AFL Round 21

[balmainforever]

FRIDAY, 16TH AUGUST
7.50pm: Hawthorn ($1.65) vs Collingwood ($2.25) Line 8.5

SATURDAY, 17TH AUGUST
1.40pm: Richmond ($1.34) vs Carlton ($3.25) Line 19.5
2.10pm: Port Adelaide ($1.22) vs Gold Coast ($4.30) Line 27.5
4.40pm: Essendon ($2.45) vs North Melbourne ($1.55) Line 10.5
7.40pm: Brisbane ($1.02) vs G-W Sydney ($13.00) Line 62.5
7.40pm: West Coast ($2.55) vs Geelong ($1.50) Line 12.5
SUNDAY, 18TH AUGUST
1.10pm: Melbourne ($15.00) vs Fremantle ($1.01) Line 68.5
3.20pm: Sydney ($1.02) vs St.Kilda ($14.00) Line 58.5
4.40pm: Western Bulldogs ($2.12) vs Adelaide ($1.72) Line 5.5

Odds courtesy Sportsbet.com.au (as at 1.30pm on 12/8/13)

 

[TheKanga]

I think Collingwood, North & West Coast have some value there.

I'll probably put on some multi's once teams are announced.

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

Hawthorn @1.65.. Like. We love to smack the pies. Don't see any reason why we won't on Friday.

I like Richmond, Port and Sydney all at the -

 

[Willzzz]

Liking Hawks, GC at the line, GWS to score above the line given (60-odd points), & Doggies straight up.

 

[DangerSloane]

Freo just demolished GWS, I think they will do similar to Melbourne. Over 60 is a good chance.

 

[laam]

1u lewis > 92.5 @ 1.87
1u lewis > Mitchell @ 2.15
2u on Ellis over rance and maguire @ 2.5
1u griffen < 109.5 @ 1.87
1.5u hartlett>88.5 @ 2.25
1u cornes > 99.5 @ 2.3
1u libertore < 102.5 @ 1.87
1u cats 1-39 @ 2.55
1u sylvia > 80.5 @ 1.87
1u harbrow> 78.5 @ 1.87
1u prestia > 92.5 @ 1.87
1u watts > 1 goal @ 2.25
1u dixon > 1 goal @ 2.15
1.5u hannebery > 90.5 @ 2.15

Posting here as round 20 thread has been locked
decent weekend
Round total: +4.4u
YTD: +22.9

 

[GROTTO]

Back to back 6 day break games for Pies. Having had a hard slog against the Dons and the start of those games.

 

[banana_bus]

What are the odds that some flog will post their winning bet after the event?

Anything over 1.10 and Im loading up.

 

[DangerSloane]

Posting here as round 20 thread has been locked
decent weekend
Round total: +4.4u
YTD: +22.9

What site do you use for your dream team bets?
Ive been using Luxbet and they only release the markets right before the game.

 

[Nothing]

What are the odds that some flog will post their winning bet after the event?

Anything over 1.10 and Im loading up.

I'll lay that because I'm sure the esteemed mods will be all over it, like they usually are. I mean, how hard could it be to infract people who post AFTER the event.

 

[Awesomeau]

Wouldn't touch the Pies. I like the Dogs and not much else. Perhaps the Saints line. I know Sydney will be hungry but 59 points is a lot to cover.

 

[TheKanga]

The Saints have never been flogged by Sydney in recent times.
I think they will cover the line.

 

[anabac]

Back to back 6 day break games for Pies. Having had a hard slog against the Dons and the start of those games.

Sorry bud, I was at the pies dons game and I think "training drill" sums the game up better than "hard slog". Think you may be adjusting your view just to suit the way you want to bet on the match.

 

[TheKanga]

Ok this is one of my multi's for this round.

Port Adelaide (-28.5)
West Coast (+12.5)
St Kilda (+58.5)
Western Bulldogs (1-39)

$5 @ 19.46

---

Still deciding whether to touch the Collingwood/Hawks game or not...

 

[DangerSloane]

North -10.5 looks good to me.
Essendon will be told today they wont get any points for the season and then the line will drift out. Load up now folks.

 

[TheKanga]

North -10.5 looks good to me.
Essendon will be told today they wont get any points for the season and then the line will drift out. Load up now folks.

Yeah that looks good, i reckon North 40+ could be good value as well.
North play their best footy at Etihad and Essendon are ripe for the picking.

 

[X_box_X]

Line is -16.5?? Surely it hasn't moved six points in thirty minutes.

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

Line is -16.5?? Surely it hasn't moved six points in thirty minutes.

17.5 now, not sure how much DangerSloane put on it but, gees can that guy move a market. brett128 must be wetting himself.

 

[DangerSloane]

17.5 now, not sure how much DangerSloane put on it but, gees can that guy move a market. brett128 must be wetting himself.

Cant get on.
The two sites I use regularly (Centrebet and Luxbet) arent offering lines on the game!
Ah well, probably best anyway...im always wary of betting too much on 'morale'

 

[GROTTO]

Yeah that looks good, i reckon North 40+ could be good value as well.
North play their best footy at Etihad and Essendon are ripe for the picking.

You would want to get in early before any announcements by the AFL. I would expect the odds to change.

People talk about posting winning bets (losing ones are ok?), I almost went hard for a Crows/Dons multi last week, but held back thankfully.

Roos at home against a Club that is crumbling, is a good bet.

 

[Butler]

What site do you use for your dream team bets?
Ive been using Luxbet and they only release the markets right before the game.

Luxbet have the best markets. They just are released late and their odds change so quickly. Next best is Sportingbet/Centrebet who usually put up their markets for the first few rounds Thursday night/Friday. Sportsbet and Betstar release their markets a lot earlier in the week but seem to find less that I like with them.

 

[lamaros]

Adelaide, WC, Essendon, Pies for me.

 

[chrisdon16]

Richmond
Port
Brisbane
Fremantle
Sydney

$1.81

 

[Kaine Smith]

How do you guys reckon the fact that the Roo's chances of making the finals are dead affects their performance ?

 

[chrisdon16]

If Essendon play like they did against the eagles north will comfortably cover the line. Obviously. Or the dons night come out and play like they did in the first 10 rounds.

Definitely stating away from this game