AFL 2024 Brownlow Medal

[balmainforever]

Anyone putting up winning or very unlucky losing bets after the count will be given a card.
Everyone has been warned.

 

[pacemaker]

Tom green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

3 votes rd 0 and Rd 1 $4.18 ts. Could add r2 at 1.01 odds but I chose not to bring this to $4.22

 

[pendlebury_10]

ADEL

14 - Dawson
8 - Laird
7 - Rankine
6 - sholl
5 - Keays
4 - Fogarty
3 - Hinge
2 - Crouch
1 - Walker

No Soligo who won the Showdown medal ?

 

[ShaunWDT]

Are people underestimating Bont a bit assuming Neale for 3rd? I think he's a good chance of ruining those trifectas tbh

Just think Neale dominates enough games in the 2nd half of the year that they won, will be a joke if hes not farming the best on grounds in majority of those wins.

 

[NYRB]

Round 22 v Lions. Another Giants win and Green likely the fave to get the 3. Was good throughout this match but wasn’t anything special. Has competition from a few places - Hogan and Cadman kicked 3 each but felt like high influence. Callaghan not far off. Peatling 6 free kicks at the stoppages shouldn’t go missed. Darcy Jones good in the last. Will Ashcroft also a huge chance to get into the minors was good all day. Looks like he’s $3.50 3rd fave for the 3 here with B365.

I thought Peatling had the better game. But in terms of name recognition , just have a feeling the umps may go to the bigger name in Tom Green in Rd 22 v Brisbane. Dabble have Tom Green and Peatling neck and neck for the best on ground.

Tricky game to predict. Originally had Darcy Jones in for votes but being a Rising Star nominee and new to the comp, umps tend to steer away from those sorts of players unless its a game they thoroughly played good for 4 quarters.

 

[pacemaker]

Team votes
Zorko without Neale
Holmes
Moore

$936 dabble

 

[NSWCROW]

Freo

17 - serong
16 - Brayshaw
11 - H Young
9 - L Ryan
8 - J Clark
5 - L Jackson
4 - sharp
3 - Fyfe / Treacy
2 - Darcy / switkowski

 

[pacemaker]

Green top 10
Neale top 5
$2.08

 

[NSWCROW]

No Soligo who won the Showdown medal ?

Arrggghh **** oopz

had him on 5

Went back and edited , thanks mate

 

[NSWCROW]

Are people underestimating Bont a bit assuming Neale for 3rd? I think he's a good chance of ruining those trifectas tbh

Treloar hurts imo

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

Green top 10
Neale top 5
$2.08

Which book?

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

Have had a lot of PM's from posters asking for my count. I don't post it on here any longer for a few reasons, particularly getting PM's from posters if they followed parts of it and didn't win. Considering I did it to help others, thought was that a bit much so decided to compile the count same as always but without external noise, which was very successful in 2023.

One stat which is worth considering for punters. the last 17 times (2020 - 2023) that Marcus Bontempelli

4

Marcus Bontempelli

Age

28

Ht

194cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.5

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

10.3

5star

M

3.6

4star

T

4.8

5star

CL

4.4

5star

D

18.4

4star

K

9.7

4star

HB

8.8

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

4.1

5star

CL

4.0

5star

D

12.0

3star

K

5.8

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

1.8

4star

has kicked 2 goals or more in the minor round, he has polled. He has kicked 2 goals or more 11 times this season.

Patrick Cripps

9

Patrick Cripps

Age

29

Ht

195cm

Wt

93kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

25.9

5star

K

9.8

4star

HB

16.1

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

5.8

5star

CL

7.4

5star

D

21.0

5star

K

10.1

4star

HB

10.9

5star

M

2.5

3star

T

3.8

4star

CL

6.3

5star

D

12.6

4star

K

4.8

2star

HB

7.8

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

3.2

5star

CL

1.4

4star

is a rightful favorite, just ahead of Daicos, but there is still a lot of value to be found in the count, especially handicaps. For team votes, I suspect Port's count will be a lot closer than the market has it, for one.

Good luck, all.

 

[BrownlowPunter]

Have had a lot of PM's from posters asking for my count. I don't post it on here any longer for a few reasons, particularly getting PM's from posters if they followed parts of it and didn't win. Considering I did it to help others, thought was that a bit much so decided to compile the count same as always but without external noise, which was very successful in 2023.

