AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 5

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Hugh McCluggage stats on my spreadsheet:

1 u
McCluggage Anytime Goalscorer
McCluggage Over 101.5 AFL Fantasy Points
McCluggage Over 24.5 Disposals

Odds: 9.42

Has cleared the line in 28 of his past 77 games.


And also chucked it in a lotto with Zorko

0.25 u
McCluggage Anytime Goalscorer
McCluggage Over 101.5 AFL Fantasy Points
McCluggage Over 24.5 Disposals
Zorko Anytime Goalscorer
Zorko Under 98.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Zorko Under 24.5 Disposals

Odds: 72.76
 
A play based on trends and stats

Zorko has passed these lines has passed these lines in 10 of his past 69 games.

Zorko Anytime Goalscorer
Zorko Under 24.5 Disposals
Zorko Under 98.5 AFL Fantasy Points

Odds: $7.74

The odds are fair without being great.

I can see a world where Zorko scores a goal tonight and not quite clearing those disposals/Fantasy lines.
The majority of the arbitrary stats that you have used come from a pool where he was playing half-forward where:

A - The ceiling for the amount of disposals he could win each game was much less
B - He was much closer to goal, meaning he was much more likely to kick them
 

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The majority of the arbitrary stats that you have used come from a pool where he was playing half-forward where:

A - The ceiling for the amount of disposals he could win each game was much less
B - He was much closer to goal, meaning he was much more likely to kick one
He is the interesting one.

Pointsbet didnt have Zorko for Stat Multiplier line (Kicks x Goals x Handballs). Sportsbet didnt have him for goalscorer markets. They dont know how to price him.

Bar Neale and Dunkley, Brisbane have never striked me as a side that wants to accumulate possession. Zorko is good enough for goal in any game. Probably need a game where Brisbane have stoppages in forward 50 for it to have a chance.
 
My SB free hit multi:

Chandler 3
Lohmann, Petracca, C Cameron 2
ANB 1
@ 576


I'll do a more sensible one for Friday night.
Happy Dog GIF
 
He is the interesting one.

Pointsbet didnt have Zorko for Stat Multiplier line (Kicks x Goals x Handballs). Sportsbet didnt have him for goalscorer markets. They dont know how to price him.

Bar Neale and Dunkley, Brisbane have never striked me as a side that wants to accumulate possession. Zorko is good enough for goal in any game. Probably need a game where Brisbane have stoppages in forward 50 for it to have a chance.
He's moved to half-back with McKenna and Coleman out.

Took 50% of the kick-ins last week.

Sportsbet probably didn't list him because there is no interest in him for goals any more due to his new role.
 
Melksham on channel 10 Sports talking up the prospects of young Koltyn. Saying he brings alot of energy to the team and will play as a speedy, pressure player capable of aerial feats who he very much expects to hit the scoreboard tonight.

Sounded like he was coming in to play the Kossie role?
 
Wait til he does the trends on Lukosius
He's moved to half-back with McKenna and Coleman out.

Took 50% of the kick-ins last week.

Sportsbet probably didn't list him because there is no interest in him for goals any more due to his new role.
The way the game is played these days, is you can have phases where the game where defenders are pretty much playing up field. Defenders are always in the game for goals. How often do we see games where 80% to 90% of players are on half of the field?

I may have put my eggs in one basket looking at the team sheets last night seeing Zorko being named in a forward pocket. Yes I realise last week he was shifted back to defence but I was on him for a goal at above evens.

I think Zorko has a better instinctive small forward feel for goals. Id be surprised if he doesnt have a bit of time up there and he can kick them from around 50 out. He only needs 1 chance.......
 
The way the game is played these days, is you can have phases where the game where defenders are pretty much playing up field. Defenders are always in the game for goals. How often do we see games where 80% to 90% of players are on half of the field?

I may have put my eggs in one basket looking at the team sheets last night seeing Zorko being named in a forward pocket.
He does go sneak down sure and did last week, there are plenty of cheap disposals for him in this role though.
He's been named FP the last few games but being unchanged the likelihood of a position change is next to none
 

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Think Joe will be quiet after an easy run against Norf and Hipwood will likely contribute points. Charlie to be missing up some country road, Melbourne defense will keep the Lions "big guns" quiet, no value in them kicking 2-3 so having a shot with these. Not fond of the line or betting Lions H2H in general. So small degen trains it is. Hopefully Neale can get a couple for his 250th. Good luck fellas.

.25u McLuggage 1+ @ 2.40 PB
.1u McLuggage 2+ @ 11 PB

.25u Lohman 1+ @ 2.45 SB
.25u Lohman 2+ @ 9.66 SB

.1u McLuggage 2+ & Lohman 2+ @ $58 SB

.1u Neale 1+ @ 5.70 SB
.1u Neale 2+ @ 21 PB
 

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AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 5

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