balmainforever
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AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 2
- Thread starter balmainforever
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Good stuff, well done
- Oct 6, 2011
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3 Leg Pick Em- Early play for Sunday.
Sam Day Under 2 Goals v WCE
Petracca Under 1.5 Goals v North Melbourne
Blakey Over 77.5 AFL Fantasy Points v Freo
Odds: $6.50 (1u)
Sam Day Under 2 Goals v WCE
Oscar Allen Over 1.5 Goals v Brisbane
Petracca Under 1.5 Goals v North Melbourne
Blakey Over 77.5 AFL Fantasy Pts v Freo
Odds: $12.96 (0.50u)
Think the line for Petracca should be exactly 1 goal even if its against North playing as a midfielder. Against North he averages less than a goal a game.
Day hasnt kicked 3+ for a while and there is the chance he gets subbed out early. Someone is going to have to miss out the goals from Brisbanes side tomorrow, the question is who? Tossing up between: Bailey, Rayner and Ah Chee. I sense Day will be the one to miss out tomorrow. Day only kicked 3+, 8 times in his career from 155 games.
Blakey cleared both of these lines last year against Freo. One of the games he got 3 Brownlow Votes. Has cleared this line in the 2 matches in 2025. Swans will go to him to give them the drive out of defence. Seeing 80+ Fantasy at Pointsbet at $1.50 and $1.42 at Ladbrokes which is far, far poorer value.
Oscar Allen to clear the Over 1.5 goal line. Less confident about this one as I think the West Coast team would even struggle against WAFL-level teams let alone the reigning champs. Good enough to get a few opportunities with the ball coming down the Eagles forward 50 , against a not 100% fit Harris Andrews too.
Sam Day Under 2 Goals v WCE
Petracca Under 1.5 Goals v North Melbourne
Blakey Over 77.5 AFL Fantasy Points v Freo
Odds: $6.50 (1u)
Sam Day Under 2 Goals v WCE
Oscar Allen Over 1.5 Goals v Brisbane
Petracca Under 1.5 Goals v North Melbourne
Blakey Over 77.5 AFL Fantasy Pts v Freo
Odds: $12.96 (0.50u)
Think the line for Petracca should be exactly 1 goal even if its against North playing as a midfielder. Against North he averages less than a goal a game.
Day hasnt kicked 3+ for a while and there is the chance he gets subbed out early. Someone is going to have to miss out the goals from Brisbanes side tomorrow, the question is who? Tossing up between: Bailey, Rayner and Ah Chee. I sense Day will be the one to miss out tomorrow. Day only kicked 3+, 8 times in his career from 155 games.
Blakey cleared both of these lines last year against Freo. One of the games he got 3 Brownlow Votes. Has cleared this line in the 2 matches in 2025. Swans will go to him to give them the drive out of defence. Seeing 80+ Fantasy at Pointsbet at $1.50 and $1.42 at Ladbrokes which is far, far poorer value.
Oscar Allen to clear the Over 1.5 goal line. Less confident about this one as I think the West Coast team would even struggle against WAFL-level teams let alone the reigning champs. Good enough to get a few opportunities with the ball coming down the Eagles forward 50 , against a not 100% fit Harris Andrews too.
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Lachie Neale 2/3 @ $8/$34 SB
Great value for mine, can see the Lions winning this by a lot at home and Neale pushing forward and slotting at least 2.
Great value for mine, can see the Lions winning this by a lot at home and Neale pushing forward and slotting at least 2.
_ASP3X
Club Legend
- Mar 14, 2022
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Also taking Neale. Going to take McCluggage as well.
- Oct 6, 2011
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3 more SGM bets for Brisbane v Eagles on Sunday
1u
WCE +60.5 pt handicap, Tim Kelly 20+ Disposals, Allen 2+ Goals $4.40
1u
WCE +60.5 pt handicap, Duggan 20+ Disposals, Liam Ryan 2+ Goals $6.80
2u
Under 177.5 pts, WCE +60.5 pt handicap $3.30
The Eagles were woeful last week. Just a little bit worried about the Brisbane outs in: Lohmann, Fort and Starcevich. The players coming in , aren't the same level of players. Eagles to keep it competitive.
1u
WCE +60.5 pt handicap, Tim Kelly 20+ Disposals, Allen 2+ Goals $4.40
1u
WCE +60.5 pt handicap, Duggan 20+ Disposals, Liam Ryan 2+ Goals $6.80
2u
Under 177.5 pts, WCE +60.5 pt handicap $3.30
The Eagles were woeful last week. Just a little bit worried about the Brisbane outs in: Lohmann, Fort and Starcevich. The players coming in , aren't the same level of players. Eagles to keep it competitive.
