AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 4

[balmainforever]

 

[mozz23]

Essendon +22.5 $1.98 dabble line starting to come in elsewhere into 20.5

Think the bombers mids can match it with the power and should get first use from Draper/goldy

Lost by less than a goal twice to port last year so think the 22 point start will be enough to cover

 

[pacemaker]

Bedford 2,3,4g @7,23,80. PB

Really like this. With the Hardwick systems based defence this means that Bedford is that small forward the team will not give a * about.

2u ATG
1u 2+
1u 3+
0.5 4+ same odds

Also took Daniels 2+ at $2.15 PB

B.Campbell 20d
T Bedford 2g @37.45 PB Boosted

Yep got the same odds. Think this could come off. 1u on this at same odds. Sydney going to destroy WCE in disposals and the score.

 

[pacemaker]

Essendon +22.5 $1.98 dabble line starting to come in elsewhere into 20.5

Think the bombers mids can match it with the power and should get first use from Draper/goldy

Lost by less than a goal twice to port last year so think the 22 point start will be enough to cover

Agreed. Given the form it should be a 17.5 line. Although Essendon usually are poor travelling away from Melbourne that was a morale boosting win on thr weekend for them.

5u Essendon +22.5 @ $1.90

SGM
Essendon +22.5
Stringer 2+
DBJ 2+
McGrath 20+
1u $7.50 TAB (probably bigger odds else where)

 

[natooo]

Petty came back into the lineup 2 weeks ago to play forward and has since been shifted down back to help with mid game injuries. With may returning this week, barring any mid game injuries should see may lever tmac as the 3 defenders

Petty 3/4/5 8/25/100 b365

 

[fpm84]

Loving Reef McInnes’ odds at PB.

11/29/81 for 3/4/5. Paying 5.80/15/51 at SB for the same.

Has kicked 3.0 and 1.0 against far better backlines than Hawthorn over the past fortnight.

 

[LeCoqHead]

Josh Rachele 2+
Kade Chandler

37

Kade Chandler

Age

24

Ht

175cm

Wt

79kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.0

2star

K

4.0

2star

HB

3.0

3star

M

2.0

2star

T

9.0

5star

G

0.0

1star

No current season stats available

D

7.0

2star

K

4.0

2star

HB

3.0

3star

M

2.0

3star

T

9.0

5star

G

0.0

1star

2+
Paul Curtis 2+
Kyle Langford

4

Kyle Langford

Age

28

Ht

192cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.7

4star

K

8.3

3star

HB

7.3

5star

M

3.9

4star

T

3.3

5star

G

0.7

4star

D

17.4

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

8.4

4star

M

4.4

4star

T

1.6

3star

G

0.7

4star

D

8.2

2star

K

3.2

2star

HB

5.0

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

2.6

4star

G

0.6

3star

2+
Isaac Heeney

5

Isaac Heeney

Age

28

Ht

185cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.2

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

7.7

5star

M

4.9

5star

T

4.1

5star

CL

2.2

4star

D

14.3

3star

K

8.8

4star

HB

5.5

3star

M

4.8

4star

T

2.5

3star

CL

0.8

3star

D

10.4

3star

K

7.2

3star

HB

3.2

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

2.4

4star

CL

0.8

3star

2+
Patrick Cripps

9

Patrick Cripps

Age

29

Ht

195cm

Wt

93kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

25.9

5star

K

9.8

4star

HB

16.1

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

5.8

5star

CL

7.4

5star

D

21.0

5star

K

10.1

4star

HB

10.9

5star

M

2.5

3star

T

3.8

4star

CL

6.3

5star

D

12.6

4star

K

4.8

2star

HB

7.8

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

3.2

5star

CL

1.4

4star

1+
Oliver Henry 2+
Shai Bolton

15

Shai Bolton

Age

26

Ht

176cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.3

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.4

4star

D

12.7

3star

K

9.2

4star

HB

3.5

2star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.7

4star

CL

1.8

4star

D

9.2

3star

K

4.6

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.0

1star

2+
Callum M. Brown 2+
Reef McInnes 2+
Bobby Hill 2+
$16,544 @PB

 

[dontlimitme]

