balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 1
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,994
- 12,187
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Dabble Pick Em
Geelong v Freo
Jeremy Sharp Over 17.5 Disposals
Bailey Smith Under 23.5 Disposals
Serong Over 97.5 Fantasy Points
Odds: 6.50 (1u)
No Geelong player achieved more than 23 disposals in last years fixture against Freo. B Smith only cleared this line 1/7 times against Freo in his career. The total number of times Geelong players have cleared 24+ disposals in the past 4 games against Freo - has happened only 4 times. (2 players in 2023 R20 and 2 players in 2022 ). I am seeing a line of 24.5 but quite happy to go as low as 23.5 here.
Sharp to clear this line for me. Dockers to play their possession style footy away from home. Picked up 28 last year against Geelong.
Serong To clear this line for Fantasy- has cleared in his last 3 games against Geelong. I also think the Supercoach Line of 107.5 is a good alternate play if you fancy that as well, which he has also covered in his last 3. Think the Dockers midfield is better than Cats midfield. Dockers have beaten Cats cumulatively as a team in Supercoach scoring and Fantasy scoring in the past 4 matches. And I dont think play at Kardinia Park should be a fear factor for Freo, they have won their past 2 matches down there. The major sportsbooks are offering odds on for Serong to Clear 100+ Fantasy, so happy to take 97.5 as a Pick Em.
Also small little degen: Sharp O 17.5 Disposals, Bailey Smith Under 23.5 Disposals, Serong O 97.5 Fantasy, Switkowski AGS
Odds: 13.32 (0.25u)
Switkowski has kicked at least a goal in 3 of his past 4 against Geelong. He priced at 1.88 to kick a goal today at SB.
And a play on Jeremy Sharp Fantasy Lines Ladder-all at BetRight:
80+ Fantasy $1.85 (1.5u)
90+ Fantasy $2.85 (0.50u)
100+ Fantasy $4.50 (0.50u)
110+ Fantasy $8.00 (0.25u)
Sharp scored 112 Fantasy last season in a losing team. With no Young, I sense Dockers who are one of the better teams at retaining possession continue on their trend of scoring better in Fantasy over Geelong.
And Most Disposals Group A - I like Luke Ryan at $12.50 on Sportsbet . Has been leading disposal gettor 1 time in past 4 games and came within a disposal of equaling in another game. Im going to stick to the numbers and look to back Freo players for disposals and fading Geelong players for disposals.
Most Disposal Group B- 1u stake on Sharp at 9 at TAB, 0.5u stake on O'Driscoll at 11s. Quite like this group as you have 2 rucks in there. I think a number like 21-23 could very clinch this group. A little bit of insurance on O'Driscoll.
Geelong v Freo
Jeremy Sharp Over 17.5 Disposals
Bailey Smith Under 23.5 Disposals
Serong Over 97.5 Fantasy Points
Odds: 6.50 (1u)
No Geelong player achieved more than 23 disposals in last years fixture against Freo. B Smith only cleared this line 1/7 times against Freo in his career. The total number of times Geelong players have cleared 24+ disposals in the past 4 games against Freo - has happened only 4 times. (2 players in 2023 R20 and 2 players in 2022 ). I am seeing a line of 24.5 but quite happy to go as low as 23.5 here.
Sharp to clear this line for me. Dockers to play their possession style footy away from home. Picked up 28 last year against Geelong.
Serong To clear this line for Fantasy- has cleared in his last 3 games against Geelong. I also think the Supercoach Line of 107.5 is a good alternate play if you fancy that as well, which he has also covered in his last 3. Think the Dockers midfield is better than Cats midfield. Dockers have beaten Cats cumulatively as a team in Supercoach scoring and Fantasy scoring in the past 4 matches. And I dont think play at Kardinia Park should be a fear factor for Freo, they have won their past 2 matches down there. The major sportsbooks are offering odds on for Serong to Clear 100+ Fantasy, so happy to take 97.5 as a Pick Em.
