AFL R12

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Luckily I did a pick your own line 3U Richmond +40.5 @ 1.34, so their utter incompetence shouldn't be a kick in the balls since I gave them such a high buffer. Sure am glad I didn't pick them H2H though. What a mess.
 

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Unlucky guys, Freo winning by 40 would've cost about 95% of the bets on this match.

Everybody involved in the match knew that so no surprise there. Spreads are coincidentally becoming super sharp. You'd have to have your head buried in the sand if you think players and refs don't know the spread or margin markets in the case of the afl
 
What a moose. Glad the tigers didn't cover the spread in the end to rub it in even more. You cannot make this shit up.
 
Was surprised at how low the odds were given the HT margin. Bookies must have known that Richmond were about to shit the bed. Biggest fix if I've ever seen One.

I was thinking that myself when the odds dropped from $5.40 to $4.80 in the 30 seconds it took me to place the bet
 
I was thinking that myself when the odds dropped from $5.40 to $4.80 in the 30 seconds it took me to place the bet

I was expecting to see $8.00 to $9.50 not the $5.00 I saw. At 35 points it's almost always over with perhaps a rally by the team trailing to get close but never hit the front which is how it typically goes.
 
4 units Martin U110.5 SC @ $1.80
Pretty high line considering Martin is averaging 98 this year and 101 last year (career high) and he has only gone under this 8/10 times this year and the 2 times he didn't were against GWS and Melbourne. His last 3 weeks have certainly been an improvement on his early season form (it includes the 2 overs and 102) but 110 is just too high.

2 units Mundy U109.5 SC @ $1.80
Averaging 101, although it's just 5/10 under this line. Last year he averaged 104 in a pretty good year, 107 in 2011 and eveyr other yea below 93. I have him down as 100-105 average player based on this and last year average. If Fyfe misses I guess he is a possible recipient of a Kerridge tag but that is just a bonus not a reason.

The Goddard unders did catch my eye but as it's 1.65 now I think that is about the correct odds given they have GWS and Goddard has been in damn god form even though I keep fading him.
Dusty on 92 at half time, ends up on 108. Unbelievable!!! Cant believe it gets up!
 
Everybody involved in the match knew that so no surprise there. Spreads are coincidentally becoming super sharp. You'd have to have your head buried in the sand if you think players and refs don't know the spread or margin markets in the case of the afl

You mean the 1-39 margin option offered on EVERY game EVERY week?
 

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