AFL Round 4

[jimmyclean]

5u - Swan most disposals group 1
1u - Shaw most disposals group 2

2u - Blair most goals
1u - Krakouer most goals


and because I always forget who is in which group.
G1 - Swan, Pendlebury, Johnson, Deledio, Thomas, Cotchin, Jackson, Grigg
G2 - Sidebottom, Shaw, Ball, Beams, Foley, Martin, Newman, Houli

 

[twarby]

Is that an actual rule, or just something that they've let through in the past? I'd have thought within the hour or so to correct mistakes but 24 hours seems a long time??

no real written rule, i think you would find that it may even says no changing no matter what, but it totally depends who you get on the phone, i have made mistakes before and not realised for ages, but have always been able to get my bets refunded or changed, i have been told by the phone guys that it can depend on who you get

 

[Smart Punting]

Rd 3 +3.70 YTD -0.93

Round 4 tips:

• 4units - Collingwood -24.5/Hawthorn/Melbourne/Fremantle @ $1.95 (SB)
• 2.5units - Port Adelaide +16.5 @ $1.92 (C)
• 1.5units - Carlton 1-39 @ $2.63 (C)
• 1unit - Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $3.40 (C/SB)

 

[adii_7]

My favourite part was when you called the parasite a parasite

your posting credibility is second to none.

you are a god.

all hail kp, our saviour

You are seriously the biggest parasite on these boards

hilarious, but i think i still have happy_punter, soho and a few others (mabye lynchy) ahead of me.

Piss off Adii. From someone who is clearly on the bookies Christmas Card list you love to have a go at other people

i was just merely mentioning he has little chance.

 

[yamahamoto]

Any late change for the pies people? I can't access the afl site. Can anyone tell me please?

 

[Lensen]

Any late change for the pies people? I can't access the afl site. Can anyone tell me please?

No change, Possum Eyes Toovey the sub

 

[Batmaun]

Got the following at $3 @ ias - not too bad...

Carlton
AFL - Round 4 Carlton v Essendon Line at Evens (-3.0) @ 2.000

Geelong
AFL - Round 4 Sydney v Geelong Line at Evens (-7.5) @ 2.000

 

[adii_7]

No change, Possum Eyes Toovey the sub

wb richmond?

 

[half_back_flank]

hilarious, but i think i still have happy_punter, soho and a few others (mabye lynchy) ahead of me.

I don't frequent this board as often as some, but i would strongly disagree with this one.

Anyway thanks 2notepockets for pointing out Cloke on 365.

 

[Demon3]

tonight

Coll half time margin - 25-36pts @ 5.00
Collingwood 121+ @ 1.90
Most Goals - Jack Riewoldt @ 3.00
Most Disposals B - Ben Johnson @ 2.75

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

no real written rule, i think you would find that it may even says no changing no matter what, but it totally depends who you get on the phone, i have made mistakes before and not realised for ages, but have always been able to get my bets refunded or changed, i have been told by the phone guys that it can depend on who you get

The guy I spoke to said as long as you call before 12am the day you put the bet on then it's ok, thats why I mentioned the "up to 24 hrs"

Bet at 12.01am and supposedly you can change your bet as late as 11.59pm.

 

[adii_7]

tonight

Coll half time margin - 25-36pts @ 5.00
Collingwood 121+ @ 1.90
Most Goals - Jack Riewoldt @ 3.00
Most Disposals B - Ben Johnson @ 2.75

3 Reasons why you should change a few bets

Collingwood are going to come out firing - Probally be something like 70-20 at half time.

It should start to rain mid match - Pies should just cover 121.

Richmond will be lucky to kick 10 goals for game.

 

[arkie]

Does anyone know how I can get a freebet on Sportingbet or Centrebet. I'm already a member and want to have a punt but have no funds right now! have most of my bankroll in my Pinnacle account and that sucks for Aussie Rules markets!