Also small little degen: Sharp O 17.5 Disposals, Bailey Smith Under 23.5 Disposals, Serong O 97.5 Fantasy, Switkowski AGS
Odds: 13.32 (0.25u)
Switkowski has kicked at least a goal in 3 of his past 4 against Geelong. He priced at 1.88 to kick a goal today at SB.
And a play on Jeremy Sharp Fantasy Lines Ladder-all at BetRight:
80+ Fantasy $1.85 (1.5u)
90+ Fantasy $2.85 (0.50u)
100+ Fantasy $4.50 (0.50u)
110+ Fantasy $8.00 (0.25u)
Sharp scored 112 Fantasy last season in a losing team. With no Young, I sense Dockers who are one of the better teams at retaining possession continue on their trend of scoring better in Fantasy over Geelong.
And Most Disposals Group A - I like Luke Ryan at $12.50 on Sportsbet . Has been leading disposal gettor 1 time in past 4 games and came within a disposal of equaling in another game. Im going to stick to the numbers and look to back Freo players for disposals and fading Geelong players for disposals.
Most Disposal Group B- 1u stake on Sharp at 9 at TAB, 0.5u stake on O'Driscoll at 11s. Quite like this group as you have 2 rucks in there. I think a number like 21-23 could very clinch this group. A little bit of insurance on O'Driscoll.
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Where's this?
- Oct 6, 2011
- 38,994
- 12,187
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
0.10 unit a bit of a fun lotto with the TAB Touch WA 50% Profit Boost, requiring just the 4 selections:
4 selections
Geelong - Fremantle
Odds Boosted to odds of $976.00
Just need Switkowski couple of goals (slight increase on his previous output), Amiss to miss and get 2 behinds like last time he came to Kardinia Park. Sharp and Luke to stat pad a few stats from the Dockers backline. Dockers go a bit more conservatively transitioning from defence to forward.
I want a bit bigger of odds from Sportsbet for : Amiss 2+ Goals, Switkowski 2+ Goals, Ryan 30+ Disposals and Sharp 25+ Disposals paying a paltry $121
4 selections
Geelong - Fremantle
Player to score at least 2 Goals
Switkowski, Sam - Yes
Player to get at least 30 Disposals
Ryan, Luke - Yes
Player to get at least 25 Disposals
Sharp, Jeremy - Yes
Player to score at least 2 Behinds
Amiss, Jye - Yes
Odds Boosted to odds of $976.00
Just need Switkowski couple of goals (slight increase on his previous output), Amiss to miss and get 2 behinds like last time he came to Kardinia Park. Sharp and Luke to stat pad a few stats from the Dockers backline. Dockers go a bit more conservatively transitioning from defence to forward.
I want a bit bigger of odds from Sportsbet for : Amiss 2+ Goals, Switkowski 2+ Goals, Ryan 30+ Disposals and Sharp 25+ Disposals paying a paltry $121
Pick 7 ATGS
$1.97 > $2.24
Holmes
McCluggage
Richards
Harmes
Dawson
O'Halloran
Holman
$201/1 TS
$1.97 > $2.24
Holmes
McCluggage
Richards
Harmes
Dawson
O'Halloran
Holman
$201/1 TS
Any big odds, single bets, we like for the rest of the weekend?
Freo Line 16.5 @ SB.
Freo is like GWS at the cheat ground as Bay 13 calls it.
Freo is like GWS at the cheat ground as Bay 13 calls it.
Not watching, is Ryan being tagged or just doing f-all
Not a bad start, second half need
Smith 5 d
Guthrie 4 d
Close 5 d
Neale 1 g
Which campaigner is gonna let me down? Probably Neale
sold, ive got to listen to anyone that has the legend 'modra6' as their name.
- Jun 16, 2018
- 9,074
- 16,219
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
Looking good but Neale the suspect leg imo.
Neale!!
It's down to Close to let me down now, had 13 at 3qt, needs 2 the campaigner
J Fletcher 2/3 @ 13/71 b365
L Neale 2/3 @ 13/71 b365
L Neale 2/3 @ 13/71 b365
On the bench stuck on 14 cashed out for 3 quarters the dividend when he went to the bench
Murphy Reid is the one that got away….
Winning games isn't my problem. Would have loved 25 and 15 cheapies