One stat which is worth considering for punters. the last 17 times (2020 - 2023) that Marcus Bontempelli has kicked 2 goals or more in the minor round, he has polled. He has kicked 2 goals or more 11 times this season.

Patrick Cripps is a rightful favorite, just ahead of Daicos, but there is still a lot of value to be found in the count, especially handicaps. For team votes, I suspect Port's count will be a lot closer than the market has it, for one.

Good luck, all.

Nothing sadder than punters who follow other people’s tips and send abuse after a few bad results…

 

[pacemaker]

Neale top 3
Green top 5
Treloar top 10
Walsh top 20

$50 dabble -
boosted to $52

 

[NSWCROW]

Geel

14 - Holmes
10 - J Cameron / stewart
9 - Bowes
7 - Miers
4 - Dempsey
3 - Duncan
2 - De Koning / Hawkins
1 - Dangerfield / Bruhn

 

[NSWCROW]

GC

21 - Anderson
19 - Rowell
13 - Miller
8 - Flanders
2 - Clohesy
1 - Andrew

 

[pacemaker]

Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

o21.5 $1.90
Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

top 5 $5 bf
Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

+8.5 handicap $12 sb

 

[Hawkthorn33]

GC

21 - Anderson
19 - Rowell
13 - Miller
8 - Flanders
2 - Clohesy
1 - Andrew

I'm seriously looking at Touk Miller @$13 for 10 or more votes as an option.

AFL site has him polling 7 votes and in the past he has been a proven vote getter, the only thing is he was injured for a chunk of the season and his clearance numbers are well down from previous years. Only needs 3 BOG's in his 18 games and a 1 vote game to get it.

Rowell gets lots of tackles and Free's for so should be in eye sight of the umpires all day during games.

 

[NSWCROW]

GWS

25 - Whitfield
21 - T Green
7 - Briggs / T Greene
5 - Hogan / Callaghan
4 - Coniglio
3 - J Kelly
1 - Daniels / Peatling / O'Halloran / Himmelberg / Ash


Geez i murdered Hogan there

 

[Mudeo]

The great unknown for GC is Flanders. Can't think of many seasons similar to his to get a comparison to how he will poll. Has had a seriously good year and could surprise everyone and indirectly upset the GC count

 

[Suncraze]

Have had a lot of PM's from posters asking for my count. I don't post it on here any longer for a few reasons, particularly getting PM's from posters if they followed parts of it and didn't win. Considering I did it to help others, thought was that a bit much so decided to compile the count same as always but without external noise, which was very successful in 2023.

One stat which is worth considering for punters. the last 17 times (2020 - 2023) that Marcus Bontempelli has kicked 2 goals or more in the minor round, he has polled. He has kicked 2 goals or more 11 times this season.

Patrick Cripps is a rightful favorite, just ahead of Daicos, but there is still a lot of value to be found in the count, especially handicaps. For team votes, I suspect Port's count will be a lot closer than the market has it, for one.

Good luck, all.

Hey TJM, who do you have behind or in front of Butters

 

[sohohoho]

Are people underestimating Bont a bit assuming Neale for 3rd? I think he's a good chance of ruining those trifectas tbh

Might be some overrating Neale too.

They got plenty of heat off last years result, wouldn't be surprised if umps treat harsher.

 

[sohohoho]

GWS

25 - Whitfield
21 - T Green
7 - Briggs / T Greene
5 - Hogan / Callaghan
4 - Coniglio
3 - J Kelly
1 - Daniels / Peatling / O'Halloran / Himmelberg / Ash


Geez i murdered Hogan there

Thanks Lachie

 

[BrownlowPunter]

GWS

25 - Whitfield
21 - T Green
7 - Briggs / T Greene
5 - Hogan / Callaghan
4 - Coniglio
3 - J Kelly
1 - Daniels / Peatling / O'Halloran / Himmelberg / Ash


Geez i murdered Hogan there

 

[NSWCROW]

Bris

32 - Neale
16 - McLuggage
14 - Dunkley
11 - Zorko
6 - Mcinerney
4 - Daniher / Ashcroft
1 - Rayner / Lohmann

 

[X_box_X]

Treloar hurts imo

Bont under 25.5 votes is bet of the night.

People are underestimating how poor he was to finish the season.