Josh Rachele 2+
Kade Chandler 2+
Paul Curtis 2+
Kyle Langford 2+
Isaac Heeney 2+
Patrick Cripps 1+
Oliver Henry 2+
Shai Bolton 2+
Callum M. Brown 2+
Reef McInnes 2+
Bobby Hill 2+
$16,544 @PB

tailed because i want to win lotto

 

[LeCoqHead]

tailed because i want to win lotto

Likewise! GATHER ROUND

 

[pacemaker]

Josh Rachele 2+
Kade Chandler 2+
Paul Curtis 2+
Kyle Langford 2+
Isaac Heeney 2+
Patrick Cripps 1+
Oliver Henry 2+
Shai Bolton 2+
Callum M. Brown 2+
Reef McInnes 2+
Bobby Hill 2+
$16,544 @PB

Sorry couldn't help myself.

Same Game Multi Combo 18 Legs
$195,250.08

Adelaide v Melbourne
Ben Brown To Kick 2+ Goals
Izak Rankine To Kick 2+ Goals

Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne
Paul Curtis To Kick 2+ Goals
Lincoln McCarthy To Kick 2+ Goals

Port Adelaide v Essendon
Darcy Byrne-Jones To Kick 2+ Goals
Kyle Langford To Kick 2+ Goals

West Coast v Sydney
Tom Papley To Kick 2+ Goals
Logan McDonald To Kick 2+ Goals

Fremantle v Carlton
Matt Taberner To Kick 2+ Goals
Harry McKay To Kick 2+ Goals

Western Bulldogs v Geelong
Tyson Stengle To Kick 2+ Goals
Cody Weightman To Kick 2+ Goals

Richmond v St Kilda
Jack Higgins To Kick 2+ Goals
Shai Bolton To Kick 2+ Goals

Gold Coast v Greater Western Sydney
Jack Lukosius To Kick 2+ Goals
Brent Daniels To Kick 2+ Goals

Collingwood v Hawthorn
Bobby Hill To Kick 2+ Goals
Mabior Chol To Kick 2+ Goals

STAKE
$1.00
EST. RETURN
$195,250.09

 

[Atavistic]

I think Lukosius has shifted back again to accommodate Walter. But I guess he could always shift forward again.

 

[kicksome]

jack viney

7

Jack Viney

Age

30

Ht

179cm

Wt

93kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.1

5star

K

9.4

4star

HB

12.6

5star

M

2.8

3star

T

5.7

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

21.8

5star

K

10.3

4star

HB

11.5

5star

M

2.5

3star

T

4.5

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

13.4

4star

K

8.6

4star

HB

4.8

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

3.4

5star

CL

3.6

5star

so far this year has kicked 2.0, 1.1, 1.0. , 0.1

pointsbet have him
AGS $3.85
2+ $29

i'll take a stab at those thanks

 

[BloodRet]

Toby Conway insane value for 2 over on Lads. I’ve loaded

 

[Atavistic]

Toby Conway insane value for 2 over on Lads. I’ve loaded

View attachment 1948125

8.75 for Toby to kick six. I wonder where they get their Toby Conway intel from.

 

[Play On Advantage]

Really like this. With the Hardwick systems based defence this means that Bedford is that small forward the team will not give a * about.

2u ATG
1u 2+
1u 3+
0.5 4+ same odds

Also took Daniels 2+ at $2.15 PB


Yep got the same odds. Think this could come off. 1u on this at same odds. Sydney going to destroy WCE in disposals and the score.

TAILED Bedford

 

[pacemaker]

jack viney so far this year has kicked 2.0, 1.1, 1.0. , 0.1

pointsbet have him
AGS $3.85
2+ $29

i'll take a stab at those thanks

Got on when you posted for the Viney ATS, since been smashed into $2.50.

2+ is still there. Didn't take it yesterday but was convinced to take it at 0.4 units. Worth a stake at 0.1 or 0.2 as when hebdies push forward he gets involved with a assisting goal or an opportunity for himself like Kicksome has stated with the scoring opportunity data.

 

[jikost]

Taylor Adams

3

Taylor Adams

Age

31

Ht

181cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

24.9

5star

K

13.5

5star

HB

11.4

5star

M

4.0

4star

T

4.8

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

20.4

5star

K

12.4

5star

HB

8.0

4star

M

4.0

4star

T

5.9

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

18.2

5star

K

11.0

4star

HB

7.2

5star

M

4.4

4star

T

3.0

5star

CL

2.2

4star

debuting for Sydney. Not sure if this will impact Heeney's new midfield role and push him more forward to accommodate Adams, but I'll kick myself if he spends more time deep and kicks a bag against the Eagles and i'm not on him. He kicked 5 against the Eagles last year.

