AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 3

[balmainforever]

 

[5 Bucks]

Freijah $3.10, $14 for a goal or two on TAB

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

AGS
Naughton
Williams
Long
Van Rooyen
Hall
Mansell
Ginni
Cadman
Bailey
Miers
ANB
Curtis
Brockman
Banfield
$210 boosted

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

The goal odds 365 give on first gamers now….why bother checking…looking at you Isaiah Dudley…no idea who he is

 

[Simpleskills]

Doch named forward, he's anything but a forward but who knows what the hell we're doing. 1, 2, 3 goals combined and boosted @81 on PB.

 

[Johanpetro]

Doch named forward, he's anything but a forward but who knows what the hell we're doing. 1, 2, 3 goals combined and boosted @81 on PB.

Was named forward pocket last week as well. Didn’t mean anything. Unless you have a reason for him to actually play there for you guys tonight?

 

[taurus]

Vandemeer
Cotterall
Kennedy
$6 B365

 

[NYRB]

West Coast Eagles v Freo Western Derby
TAB Touch WA allowed me a bit of loose change on it at odds of $1201. A bit of a lotto for Sunday.

$2.50 on it








Same odds at Sportsbet pays 1050.

Western Derby to be a high scoring shootout and Harley Reid to have a bounceback game after getting criticism throughout the week .

 

[ferrisb]

Matthew Kennedy Revenge Spot. Left the Blues with a chip on his shoulder.

3 Leg Pick Em for Bulldogs v Carlton
Cripps Over 5 Tackles
Kennedy Over 82.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Sam Darcy Over 4.5 Marks
Odds: $6.50 (1u)

TAB have Cripps 6+ Tackles at odds on which represents poor value based on his past 2 and a bit seasons. Cripps got 2 Brownlow Votes competing against the Dogs (with Bont) last season. Did get 8 tackles last season in that game. Thought about the 99.5 Fantasy line or the Tackles line of 5, I believe if he is to clear that 99.5 Fantasy line , he most likely will have to clear the tackles line.

Cripps in his last 71 games: 0-4 Tackles =24 games, Exactly 5 Tackles= 16 games, Over 5.5 Tackles= 31 games
Cripps in his last 71 games in AFL Fantasy, Under 99.5 AFL Fantasy= 40 games, Over 99.5 AFL Fantasy= 31 games

I believe there is a little edge as a bit of insurance on the Over 5 Tackles here, given the choice of AFL Fantasy or Tackles. Not too keen on going higher ladder tackles on Crippa as he showed signs in the first couple of games this season - he has lost a yard of pace.

Kennedy to clear this line as he has a chip on his shoulder over summer after being used as the sub in their game last year.

In the marks, Darcy to clear the line even up against Carltons best in Weitering. Given TAB have Darcy 6+ Marks at Odds on, PB have him for 6+ at $1.59 which frankly is shocking value, again Im happy to take a Pick Em line here for his marks. There will be a game this season where I will look to oppose Sam Darcy marks but this isnt the game for me.


AFL Fantasy team groups happy to have 0.5u stakes on Blake Acres to win his group at 11s and Matthew Kennedy to win his group at 11s.


View attachment 2263519

View attachment 2263520

What is the deal with Dabble Pickems having whole numbers in over/unders?

Eg Weitering line is 6. If he gets 6, overs AND unders lose?

 

[NYRB]

What is the deal with Dabble Pickems having whole numbers in over/unders?

Eg Weitering line is 6. If he gets 6, overs AND unders lose?

Good question. Its treated as a 'Push' . Dont usually see too many 'Push' type markets in the AFL, may be the first time I have seen any agency offering that option. I queried about Liberatore line of 7 tackles, and Naughton 2 goals a week or so ago. Refer to email below:






If backing a 3 leg at odds of 6.50, and you got 2 winners and 1 void/push, you would be paid out 3.20 .

Dabbles increments go up by:

2 Leg= 3.20
3 Legs= 6.50
4 Legs= $12
5 Legs= $25
6 Legs = $40
7 Legs= $80
8 Legs= $150
9 Legs= $275
10 Legs= $500
11 Legs= $1000
12 Legs= $1500


if you bet on a 12 legger , with 10 correct and 2 bets pushed/void , you would be paid out at odds of $500 is what I am reading.

 

[pacemaker]

Young 1 - $3
Young 2 - $17
Young 3 - $81

 

[pacemaker]

 

[ferrisb]

Good question. Its treated as a 'Push' . Dont usually see too many 'Push' type markets in the AFL, may be the first time I have seen any agency offering that option. I queried about Liberatore line of 7 tackles, and Naughton 2 goals a week or so ago. Refer to email below:

View attachment 2264176

View attachment 2264172


If backing a 3 leg at odds of 6.50, and you got 2 winners and 1 void/push, you would be paid out 3.20 .

Dabbles increments go up by:

2 Leg= 3.20
3 Legs= 6.50
4 Legs= $12
5 Legs= $25
6 Legs = $40
7 Legs= $80
8 Legs= $150
9 Legs= $275
10 Legs= $500
11 Legs= $1000
12 Legs= $1500


if you bet on a 12 legger , with 10 correct and 2 bets pushed/void , you would be paid out at odds of $500 is what I am reading.

