AFL R5

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richmond -6.5 at quarter time. $1.92 sportsbet
Was about to get on this, but thought again. Bris kicked 3.2(20) last week against Port, and also kicked 2.4(16) against Hawthorn. Richmond only managed 2.4(16) against the Dogs.

I suspect it will be Richmond by >6, but I don't suspect it enough.
 
Was about to get on this, but thought again. Bris kicked 3.2(20) last week against Port, and also kicked 2.4(16) against Hawthorn. Richmond only managed 2.4(16) against the Dogs.

I suspect it will be Richmond by >6, but I don't suspect it enough.
Here's hoping the tigers can generate enough ball going forward. 7 points doesn't seem like a big margin, by then again, it's the tigers.


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I'm more tempted by Brisbane <19.5 at 1/4 time ($1.88). They have only cleared this once, and only by the smallest margin (20pts v PA last week). Other scores: 16, 3, 8. Can't comment on the weather on those games though.
 
I'm more tempted by Brisbane <19.5 at 1/4 time ($1.88). They have only cleared this once, and only by the smallest margin (20pts v PA last week). Other scores: 16, 3, 8. Can't comment on the weather on those games though.
Well maybe a two goal margin to Richmond at quarter time would suit us well then


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Liking this market on Bris V Rich game on TAB.

Time of first goal - 3 minutes or later @ $1.87

Rich V GC = 2 mins
Rich V Carlton = 3:39 mins
Rich V Ess = 1:41 mins
Rich V Coll = 3:34 mins

Bris V Hawks = 7:30 mins
Bris V Gee = 18:25 mins
Bris V GC = 6:13 mins
Bris V Port = 9:20 mins

6/8 were outside the first 3 minutes, Brisbane applies a lot of pressure early on so should keep this first half relatively low.

I think people are reading into Brisbane's situation a bit too much. They're ridden with injuries and start well but fall off lately due to inexperience and a lack of fitness. Richmond should win comfortably in saying that, however.
 
I'm more tempted by Brisbane <19.5 at 1/4 time ($1.88). They have only cleared this once, and only by the smallest margin (20pts v PA last week). Other scores: 16, 3, 8. Can't comment on the weather on those games though.

Perfect weather conditions in Adelaide, against the Power. Little to no wind and sunny.
 
Im all over Brisbane straight up at home

Richmond are travelling just as bad as Carlton and were dead lucky to even get the win over them. I dont get how anyone could like them this short away from home
 
Im all over Brisbane straight up at home

Richmond are travelling just as bad as Carlton and were dead lucky to even get the win over them. I dont get how anyone could like them this short away from home

Probably because Brisbane are fielding a VFL Reserves side with a one-legged Jonathon Brown*




*probably still better than Stainmond
 
Probably because Brisbane are fielding a VFL Reserves side with a one-legged Jonathon Brown*




*probably still better than Stainmond

Not to mention Brisbane 5 day break and having to travel back from Adelaide.
Wouldn't mind the Lions getting up purely for the lols though.

The tigers board would make for great reading tonight.
 
Not to mention Brisbane 5 day break and having to travel back from Adelaide.
Wouldn't mind the Lions getting up purely for the lols though.

The tigers board would make for great reading tonight.

Please not this week. :p

You had your lols when the Blues were rolled.:D
 

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My Bets:
- Time of 1st goal more than 3 minutes @ $1.87
5 stakes

- 1st Quarter line Brisbane +6.5 Under 46.5 @ $3.30
2 stakes

- Brisbane Total Score 0-60
1 stake

- Brisbane Total Score 61-75
1 stake
 
Liking this market on Bris V Rich game on TAB.

Time of first goal - 3 minutes or later @ $1.87

Rich V GC = 2 mins
Rich V Carlton = 3:39 mins
Rich V Ess = 1:41 mins
Rich V Coll = 3:34 mins

Bris V Hawks = 7:30 mins
Bris V Gee = 18:25 mins
Bris V GC = 6:13 mins
Bris V Port = 9:20 mins

6/8 were outside the first 3 minutes, Brisbane applies a lot of pressure early on so should keep this first half relatively low.

I think people are reading into Brisbane's situation a bit too much. They're ridden with injuries and start well but fall off lately due to inexperience and a lack of fitness. Richmond should win comfortably in saying that, however.


Might want to look at how quickly Brisbane have conceded the first goal as well to get a better guide on the stat from the Brisbane games.
 
Brisbane vs Richmond

2U – Under Bris/Rich 1st Half 89.5 @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)
1.5U – Richmond 2nd Half -13.5 @ $1.85 (Bet365)
1.5U – Brisbane Under 78.5 @ $1.90 (Bet365)
1U – Under Bris/Rich 186.5 @ $1.90 (Tattsbet)
0.5U – Brisbane 0 – 60 Match Points @ $4.20 (Sportsbet)
0.5U – DT: Rockliff < 120.5 @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)
0.5U – DT: Martin > Cotchin @ $2.15 (Betstar)
0.5U – Richmond 60+ @ $6.40 (Bookmaker)
0.25U – Disposals: Jackson 30+ @ $4.70 (Sportsbet)
0.25U - Disposals: Zorko 30+ @ $4.70 (Sportsbet)
0.25U – Brisbane 0 – 50 Match Points @ $9.50 (Sportsbet)
0.15U – HT/FT: Brisbane/Richmond @ $11 (Luxbet – Restricted)

Reposting as I have added a few more bets.
Wow, turned out to be a massive card, quite a lot of cash on this game.
 
Last edited:
Brisbane vs Richmond

2U – Under Bris/Rich 1st Half 89.5 @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)
1.5U – Richmond 2nd Half -13.5 @ $1.85 (Bet365)
1.5U – Brisbane Under 78.5 @ $1.90 (Bet365)
1U – Under Bris/Rich 186.5 @ $1.90 (Tattsbet)
0.5U – Brisbane 0 – 60 Match Points @ $4.20 (Sportsbet)
0.5U – DT: Rockliff < 120.5 @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)
0.5U – DT: Martin > Cotchin @ $2.15 (Betstar)
0.5U – Richmond 60+ @ $6.40 (Bookmaker)
0.25U – Disposals: Jackson 30+ @ $4.70 (Sportsbet)
0.25U - Disposals: Zorko 30+ @ $4.70 (Sportsbet)
0.25U – Brisbane 0 – 50 Match Points @ $9.50 (Sportsbet)
0.15U – HT/FT: Brisbane/Richmond @ $11 (Luxbet – Restricted)

Reposting as I have added a few more bets.
Wow, turned out to be a massive card, quite a lot of cash on this game.
Rockliffs DT lines moved in to 115.5, still worth a flutter you reckon?
 
Rockliffs DT lines moved in to 115.5, still worth a flutter you reckon?

Are you sure that's with Sportsbet?
It's about 115.5 with most other bookies but I wouldn't have thought it would go down by 5 in the space of 10-15 minutes. Sportsbet don't care about my bets , at least not enough to move them.

I probably wouldn't have a go at it at 115.5. I think with Moloney as SUB, Rockliff will play almost exclusively mid & for a large %TOG. Was going to have a 1U go at the Under 120.5, but that stopped me.
 
Bewick to kick more goals than Lloyd @ $2.17
Zorko to kick 1 or more goals @ $1.55
Mayes to kick 3 or more goals @ $9.50
Houli to score more in DT than Grigg @ $2.10
Houli to win most possessions group 2 (vs Mayes, Lester, Golby, Lisle, Conca, Grigg and Lloyd) @ $5.50
 

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