AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 5

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[pacemaker]

Gold Coast v Hawthorn
Gold Coast 1-39
Dylan Moore

13

Dylan Moore

Age

25

Ht

177cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.9

3star

K

5.1

2star

HB

6.7

4star

M

4.4

4star

T

2.9

4star

G

0.3

3star

No current season stats available

D

12.2

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

5.4

5star

T

2.8

5star

G

0.4

3star

To Kick 2+ Goals
Jack Ginnivan To Kick 2+ Goals
Malcolm Rosas To Kick 2+ Goals
Ben King

34

Ben King

Age

24

Ht

202cm

Wt

98kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

2.2

2star

M

3.5

4star

T

0.5

3star

G

1.3

5star

D

7.5

2star

K

5.6

2star

HB

1.9

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

0.3

1star

G

1.5

5star

D

6.8

2star

K

4.4

2star

HB

2.4

3star

M

3.2

4star

T

0.2

3star

G

1.0

4star

To Kick 2+ Goals
Un 162.5 Total Match Points Over/under
Matt Rowell

18

Matt Rowell

Age

23

Ht

180cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.4

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

9.8

5star

M

0.8

1star

T

5.2

5star

CL

3.8

5star

D

17.4

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

9.8

5star

M

0.8

1star

T

5.2

5star

CL

3.8

5star

D

17.4

5star

K

7.6

3star

HB

9.8

5star

M

0.8

1star

T

5.2

5star

CL

3.8

5star

To Get 20+ Disposals

1u $288.97 PB

 

[fpm84]

I think O Henry is great value on Lads. $3.15 for 3 and $7 for 4 playing North with Hawkins looking like he will get a rest.

Is around $2 for 3 and $3.50 for 4 on tab/365 atm

Great pick up on this, I put $20 on 4+ at $7, it’s currently into $3.45 in line with other books.

 

[fpm84]

Gold Coast v Hawthorn
Gold Coast 1-39
Dylan Moore To Kick 2+ Goals
Jack Ginnivan To Kick 2+ Goals
Malcolm Rosas To Kick 2+ Goals
Ben King To Kick 2+ Goals
Un 162.5 Total Match Points Over/under
Matt Rowell To Get 20+ Disposals

1u $288.97 PB

Tailed this and added Newcombe 20+, at slightly worse odds of $259.89.

 

[fpm84]

Cats v North:

Cats 25+
Holmes 20+
Miers 20+
Bowes 20+
Dempsey 15+
Henry 3+
Stengle 3+
Close AGS
Dempsey AGS
@60.97 PB

 

[Play On Advantage]

Tailed the Lohman and Emmett trains.

Lohmann has looked extremely lively so better than even money is a gift to cover the bets
2.5u AGS $2.10
1u 2+ $7.25
1u 3+ $26

Emmett same odds but only 1u on 2+ and .5u on 3+

.25u on 3+ each @ $667

While it pains me to say it, I dont mind Ben Keays

2

Ben Keays

Age

27

Ht

186cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.1

3star

K

5.8

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

2.3

2star

T

3.9

5star

G

0.4

3star

D

13.7

3star

K

8.7

3star

HB

5.0

3star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.7

4star

G

0.3

3star

D

13.0

4star

K

4.8

2star

HB

8.2

5star

M

1.4

2star

T

4.4

5star

G

0.4

3star

against Carlton. Plays a negating role on Saad and works hard back the other way for a few joe the goose goals. 6 goals in his last two games against the blues. It wont be a big play as I dont fully trust Adelaide (or his footskills) to move the ball quick enough to exploit Saads defensive work but at $5 for 2+ and $15 for 3+ its worth a small nibble. EDIT: @PB

 

[Johanpetro]

Lohman/Emmett/JedWalter 1 goal each @ $5.55

2 goals each at $160

PB

 

[BloodRet]

Pickett 2
Gresham 2
Greene 3
McKay 3
Rosas 2
Jezza 3
@70

 

[dontlimitme]

Pickett 2
Gresham 2
Greene 3
McKay 3
Rosas 2
Jezza 3
@70

pickett suspended?

 

[BloodRet]

pickett suspended?

