening line of -3.5 v WB. Available w SB.

 

[fpm84]

Max King

12

Max King

Age

23

Ht

202cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.3

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

2.6

2star

M

2.7

3star

T

0.7

3star

G

1.4

5star

D

7.3

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

2.6

2star

M

2.7

3star

T

0.7

1star

G

1.4

5star

D

8.0

2star

K

5.2

2star

HB

2.8

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

0.6

3star

G

1.4

5star

ruled out for the year and Caminiti out too - throw at the stumps at Josh Battle

26

Josh Battle

Age

25

Ht

193cm

Wt

93kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.9

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

3.9

3star

M

5.0

5star

T

2.4

4star

MG

196.8

3star

D

11.0

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

3.8

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

1.8

3star

MG

142.8

3star

D

10.8

3star

K

6.2

3star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.4

4star

T

2.0

4star

MG

175.6

3star

in case he swings forward.

2 @51 at B365.

 

[mozz23]

Max King ruled out for the year and Caminiti out too - throw at the stumps at Josh Battle in case he swings forward.

2 @51 at B365.

$8 anytime PB.

I can’t really get on was able to add a few short legs to sky rocket odds. Got one multi accepted.

Battle anytime
Heeney 15
Warner 15
Wanganeen Milera 15

$20 @ $28.67

 

[Fizza]

Battles already into 4 at PB , also tailed Howe, who is somehow now 150 for 4 at 365
Edit: he's already into 75 now, lurkersssss

 

[dontlimitme]

pies practice was today so howe movement today is always good

 

[kicksome]

Well when max king

12

Max King

Age

23

Ht

202cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.3

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

2.6

2star

M

2.7

3star

T

0.7

3star

G

1.4

5star

D

7.3

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

2.6

2star

M

2.7

3star

T

0.7

1star

G

1.4

5star

D

8.0

2star

K

5.2

2star

HB

2.8

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

0.6

3star

G

1.4

5star

went down or was subbed off in the Eagles game they sent mason wood

32

Mason Wood

Age

30

Ht

192cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.2

3star

K

7.8

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

4.0

4star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.3

2star

D

8.3

2star

K

2.7

1star

HB

5.7

3star

M

1.7

2star

T

1.3

2star

CL

0.0

1star

D

15.8

4star

K

8.6

4star

HB

7.2

5star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.6

3star

forward for the last qtr and a half and he kicked 4. So I'll try that theory here
2+ $3.75
3+ $12
4+ $34 pointsbet

 

[BloodRet]

Well when max king went down or was subbed off in the Eagles game they sent mason wood forward for the last qtr and a half and he kicked 4. So I'll try that theory here
2+ $3.75
3+ $12
4+ $34 pointsbet

tailed, dabble odds currently better than pb as they got crunched

 

[pacemaker]

U40
Essendon
Geelong
Melbourne
Brisbane
Carlton
GC

$147

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Pies HTD
North +17.5 (until GC do it away for once in their lifetime I'll keep taking the line on the opposition)
Port 1-39
Hawks +10.5 (bit of a gamble but trust the Hawks more than a Cats side off beating Essendon)
Sydney -22.5
Lions HTD
@32.36

 

[demon_fanatic]

Sicily in doubt or hampered as is Ginnivan... Lewis is also first game back in seniors so unsure how he will go... yes the cats 40 point win vs Essendon is a bit overrated given the umpires really did turn that game a lot.. but they found some things in that game with Rohan sparking and Stengle then Stewart into the midfield.. I think they will really make home a fortress on the run home and win this game vs Hawks.

 

[X_box_X]

Sicily in doubt or hampered as is Ginnivan... Lewis is also first game back in seniors so unsure how he will go... yes the cats 40 point win vs Essendon is a bit overrated given the umpires really did turn that game a lot.. but they found some things in that game with Rohan sparking and Stengle then Stewart into the midfield.. I think they will really make home a fortress on the run home and win this game vs Hawks.

I don't.

Hawks are winning this. There's a certain spark that has been ignited in that team that is as fascinating as it is remarkable.

The only thing that may trouble them is the narrow ground, but they have shown an impressive ability to adapt to change which is almost unrivalled. This is a testament to Mitchell and the coaching team he has around him. Tactically their in game tactics is part of the reason they're flying at the moment...

Going from the wide expanses of the MCG to Simmonds Stadium is something I'm confident they will adapt to. I've seen enough from them over the past eight weeks to convince me they can hurt teams just as much through the corridor as attacking down the boundary.

If Sicily doesn't get up for this game, I won't be as confident. Not sure if that will force me to change my tip to Geelong.