AFL R10

[Keystone agony]

Cotch should not play either. Carrying more than a niggle! rest?

I believe he said he will play on the channel 7 morning sunday show.

Total Points Market on GWS vs. Richmond seems abit high.
Currently 187.5 i think this will go well under.

Some stat i saw on Footy classified about the tigers only scoring 80 on average or something this year? I think this is purely why GWS can win. GWS can kick a big enough score whereas Richmond are struggling to. I also think the weeks rest will help the young kids and some big inclusions aswell.

Edit: Mumford has just been confirmed

 

[tibor]

Does anybody know of where I can get my hands on historical total points lines? I have 2014 data but would love at the very least 2013. I can find h2h odds, game lines for previous years, but not total point lines.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Does anybody know of where I can get my hands on historical total points lines? I have 2014 data but would love at the very least 2013. I can find h2h odds, game lines for previous years, but not total point lines.

look at BETJAM AFL Best Bets on Facebook they had something to do with the lines

 

[Lensen]

look at BETJAM AFL Best Bets on Facebook they had something to do with the lines

whatever it was was probably lies

LIKE AND TAG A MATE WHO LIKES PAYING FOR BULLSHIT TIPS

 

[Jay-Z]

Does anybody know of where I can get my hands on historical total points lines? I have 2014 data but would love at the very least 2013. I can find h2h odds, game lines for previous years, but not total point lines.

http://www.oddsportal.com/aussie-rules/australia/afl-2013/results/

 

[tibor]

http://www.oddsportal.com/aussie-rules/australia/afl-2013/results/

From what I can see that's not what I am after. I want the total game points lines. That just has the game score and win odds.

 

[Keystone agony]

footywire.com.au just add the scores up together or do you want previous odds aswell?

 

[Jay-Z]

From what I can see that's not what I am after. I want the total game points lines. That just has the game score and win odds.

If you click on a game you can get the over/unders line from various agencies

 

[I Lost My Keays]

I think Mumford and Cameron will come in against Richmond. Cotchin maybe out with an ankle injury.

$20 at $3.65 = $73 good value imo

 

[tibor]

If you click on a game you can get the over/unders line from various agencies

Brilliant, I didn't even think to click on each game. Thanks for your reply, appreciate it.

 

[Young Gun #6]

Getting on the Hawks.

Hodge most likely playing now and they get the inclusions of Wanganeen (ALDI version Rioli), O"brien (ALDI Roughhead), Sewell (Coles Home Brand Mitchell), Shiels may be back too. Port don't have a tall forward line so they won't be able to exploit the outs of Lake and Gibson.

Add in Jonas being out (Perfect match-up to Breust and Lobbe in doubt (if play without him will be hard to dominate the midfield battle, McEvoy will have a day out).

All points to Hawks being closer to $2.20 than anywhere near $3.

 

[SterlingArcher]

Cameron I think should be in, which is massive. From memory he didnt travel to WA because of ear problem while traveling by plane.

Mumford is subjected to a fitness test.

Note they lose Greene.

Greene out just means GWS have less clangers and more targets hit.

 

[alex mcanulty]

Getting on the Hawks.

Hodge most likely playing now and they get the inclusions of Wanganeen (ALDI version Rioli), O"brien (ALDI Roughhead), Sewell (Coles Home Brand Mitchell), Shiels may be back too. Port don't have a tall forward line so they won't be able to exploit the outs of Lake and Gibson.

Add in Jonas being out (Perfect match-up to Breust and Lobbe in doubt (if play without him will be hard to dominate the midfield battle, McEvoy will have a day out).

All points to Hawks being closer to $2.20 than anywhere near $3.

This is brillaint made my night thank u

 

[Anzac16]

Can't ignore GWS value any longer. Richmond could come out fired up, but who knows given the way the played after Hafey's passing last week.

1U - GWS SU @ $4.00 (Bet 365)
1U - GWS +23.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

[Jet86]

West Coast overs looking tempting for me. Pies defenders couldn't stop Adelaides talls. Eagles have better talls in my opinion.

Not sure I understand the logic here. Adelaide scored 76 points on 60 I50s, which is abysmal, and their win against the Pies was more to do with Collingwood's dysfunctional forward line as seen by them scoring 55 points on 50 I50s.

West Coast and Collingwood are ranked 1 and 7 in opponent points per game, 6 and 2 in opponent points per I50, and 2 and 3 in opponent scoring shots per I50. Two very good defensive teams would make me hesitant to bet overs, especially with some rain expected.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Not sure I understand the logic here. Adelaide scored 76 points on 60 I50s, which is abysmal, and their win against the Pies was more to do with Collingwood's dysfunctional forward line as seen by them scoring 55 points on 50 I50s.

West Coast and Collingwood are ranked 1 and 7 in opponent points per game, 6 and 2 in opponent points per I50, and 2 and 3 in opponent scoring shots per I50. Two very good defensive teams would make me hesitant to bet overs, especially with some rain expected.

I still think Collingwood will win by 20 points

 

[Keystone agony]

I feel like we are betting on 2 risky teams or games involving richmond and North. I know North havnt been good to me this year backing them against the pies when they lost and backing against them vs freo and sydney away when they won and also to beat GC where they lost. Richmond also got closer to geelong than expected but beaten by melbourne. Richmond are front runners and very good at it however struggle when it gets hard they could have a field day against GWS and kick a big score. Just my concerns but certainly the value was there with north and gws

 

[TheKanga]

Just for those interested in North
Grima won't be returning this week either.

Not a massive blow but he was great in our win against Freo.

 

[TheKanga]

I feel like we are betting on 2 risky teams or games involving richmond and North. I know North havnt been good to me this year backing them against the pies when they lost and backing against them vs freo and sydney away when they won and also to beat GC where they lost. Richmond also got closer to geelong than expected but beaten by melbourne. Richmond are front runners and very good at it however struggle when it gets hard they could have a field day against GWS and kick a big score. Just my concerns but certainly the value was there with north and gws

Yeah i agree with these points, just not sure how these games will play out.
North are more than capable of an upset at the Cattery, but it just depends which North shows up.
GWS is one that is particularly starting to worry me, they lost by 100+ before the bye and allowed WCE to score 188pts.

So yeah at this stage more confident on North than GWS, if i have a good day on the horses tomorrow i'll back them in.

 

[tibor]

Early thoughts for me. Trying my hand at o/u as my DT form has been shocking.

Geelong/North Under 168.5
Port/Hawthorn Over 185.5
GC/WB Over 185.5

 

[BloodRet]

Geelong to win by 40-49 @ 10.00
Geelong, Richmond, Collingwood, Port all win @ 3.40

 

[jaymasha]

Sports bet offering Gibbs to take 4 marks and lay 4 tackles at $4.

Considering this, not beyond the realms of possibility.

Thoughts?

 

[BloodRet]

Sports bet offering Gibbs to take 4 marks and lay 4 tackles at $4.

Considering this, not beyond the realms of possibility.

Thoughts?

Saw that too. Good odds I might get on it myself.

 

[chrisdon16]

Does anyone know what the gee/nm total started at?

 

[I Lost My Keays]

I'm picking Geelong to score under 91.5 points at $1.88 , I checked on the app apparently it's 80% of showers in Melbourne on Friday. It's going to be very scrappy game if wet. Scott Thompson is a very good defender who will keep Hawkins quiet , SJ is suspended and he kicks a majority of their goals.