Oh ****

 

[BloodRet]

@~$34 then

 

[dontlimitme]

Oh *

they are appealing but i doubt he gets off, done that shit all the time the jumping bumps

 

[BloodRet]

they are appealing but i doubt he gets off, done that s**t all the time the jumping bumps

Yeah deserves a week minimum

 

[pacemaker]

Kai Lohmann To Kick 3+ Goals
Dylan Moore

13

Dylan Moore

Age

25

Ht

177cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.9

3star

K

5.1

2star

HB

6.7

4star

M

4.4

4star

T

2.9

4star

G

0.3

3star

No current season stats available

D

12.2

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

5.4

5star

T

2.8

5star

G

0.4

3star

To Kick 2 Goals
Tom Emmett To Kick 3+ Goals
Maurice Rioli To Kick 2+ Goals

0.2u @ $6890.94 PB

 

[freo_leo29]

Kai Lohmann To Kick 3+ Goals
Dylan Moore To Kick 2 Goals
Tom Emmett To Kick 3+ Goals
Maurice Rioli To Kick 2+ Goals

0.2u @ $6890.94 PB

Imagine this hits had to chuck a tenner on it

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Imagine this hits had to chuck a tenner on it

All four AGS = $8

All four 2+ = $500

Every regular on this board who doesn't chuck at least 0.1u on all four to kick at least one goal is a bum.

 

[BloodRet]

Kai Lohmann To Kick 3+ Goals
Dylan Moore To Kick 2 Goals
Tom Emmett To Kick 3+ Goals
Maurice Rioli To Kick 2+ Goals

0.2u @ $6890.94 PB

Tailed 2+ ea

 

[dontlimitme]

Kai Lohmann To Kick 3+ Goals
Dylan Moore To Kick 2 Goals
Tom Emmett To Kick 3+ Goals
Maurice Rioli To Kick 2+ Goals

0.2u @ $6890.94 PB

TAILED

ALSO ALL 3+ @ 47937 SB boosted

cause why not lol

 

[Mags98]

switta and freddy out, should see jackson and banfield forward more. pretty consistent scorers so will take them both at 2+ @16.75 PB

 

[NYRB]

Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

Goals. It didnt come through last week but the odds have gone slightly up this week for anytime goalscorer. I dont think the ground dimensions suited his long kicking at the ground at Adelaide Hills (Mount Barker) with a more longer field last week. Feel like that ground suited more the traditional forward and smaller forwards.

Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

1+ Goal @ $3.50
Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

2+ Goals @ $21
Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

3+ Goals @ 85.05

 

[sohohoho]

don't check the dimensions of Manuka Oval then

 

[dontlimitme]

don't check the dimensions of Manuka Oval then

lmao

 

[NYRB]

don't check the dimensions of Manuka Oval then

A slightly wider ground like Manuka , means the midfielders are in-play for goals. Manuka is 162 m v 138 m, Adelaide Hills ground is 160 m v 132 m.

And there was this weird wind direction in Adelaide Hills matches last week, in Swans v Eagles it keep swirling around favouring one side than the other. Not sure as I have never been to SA /Adelaide/Mt Barker before.

Manuka usually alot more faster track. Been there to the cricket a few times.

 

[sohohoho]

A slightly wider ground like Manuka , means the midfielders are in-play for goals. Manuka is 162 m v 138 m, Adelaide Hills ground is 160 m v 132 m.

Maybe you are right, every link I looked at had the ground 160x141
either way I don't think this has any affect on Tom Green

 

[NYRB]

Maybe you are right, every link I looked at had the ground 160x141
either way I don't think this has any affect on Tom Green

I dont reckon the Saints played that well against Richmond on the weekend.

Leaning towards Giants 1-39 pts winning margin.



And can understand the price if you see the heat map of Green in last years final against Saints. I can see alot of punters not interested.





Bet probably has a better chance if Giants get a few more stoppages in the forward 50, as Kingsley is fairly settled with his forward line of: Greene, Hogan, Riccardi and Brown.

Watching the Giants , from observations in term of kicking the ball effectively over long distances, dare I say the pecking order is: Josh Kelly> Coniglio > Tom Green? From that perspective I guess I can understand why the odds are shorter for the first listed couple to score goals.

 

[pendlebury_10]

Watching the Giants , from observations in term of kicking the ball effectively over long distances, dare I say the pecking order is: Josh Kelly> Coniglio > Tom Green? From that perspective I guess I can understand why the odds are shorter for the first listed couple to score goals.

The odds are shorter because they simply kick more goals