AFL Round 22

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At least you got something back from the wreck.

Yeah won a little bit back.
Ah well still got a multi alive for tomorrow.
Just need Adelaide to win 1-39, Port at the line was the first leg.
Mind you I don't mind if North wins =P

Hoping for a good day punting tomorrow and take some money of the bookies.
 

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1U carlton +5.5 under 44.5 1 qt @3.80
0.5 u carlton SU @3.70
3U carlton +22.5 @ 1.90
I think Carlton will push port, Carlton in good form have a good record against port won the last 5 of 7 against them and won the last 5 of 6 in Adelaide. 22.5 is enough for me to go big on their line. Who knows what port will show up they've won the last 2 of 7 and coming off a 6 day break from gold coast in a wet game i personally think the Carlton line looks good

damn didnt think it was going to be that bad.. upped my unit size aswell this week
 
damn didnt think it was going to be that bad.. upped my unit size aswell this week

sucks bad when the line is 174.5 and you get on too late and take the 178.5 and just miss:( wow that guy who had the 9 on port/carl hi lo looks good.. Dees will respond to a degree and west coast goal kicking accuracy is very shonky at times!! only other danger is Richmond but i doubt it:) 2 grand coming your way~!~! I had westhoff 16-1 most goals last night and Neade 18-1... so unlucky... gray always seems to get loose..that goal by him at end hurt

Luke Ball on sportsbet for 25 touches is some value.... paying 4.70.. playing for career and probably more in and under time today with beams and others out and Pendles maybe playing more forward... he is named on bench though so could he be sub??? surely Buckly won't do that but given his relations with some other past players he could treat Ball badly
 
Luxbet only have a line of 103.5 for Stefan Martin this week. I know he is playing Sandilands but he scored 113 the last time he played Fremantle in Perth and is averaging 111. Worth a look surely?
It's not the hit outs bu the 20 touches he gets around the ground that boost his score ...
 
1 unit Bris win 40 plus bet365 $34
1 unit Bris win centrebet $3.70

Ross Lyon teams have been kind to me in end of season games which are close
to dead rubbers.....
Ports % now means a Dockers team playing the longest road trip in Australia without their best two mids have to
win this by close to 80 pts just to draw level with Port on percentage as they are now equal on points....
most unlikely.

This is now a dead rubber game to them....
Bottom line Dockers Port next week is now winner takes 4th spot
They will put everything into beating Port next week...
If Bris are with them early in the 2nd half Dockers are a huge chance of packing up shop as they have a 6
day break leading up to their most important game of the year.....
 
1 unit Bris win 40 plus bet365 $34
1 unit Bris win centrebet $3.70

Ross Lyon teams have been kind to me in end of season games which are close
to dead rubbers.....
Ports % now means a Dockers team playing the longest road trip in Australia without their best two mids have to
win this by close to 80 pts just to draw level with Port on percentage as they are now equal on points....
most unlikely.

This is now a dead rubber game to them....
Bottom line Dockers Port next week is now winner takes 4th spot
They will put everything into beating Port next week...
If Bris are with them early in the 2nd half Dockers are a huge chance of packing up shop as they have a 6
day break leading up to their most important game of the year.....

You raise good points there and we have seen Lyon do this before.

However, the one thing that you are missing here is that Fyfe and Barlow will be missing 2 weeks, not just this week.

I imagine Lyon would want to try and get his line-up right this weekend in preparation for next weekend. I don't think he will care if they win or not against the Lions. but I think he will be getting them to play to the best of their abilities this week so they can get ready for next week.

If they get done by 40+ this week, it sure isn't going to help their cause against the Power next week considering they will be fielding the same team pretty much.
 
1 unit Bris win 40 plus bet365 $34
1 unit Bris win centrebet $3.70

Ross Lyon teams have been kind to me in end of season games which are close
to dead rubbers.....
Ports % now means a Dockers team playing the longest road trip in Australia without their best two mids have to
win this by close to 80 pts just to draw level with Port on percentage as they are now equal on points....
most unlikely.

This is now a dead rubber game to them....
Bottom line Dockers Port next week is now winner takes 4th spot
They will put everything into beating Port next week...
If Bris are with them early in the 2nd half Dockers are a huge chance of packing up shop as they have a 6
day break leading up to their most important game of the year.....

How is this a dead rubber? Fremantle need to win this as well to guarantee they will finish above Port Adelaide. If they lose they are relying on percentage to finish above Port Adelaide. Fremantle will win this game.
 
How is this a dead rubber? Fremantle need to win this as well to guarantee they will finish above Port Adelaide. If they lose they are relying on percentage to finish above Port Adelaide. Fremantle will win this game.

Port Adelaide has one less win than Fremantle but Port Adelaide's % is far superior, after last night's drubbing. Fremantle would need to beat the Lions by 100+ to match Port's %

So, regardless of whether the Dockers beat the Lions this week or not, if Port beat Fremantle, Port will finish Top 4 & if Fremantle beat Port, Fremantle will end up Top 4.
 
Port Adelaide has one less win than Fremantle but Port Adelaide's % is far superior, after last night's drubbing. Fremantle would need to beat the Lions by 100+ to match Port's %

So, regardless of whether the Dockers beat the Lions this week or not, if Port beat Fremantle, Port will finish Top 4 & if Fremantle beat Port, Fremantle will end up Top 4.

If Fremantle lose to Brisbane it won't matter if they beat Port though because of their percentage. So it isn't a dead rubber.
 

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AFL Round 22

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