- Mar 18, 2020
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Need something to bet on after my bjg Hawthorn win. I don't know if Eagles +60 is high or low
Boring bet.
Neale
Raynor
Logan the Bogan
$3 boosted at Ladbrokes
Neale
Raynor
Logan the Bogan
$3 boosted at Ladbrokes
- Aug 17, 2009
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Ryan Maric fantasy points/disposals
He's moved to HB and has been played as a QB for WC this preseason. Last week he was the sub and scored 31 (9 disp) from 33% TOG.
70+ Fantasy @ $2.60
80+ @ $4.75
20+ @ $3.50 (probably not value compared to the above)
25+ @ $14
Odds at PB
He's moved to HB and has been played as a QB for WC this preseason. Last week he was the sub and scored 31 (9 disp) from 33% TOG.
70+ Fantasy @ $2.60
80+ @ $4.75
20+ @ $3.50 (probably not value compared to the above)
25+ @ $14
Odds at PB
Darling for goals today. Should be looking for him in his 300th
Neale / Morris / Bailey / Rayner 2+
Will Ashcroft / Big O / Mcluggage AGS
Zorko 25+
@$141 SB
Will Ashcroft / Big O / Mcluggage AGS
Zorko 25+
@$141 SB
Jonsyd1
Team Captain
- Sep 18, 2020
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There was a bit of rain earlier this morning but it’s cleared up, just overcast now
Ah Chee 2
MC luggage 1
Ryan 1
Allen 1
Rayner 1 @7.35 one fail bet return PB.
Only @4.50 SB. The odds for SGM at SB are shit, the only good thing with SB is if your player is subbed before HT your stake is returned. PB offer better odds but don't give you that.
MC luggage 1
Ryan 1
Allen 1
Rayner 1 @7.35 one fail bet return PB.
Only @4.50 SB. The odds for SGM at SB are shit, the only good thing with SB is if your player is subbed before HT your stake is returned. PB offer better odds but don't give you that.
- Oct 6, 2011
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Going in with the tackles angle on Ginbey.
His Line for tackles is Under/over 3.5 . Where you can get plus money for 4+ Tackles. Got this last week but I have decided to take the juice on 6+ Tackles at $7.50 (1u), 8+ Tackles at $34 (0.50u)
These conditions should suit his style of game where I'm expecting game to be physical today.
Another multi for today:
Ginbey 4+ Tackles vs Brisbane
Darling 2+ Goals vs Dees
Amiss 2+ Goals v Sydney
Odds: $11.85 (0.375u)
His Line for tackles is Under/over 3.5 . Where you can get plus money for 4+ Tackles. Got this last week but I have decided to take the juice on 6+ Tackles at $7.50 (1u), 8+ Tackles at $34 (0.50u)
These conditions should suit his style of game where I'm expecting game to be physical today.
You've sold me on the Darling goals today.
Another multi for today:
Ginbey 4+ Tackles vs Brisbane
Darling 2+ Goals vs Dees
Amiss 2+ Goals v Sydney
Odds: $11.85 (0.375u)
Neale 4.25 for 35 at pb is decent hes gunna bounce back hard prob go 12_17 touched in 1st lol.m given eagles calibre and lack of accountability.. Even 40 too
- May 20, 2016
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reville 2/3 @ 8/34 365
listed half forward
dunno if he plays there but hoping he gets a chance to be up forward ala mckenna last week
listed half forward
dunno if he plays there but hoping he gets a chance to be up forward ala mckenna last week
Am I off my head or is Sydney the best bet of the round?
Played 2x likely top 4 teams and took it up to them, vsing Freo who just got absolutely demolished by the Cats.
Sydney also seem to do well against Freo at Optus in recent years with their kick/mark game.
Played 2x likely top 4 teams and took it up to them, vsing Freo who just got absolutely demolished by the Cats.
Sydney also seem to do well against Freo at Optus in recent years with their kick/mark game.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 39,091
- 12,224
- AFL Club
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- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Yep Swans at above evens for me as well.
The Dockers defence largely looked slow, in the case of Luke Ryan as mentioned by Dockers supporters on the BigFooty thread - looked unfit, and im not sure if Cox is playing 100% fitness. Luke Ryan largely looked hesitant, lost and confused trying to play a fast tempo style last week. Alex Pearce looked like a witches hat last week.
If Swans play at the level they did against Brisbane, especially with pace in that forward line, they can expose that Dockers defence- which has been a strength of theirs in the past 2-3 seasons.
