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balmainforever
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- Sep 4, 2003
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AFLW 2024 - Round 2 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Yes I did. Every team up until this stage has played 18 games. (bar 2 sides)Have you included this rounds results where everyone team but 2 still have to play? You have given Hawks 1/3 wins for example.
Comben first goal accelerator over 10 @ PB - Clarko said starting forward.
Pies, then Hawks. Thats not unrealistic either of happening.I reckon Carltons chances of making Top 4 right would flip though if they lost their next 2 games.
On one hand... Logic, stats and probabilities.Still reckon 15s is pretty poor value. Would want something above 70s? If they were to lose the next 2 games, that price would be about right. Would be favourites to beat West Coast in Perth, would be favourites to beat the Saints at Docklands. Id price them about $1.16 to beat WCE, and about $1.57 to beat the Saints. The Saints game would have some parallels to the game last night against Power where they would be expected to win but no shoe-in. Motivation would also be a big factor as Power had more stakes on the line.
Did a Squiggle predictor for the next 2 rounds if favourites all won, and Carlton happened to drop their next 2 games:
View attachment 2060188
14 probably is a safe margin to make the Top 8. 15 wins with their decent percentage should see them making the Top 4. All sorts of different perms and combs but I just base it on a world where favs win next 2 rounds and Blues do lose the next 2.
Blues will probably make the top 4. Might be worthy to get on them around in 2 weeks time when you probably get a better price if you think they will lose their next 2 against Pies and Hawks.Pies, then Hawks. Thats not unrealistic either of happening.
If Brissy, Freo and Giants all win this weekend Carlton will fall to 5th.Still reckon 15s is pretty poor value. Would want something above 70s? If they were to lose the next 2 games, that price would be about right. Would be favourites to beat West Coast in Perth, would be favourites to beat the Saints at Docklands. Id price them about $1.16 to beat WCE, and about $1.57 to beat the Saints. The Saints game would have some parallels to the game last night against Power where they would be expected to win but no shoe-in. Motivation would also be a big factor as Power had more stakes on the line.
Did a Squiggle predictor for the next 2 rounds if favourites all won, and Carlton happened to drop their next 2 games:
View attachment 2060188
14 probably is a safe margin to make the Top 8. 15 wins with their decent percentage should see them making the Top 4. All sorts of different perms and combs but I just base it on a world where favs win next 2 rounds and Blues do lose the next 2.
Weller named half forward but will he actually play there ? Johnston named at half back
They've dropped a back (budarick) and haven't replaced him so it does seem like he'll be moved back this week.Weller named half forward but will he actually play there ? Johnston named at half back
I had the Giants losing to Melbourne this week. That game has a huge effect on Carltons ladder ranking at the end of this round and next round.If Brissy, Freo and Giants all win this weekend Carlton will fall to 5th.
So I don’t know how you still have them in 5th after a further 2 rounds.