AFL Round 4

[yamahamoto]

2 unit on Collingwood HT 25-36 5.00
8 unit on Collingwood HT 37+ 2.40
*TAB odds

 

[monfries6]

Collingwood -36.5
Hawthorn -30.5
Essendon +12.5
Geelong +12.5
@ 4.82

thoughts?

 

[KardiniaPark]

Finding it really hard to find a decent multi.

Melb at the line is the only thing I like.

Dont mind freo for the highest score into tigers and WC lowest. But thats about it.

 

[Lensen]

Finding it really hard to find a decent multi.

Melb at the line is the only thing I like.

Dont mind freo for the highest score into tigers and WC lowest. But thats about it.

Yeah, same. I've got a couple of freebets itching to be put on something around the $4-5 mark but can't find anything I like.

Maybe Jurrah most goals for the round?

 

[The Big Woofer]

There surely is a simple & "easy" approach to tonight's game:

Richmond team score under 72.5 @ $1.90

they have really struggled in the last 12 months (+) vs the good teams here some of their scores:

Haw 52
Coll 45
Geel 53
Carl 67 & 64 (last yr)
WBD 48
Syd 56
Adl 54
NM 53

I know they scored better vs carl & stk so far but i fancy they got StK at the right time & vs carl they kicked some flukey goals against some questionable defence.....I sense Coll doesn't let them kick more than 8 goals tonight.

 

[Nothing]

I like it. Richmond under 72.5

 

[Woody15]

as do i.

also port are looking better by the minute. taylor walker and richard tambling in serious doubt

 

[KardiniaPark]

Whos that under 72.5 with?

 

[The_Next_JB]

Whos that under 72.5 with?

centrebet

 

[The Big Woofer]

Whos that under 72.5 with?

Centrebet

With Tambling looking an out for Adl i almost can't see how Adl can win, Port should be favourites....yet another young kid (Wright) will come in for Adl, its going to be a tough ask.

 

[Nothing]

Luxbet too.

 

[stuziman]

Crows lowest score of the round $26 on lux..worth a nibble.

 

[glamont]

a nice safe multi paying: $1.91
collingwood >16 $1.15
geelong +19.5 $1.31
fremantle -10.5 $1.28

These are three lock games and so you shouldnt be sweating on any of them. Good return at 1.91 so almost doubling your money.

For some value throw in port adelaide +9.5 1H paying $1.91 giving you a 4-leg multi of $3.65

good luck all

 

[Daytripper]

WCE +39.5 with Centrebet is outstanding value IMO

 

[Lensen]

Most goals tonight

1.2 units Riewoldt @ $3.50 (Centrebet)
0.3 units Miller @ $26 (Sportsbet)

 

[Woody15]

a nice safe multi paying: $1.91
collingwood >16 $1.15
geelong +19.5 $1.31
fremantle -10.5 $1.28

These are three lock games and so you shouldnt be sweating on any of them. Good return at 1.91 so almost doubling your money.

For some value throw in port adelaide +9.5 1H paying $1.91 giving you a 4-leg multi of $3.65

good luck all

gee i wouldnt be calling that a lock. geelong have had the wood over sydney lately

 

[StringyDog]

gee i wouldnt be calling that a lock. geelong have had the wood over sydney lately

Not at the SCG though, Sydney are a different kettle of fish there

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

gee i wouldnt be calling that a lock. geelong have had the wood over sydney lately

So how is Geelong +19.5 not a lock then?

 

[Woody15]

i personally dont think its a lock still.

sydney coming back from WA.. bit iffy that for me. but all the best !

 

[Woody15]

So how is Geelong +19.5 not a lock then?

theyve had it over them by decent margins i meant.

 

[Lensen]

i personally dont think its a lock still.

sydney coming back from WA.. bit iffy that for me. but all the best !

I'm not sure that you know what "Geelong +19.5" means...

 

[glamont]

geelong +19.5 means that geelong can lose by up to 19 points. Thats why its only paying $1.31. Sydney have a chance to win, they are a different team at the SCG however are still missing a few players that would give them a chance to win by more than 3 goals. Expect a 75-90pt team score each so 19pts is a nice start by any means.

 

[half_back_flank]

Collingwood -37 HT @3.50 (into 3.30 now)

Even money chance in my book, we love to come out firing and blow away teams in the first half.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

Did you see the Luxbet offer via email, "Back your team tis week on the line, and if you get within 4 points and lose we'll give you a bonus equal to your stake up to $100".

I'm assuming this means a 4 point buffer on whichever side of the line you take. So if Geelong only win by 43-46 (on luxbet's -46.5 line), you'll get the bonus. On the other side, if Richmond lose by 47-50, you'll get the bonus, as you're within 4 points. Is that right?

 

[Nothing]

that's my reading of it.