3+ @ $6 pb
4+ @ $14
5+ @ $41

 

[burge13]

Taylor Adams debuting for Sydney. Not sure if this will impact Heeney's new midfield role and push him more forward to accommodate Adams, but I'll kick myself if he spends more time deep and kicks a bag against the Eagles and i'm not on him. He kicked 5 against the Eagles last year.

3+ @ $6 pb
4+ @ $14
5+ @ $41

If Horse is stupid enough to move Heeney who is absolutely dominating so far this season to accommodate Adams, they don't deserve any success

 

[pacemaker]

Taylor Adams debuting for Sydney. Not sure if this will impact Heeney's new midfield role and push him more forward to accommodate Adams, but I'll kick myself if he spends more time deep and kicks a bag against the Eagles and i'm not on him. He kicked 5 against the Eagles last year.

3+ @ $6 pb
4+ @ $14
5+ @ $41

If Horse is stupid enough to move Heeney who is absolutely dominating so far this season to accommodate Adams, they don't deserve any success

I believe some top AFL clubs use the WCE games for experimentation for what could work in future games.

I've tailed Heeney bets as when Adams is on the ball I doubt keeping Heeney off to get less minutes doesn't benefit anyone other than WCE.

He should swing forward like what Collingwood have done with degoey in years past. Besides has kicked 2 goals in a game twice this year playing midfield

 

[X_box_X]

Big Jordan De Goey

2

Jordan De Goey

Age

28

Ht

188cm

Wt

93kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.7

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

6.7

4star

M

3.9

4star

T

3.1

5star

CL

2.3

4star

D

15.8

4star

K

9.7

4star

HB

6.2

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

1.7

3star

CL

2.3

4star

D

11.6

3star

K

6.2

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

1.4

2star

T

4.8

5star

CL

2.6

5star

.

20 disposals at $1.65
25 disposals at $3.75
30 disposals at $10

Courtesy of Bet365.

You have to place these as a SGM. Not available as single bets.

Obviously incredible odds that won't last.

Slow start to the year, but will bounce back strong. Nick Daicos to cop the McGuiness tag this week.

Odds for 20/25/30

BET365
$1.65
$3.75
$10

SB
$1.25
$2.12
$5.10

PB
$1.30
$2.15
$6.50

TAB
$1.30
$2.10
$4.50

NEDS
$1.28
$2.10
$5

 

[freo_leo29]

Anyone offer a market for a player to kick exactly 0 goals

Bring back luxbet

 

[X_box_X]

Bring back luxbet

Yes please. More +1.5 $1.87 lines on the favourite in MLB. Now those were the days.

 

[GROTTO]

Bring back luxbet

William Hill was good back in the day, you could bet live without having to call up.

You could place bets online through a call you placed on your computer. 365 used to have the same option as well, not sure if it still does.

 

[freo_leo29]

William Hill was good back in the day, you could bet live without having to call up.

You could place bets online through a call you placed on your computer. 365 used to have the same option as well, not sure if it still does.

William Hill was garbage but those were golden times when those 2 books skirted the law to bring in that

The government put a stop to it unfortunately


William Hill used to lower my odds by 10-15c when I logged in lol, log back out and the odds would go back up


Bet365 promo used to have a "bet $100 and then get a free live bet matched" **** that was a good promo with their live call loophole

 

[Nuggetz]

Taylor Adams debuting for Sydney. Not sure if this will impact Heeney's new midfield role and push him more forward to accommodate Adams, but I'll kick myself if he spends more time deep and kicks a bag against the Eagles and i'm not on him. He kicked 5 against the Eagles last year.

3+ @ $6 pb
4+ @ $14
5+ @ $41

Tailed but on dabble 5+ 51, 4+ 15.

Don't mind warner 2+ & Heeney 2+ @7 neds either. Both should get a bit more time fwd with Adams likely in the team.

 

[Rank]

Rachelle 2
Fogarty 2
Pickett 2 @21.98 PB boosted