AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 3

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2u
Bailey Humphrey Over 15.5 Disposals
Kade Chandler Over 1 Goal
Viney Over 84.5 Fantasy Points
Odds: $6.50

1u
Bailey Humphrey Over 15.5 Disposals
Kade Chandler Over 1 Goal
Viney Over 84.5 Fantasy Points
Noah Anderson Over 3 Tackles
Odds: $13.20

1u on Anderson 2+ Goals @ $8.00

1u on Rowell 2+ Goals @ $13
1u on Viney 2+ Goals @ 17


1u Ethan Read 2+ Goals, Chandler 2+ Goals @ 9.32 (bet refund if Read kicks exactly 1 and Chandler 2)
Live Betting Melbourne v Gold Coast

Touk Miller Anytime Goalscorer in 2nd Half

2.5 units at $3.90

Live Betting 4th Qtr Melbourne v Gold Coast

A Little top-up from my above. Just playing with a bit of house money.

Touk Miller AGS in 4th Quarter at $6.75 (1 unit stake)

+6.00 units up for Melbourne v Gold Coast. Would have been a better day had Viney cleared his Fantasy lines. Ended up on 70.
 

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Brisbane v Geelong Pick Em:

Bailey Smith Over 96.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Neale Under 107.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Jarrod Berry Over 84.5 Supercoach Pts
Odds: $6.50 (1u)

0.5u play on Jarrod Berry to Top score in Fantasy for the home side at 15s. Scored 117 in Fantasy against same opposition in similar conditions last year. Looking at historical weather that day there was also around 25-30mm rain within 12-24 hours of that game.


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1.5u play for Saturday Night

Brisbane v Geelong Under 157.5 pts
GWS +10.5 handicap v Hawks

Odds: $3.61 (1.5u)

I cant make a case for goals at the GABBA tonight. I think this game follows a very similar pattern to last years game as mentioned before. If you look for bets, better to look at the props eg tackles, SC pts, Fantasy, disposals .

Giants v Hawks a mini-finals preview. Think the week off helps the Giants here. Look at the Dees against Suns as a bit of a case in point today, as the Dees simply ran out of gas against a fresher side. I tipped Hawks to win this at the beginning of the season, think Giants good enough to keep this close and competitive.
 

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Hawks v Giants Saturday Night Pick Em. I know no two games are ever the same but looked at the games they had in 2024. Have decided to take this because it happened in both games last year. Surprisingly there was bang on 173 marks each in the two games last year, and the tackles total was 121 and 123. I do think the teams play a similar sort of style. I think Nash tags Tom Green here.

1st Bet:

Tom Green Under 98.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Newcombe Over 5.5 Tackles
Whitfield Over 6.5 Marks
Odds: $6.50 (1u)


2nd Bet:

This happened in last years match at Manuka. Meek beat Briggs in the hit outs 42 to 23. So taken this:

Toby Greene Over 1.5 Goals
Brent Daniels Over 0.5 Goals
Lloyd Meek 90+ AFL Fantasy Pts
Odds: $7.42 (1u)



And a Lotto combing all of those

Tom Green Under 98.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Newcombe Over 5.5 Tackles
Whitfield Over 6.5 Marks
Toby Greene Over 1.5 Goals
Brent Daniels Over 0.5 Goals
Odds: $27.25 (0.375u)
 
Hawks v Giants Saturday Night Pick Em. I know no two games are ever the same but looked at the games they had in 2024. Have decided to take this because it happened in both games last year. Surprisingly there was bang on 173 marks each in the two games last year, and the tackles total was 121 and 123. I do think the teams play a similar sort of style. I think Nash tags Tom Green here.

1st Bet:

Tom Green Under 98.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Newcombe Over 5.5 Tackles
Whitfield Over 6.5 Marks
Odds: $6.50 (1u)

$5.00 on Josh Battle to score a goal 1.5units. Playing in a Centre role, can roost the ball.

Multi on
Bailey Smith AGS and Finn Callaghan AGS at $6.10 (0.5u)
Bailey Smith AGS and Tom Green AGS at $6.00 (0.5u)
Bailey Smith AGS, Tom Green AGS, Finn Callaghan AGS at $17.44 (0.25u)

2nd Bet:

This happened in last years match at Manuka. Meek beat Briggs in the hit outs 42 to 23. So taken this:

Toby Greene Over 1.5 Goals
Brent Daniels Over 0.5 Goals
Lloyd Meek 90+ AFL Fantasy Pts
Odds: $7.42 (1u)



And a Lotto combing all of those

Tom Green Under 98.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Newcombe Over 5.5 Tackles
Whitfield Over 6.5 Marks
Toby Greene Over 1.5 Goals
Brent Daniels Over 0.5 Goals
Odds: $27.25 (0.375u)

Brisbane v Geelong Pick Em:

Bailey Smith Over 96.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Neale Under 107.5 AFL Fantasy Pts
Jarrod Berry Over 84.5 Supercoach Pts
Odds: $6.50 (1u)

0.5u play on Jarrod Berry to Top score in Fantasy for the home side at 15s. Scored 117 in Fantasy against same opposition in similar conditions last year. Looking at historical weather that day there was also around 25-30mm rain within 12-24 hours of that game.


View attachment 2265522
Tough Saturday night.

Brisbane coach benches Jarrod Berry after scoring that goal with 3 minutes to go.

-6.625u down on Saturday night.
 

AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 3


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