Cheers NY

 

[cruskits]

Young 1 - $3
Young 2 - $17
Young 3 - $81

Woweeeee…. One more

 

[NYRB]

Matthew Kennedy Revenge Spot. Left the Blues with a chip on his shoulder.

3 Leg Pick Em for Bulldogs v Carlton
Cripps Over 5 Tackles
Kennedy Over 82.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Sam Darcy Over 4.5 Marks
Odds: $6.50 (1u)

TAB have Cripps 6+ Tackles at odds on which represents poor value based on his past 2 and a bit seasons. Cripps got 2 Brownlow Votes competing against the Dogs (with Bont) last season. Did get 8 tackles last season in that game. Thought about the 99.5 Fantasy line or the Tackles line of 5, I believe if he is to clear that 99.5 Fantasy line , he most likely will have to clear the tackles line.

Cripps in his last 71 games: 0-4 Tackles =24 games, Exactly 5 Tackles= 16 games, Over 5.5 Tackles= 31 games
Cripps in his last 71 games in AFL Fantasy, Under 99.5 AFL Fantasy= 40 games, Over 99.5 AFL Fantasy= 31 games

I believe there is a little edge as a bit of insurance on the Over 5 Tackles here, given the choice of AFL Fantasy or Tackles. Not too keen on going higher ladder tackles on Crippa as he showed signs in the first couple of games this season - he has lost a yard of pace.

Kennedy to clear this line as he has a chip on his shoulder over summer after being used as the sub in their game last year.

In the marks, Darcy to clear the line even up against Carltons best in Weitering. Given TAB have Darcy 6+ Marks at Odds on, PB have him for 6+ at $1.59 which frankly is shocking value, again Im happy to take a Pick Em line here for his marks. There will be a game this season where I will look to oppose Sam Darcy marks but this isnt the game for me.


AFL Fantasy team groups happy to have 0.5u stakes on Blake Acres to win his group at 11s and Matthew Kennedy to win his group at 11s.


View attachment 2263519

View attachment 2263520

3 props clear for Carlton v Bulldogs .

+4.50 units up for Friday Night Footy.

 

[Areyoufireal]

S Flanders 1/2/3 @ 2.25 / 8.5 / 34 SB/PB - Played a more forward role last couple of games last season, kicking 2.1, 2, 2.2 in his last 3 games.

 

[Rank]

Long 2
Keeler 2
S Neale 2 @20.87 SB bonus bet

 

[HTPunter]

Saints players v Tigs whose season reality has kicked in.

Collard & D.Wilson for 2-3 on SB my early play

Odds have drifted a lot since I got on these 2

Currently
Wilson 5.40 & 17
Collard 6 & 21
On SB for 2 & 3 respectively

Don’t quite get why they’ve drifted - Collard kicked 2 v Geelong, Wilson 0.2 v Adelaide and plays an attacking role whilst not being a forward, and Richmond are garbage.

 

[Pacman82]

Miller station's 2 & 3 @14 n 67 PB. 2 last week, named HFF, I'll have a dabble..

 

[taurus]

Long 2
Flanders
Cadman 2. He is a good form and less attention as Hogan returns.
Darcy Jones He excels in fast paced games.
@ 17.42 Ladbrokes

 

[NYRB]

AFL Pick Em Melbourne v Gold Coast

2u
Bailey Humphrey Over 15.5 Disposals
Kade Chandler Over 1 Goal
Viney Over 84.5 Fantasy Points
Odds: $6.50

1u
Bailey Humphrey Over 15.5 Disposals
Kade Chandler Over 1 Goal
Viney Over 84.5 Fantasy Points
Noah Anderson Over 3 Tackles
Odds: $13.20

1u on Anderson 2+ Goals @ $8.00
1u on Rowell 2+ Goals @ $13
1u on Viney 2+ Goals @ 17

1u Ethan Read 2+ Goals, Chandler 2+ Goals @ 9.32 (bet refund if Read kicks exactly 1 and Chandler 2)

 

[NYRB]

Live Betting Melbourne v Gold Coast

Touk Miller Anytime Goalscorer in 2nd Half

2.5 units at $3.90

Got himself in good positions, hit the post in the 1st half. I sense the game will open up in the 2nd half despite some windy conditions in Melbourne.

I believe he will get two or three chances as Gold Coast seem to be dominating - just have been rusty in front of goal.

 

[B_Rice]

Live Betting Melbourne v Gold Coast

Touk Miller Anytime Goalscorer in 2nd Half

2.5 units at $3.90

Got himself in good positions, hit the post in the 1st half. I sense the game will open up in the 2nd half despite some windy conditions in Melbourne.

I believe he will get two or three chances as Gold Coast seem to be dominating - just have been rusty in front of goal.

Great call

 

[NYRB]

Live Betting 4th Qtr Melbourne v Gold Coast

A Little top-up from my above. Just playing with a bit of house money.

Touk Miller AGS in 4th Quarter at $6.75 (1 unit stake)

 

[NYRB]

Miller station's 2 & 3 @14 n 67 PB. 2 last week, named HFF, I'll have a dabble..

Nice call. You have a real chance of nailing a $67 shot.

 

[dontlimitme]

suns bet of the year at pickem, melbourne are a ****ing rabble

absolute rabble