AFL Round 10

[uptheblues]

Liking carlton u.39.5.. carlton is known to perform in a big game such as the cats blues game last week, and than a week later they win but not convincingly.. they'll get up by 3 to 4 goals, plus the dees at the G are a very different team to dees at ETIHAD... my anker in all my multis this weekend!!!

I agree with this, we rarely win the games we should win easily by big margins... I'll also be on this.

 

[laam]

3 units Melbourne @ $5.005 - Carlton deserved favourites but last week would've been tough and the Dees are pretty good at the G.
6 units North Melbourne @ $2.267 (profit $76) - Discussed it in this thread previously but I reckon the Swans have fallen off a bit and am happy to take the Roos as outsiders here as I have them slight favourites.
1.5 units Gold Coast @ $16.78 - just because it's a ridiculous price for a H2H game at home and who knows how they'll come out in their first game at Carrara. Would doubt that they'll get embarassed like their first Gabba game
3 units Port Adelaide @ $4.5137 - reckon Richmond are too short for a team who are unknown on the road. Happy to take Port at (IMO) overs here
3 units Brisbane @ $4 - they have an OK recent record at AAMI and despite last week the Crows are a shambles.

damn lenny, last week I agree'd with and had money on every bet you made, this week is disagree with almost all, but I only have money on the cats, so you can win the rest

 

[The Big Woofer]

Whatever you do dont ask Big Woofa

I am done making predictions on QLD weather.

I notice you didn't jump on Lenny for tipping port this week....I think you are discriminatory towards woofers.....a very serious personal flaw that has been exposed.

 

[Lensen]

I am done making predictions on QLD weather.

I notice you didn't jump on Lenny for tipping port this week....I think you are discriminatory towards woofers.....a very serious personal flaw that has been exposed.

He thinks the Swans are good things so I'd take him with a grain of salt anyway

 

[KardiniaPark]

He thinks the Swans are good things so I'd take him with a grain of salt anyway

Ill remind you of this when the swans are up by 70 halfway through the third.

Woofer I know lenny backs outsiders, he doesnt have some kind of weird love affair with port like some...

 

[adii_7]

swans SHOULD win.

better team allover the park

 

[The Big Woofer]

swans SHOULD win.

better team allover the park

I'm inclined to agree, this exact game last year Syd were $1.50 favs & won by 40 odd pts, i really don't think a heck of a lot has changed, Syd are still middle of the road & no good against the top few sides but usually beat those sides below them like NM.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Im already preparing UMAD gifs for Lenny...

 

[Lensen]

Even if all five of my bets this week lose, and all 8 most goal scorer bets I intend to have lose, I'll still be 90 odd units up for the year.

 

[twarby]

you have 100s of units in your roll from the looks of things.

90 units to you could be 30 to someone else

so no i am not mad, or jelly

 

[Lensen]

fair point. i started with 80 but divided my units by 3 to make it easier to keep track

so on your 100 unit = entire roll scale its closer to 38

 

[roospur]

North are morals this week!

 

[twarby]

North are morals this week!

fair call

 

[bisazc887]

Might multi up some PYOL this week when they are released but on the safe side of things. Will probably go something like carl on the nose into stk + about 40 head start, WCE + 65 (coll have only beaten Rich and kang and pta by more than 50 this year and i dont think mick will expect any more than a win and was saying before last fridays game that easing th players through the season whilst trying to win is his priority and WCE are bloody good atm and if Jolly doesnt play Cox and nic nat will dominate,heck i might even jam some on WCE +10 +20 etc etc), and WBD+ 40 (after last week they wont lose by 40 points and the 30 line is silly given its at etihad where dogs play real well, i know they the shut up shop last week but they stayed with WCE for 3 quaters even though they were beaten and i cant help but think they might have saved some of there otherwise 4th quater ebergy for this week and they will come out like they did 2 weeks ago when desperate against tiges), rich the nose and load up

 

[bisazc887]

North are morals this week!

I know close games are where you find value like i found with Bris, Rich and to alesser extent WCE (early in the week when i bet them) but personally i cant bring myself to touch this game

 

[The Newt]

Liking carlton u.39.5.. carlton is known to perform in a big game such as the cats blues game last week, and than a week later they win but not convincingly.. they'll get up by 3 to 4 goals, plus the dees at the G are a very different team to dees at ETIHAD... my anker in all my multis this weekend!!!

I would be vary wary taking u39.5. Last time Dees won on a Friday night was 2006, and with 6 of our best 22 out i just don't see how we will get close to the Blues, who should've won last week. Yes we are better at the 'g', but we also play all our interstate teams there which inflates the w/l ratio. The two top 8 teams we've played in Hawthorn and WCE we've lost by ave. of 48 points. I would love to be proved wrong here, but just think Cartlon o39.5 would be the play. To be safe, could take Carlton 24.5+ (at Sportsbet) @ 1.67.

I also am tailing the Geel -99.5 (great find btw) @ 5.60.
WCE HT line +17.5 @ 1.92.

 

[The Newt]

Not much talk of Adel/Bris so far. I'm liking Brisbane at the line here at +25.5. They have a pretty good record at AAMI, never getting blown away by more than 4 goals. Adel wins this year, all at home, have been margins of 20 (Haw), 19 (Stk) and 57 (GC). With J Brown back, Brisbane are a totally different unit. Not really taking too much notice of Adel's first 3 qtrs last week as they are Coll's bogey side in Melbourne.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Even if all five of my bets this week lose, and all 8 most goal scorer bets I intend to have lose, I'll still be 90 odd units up for the year.

I'm fairly sure I know what your units are so on your scale I'm 2750 units up. Who mad? U mad.

 

[nofeet]

TAB AFL ROUND 10 Multibet

Carlton: Over 39 Points = $2.35
Sydney: Over 15.5 Points = $2.55
Fremantle: Over 15.5 Points = $2.10
Geelong: 60 Points or more = $1.80
Richmond: Over 15.5 Points = $1.50

Total: $33.97 x $10 = $339.70

 

[KardiniaPark]

I would be vary wary taking u39.5. Last time Dees won on a Friday night was 2006, and with 6 of our best 22 out i just don't see how we will get close to the Blues, who should've won last week. Yes we are better at the 'g', but we also play all our interstate teams there which inflates the w/l ratio. The two top 8 teams we've played in Hawthorn and WCE we've lost by ave. of 48 points. I would love to be proved wrong here, but just think Cartlon o39.5 would be the play. To be safe, could take Carlton 24.5+ (at Sportsbet) @ 1.67.

I also am tailing the Geel -99.5 (great find btw) @ 5.60.
WCE HT line +17.5 @ 1.92.

Great read. Just out of interest who are the 6 players?

 

[Canyouhearthedrums]

Great read. Just out of interest who are the 6 players?

Take your pick from Jamar, Trengrove, Scully, Tapscott, Garland, Grimes, Woenamirri

 

[KardiniaPark]

Take your pick from Jamar, Trengrove, Scully, Tapscott, Garland, Grimes, Woenamirri

Eww...Definate overs then.

 

[Lensen]

I'm fairly sure I know what your units are so on your scale I'm 2750 units up. Who mad? U mad.

In your household, maybe. I don't count my girlfriend's (or in your case wife's) winnings as my own but each to their own

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

http://nuevosgif.tk/wp-content/plugins/wp-o-matic/cache/3fd8a_6401703g69.gif

 

[KardiniaPark]

In your household, maybe. I don't count my girlfriend's (or in your case wife's) winnings as my own but each to their own