 

[Sasquatch]

3 Reasons why you should change a few bets

Collingwood are going to come out firing - Probally be something like 70-20 at half time.

It should start to rain mid match - Pies should just cover 121.

Richmond will be lucky to kick 10 goals for game.

3 reasons why you should just piss off.

1. You're a hack
2. You're a pest
3. You suck

 

[EssendonPride]

100$ on Collingwood -24.5 1/2 time @ 1.92 (Changed from -23.5 whilst making my bet, doh).
30$ on Supercoach - Chris Newman vs Heath Shaw @ 1.90
100$ - Collingwood -23.5, Freo -10.5, Geelong +19.5 @ 2.05

 

[Syphoncom]

Stab in the dark...

Richmond +47.5
Hawks 30-39
Carl v Ess (either under 15.5)
Syd v Geel (either under 15.5)
Adelaide 1-39

$5 @ $266

and c/bet or whichever bookie goes tyvm for that $5

Richmond +47.5 Reasonable-ish. I think this figure depends more on Collingwood than Richmond, as it's up to us as to how much we win by. Their team is far worse (nothing against them, this is fact) and it could be a 30 point win, it could be 100+. I would've picked Collingwood at the line rather than Richmond at the line, but that's your pick and the fun of it!

Hawks 30-39 Reasonable. The fact it's a 10 point margin makes it 'unlikely', but not because the margin you've picked itself is unreasonable.

Carl v Ess (either under 15.5) Reasonable-ish. I wouldn't say it's unlikely, but anything could happen.

Syd v Geel (either under 15.5) Reasonable

Adelaide 1-39 Reasonable

$5 @ $266

Fail to see why you'd rip on the guy, especially considering it's effectively a big mac .

Good luck with it mate! $1300+ for a fiver would be an awesome return!

 

[yamahamoto]

2 unit on Collingwood HT 25-36 5.00
8 unit on Collingwood HT 37+ 2.40
*TAB odds

Good luck on 2nd half guys....time for me to collect the cash from tab...

 

[Lakey91]

HT margins/lines for pies is where its at.

Seem to always fade a bit.

Often up by 40-50 at HT, but they rarely seem to win by 80-100 (more like 50-80).

 

[Lensen]

Most goals tonight

1.2 units Riewoldt @ $3.50 (Centrebet)
0.3 units Miller @ $26 (Sportsbet)

Never in doubt

 

[Majinbuu]

My first line bet ever (1.92) at sportsbet, success!

 

[danzan22]

Never in doubt

I'm sure you weren't the only one who lucked out at the end haha. Good job

 

[EssendonPride]

100$ on Collingwood -24.5 1/2 time @ 1.92 (Changed from -23.5 whilst making my bet, doh). WIN
30$ on Supercoach - Chris Newman vs Heath Shaw @ 1.90 WIN
100$ - Collingwood -23.5, Freo -10.5, Geelong +19.5 @ 2.05

Pretty healthy night

 

[half_back_flank]

on 365 Cloke is @ $17 to kick the first goal, apparently they rate Ball a better chance...

So close, drops that mark five metres out and then nails the second.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

So close, drops that mark five metres out and then nails the second.

And don't forget the snap for a behind

 

[Moses01]

So far:

Richmond vs Collingwood 2: (Line (1.9)) Collingwood ( -46.5) @ 1.91
Hawthorn vs West Coast 1: (Line (1.9)) Hawthorn ( -38.5) @ 1.91
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide 1: (Line (1.9)) Port Adelaide ( +17.5) @ 1.91
Gold Coast vs Melbourne 2: (Line (1.9)) Melbourne ( -34.5) @ 1.91
Fremantle vs North Melbourne 1: (Line (1.9)) Fremantle ( -30.5) @ 1.91
$10 @ $25.42

Richmond vs Collingwood - First Half 2: (Line (1.9)) Collingwood ( -24.5) @ 1.90
Hawthorn vs West Coast - First Half 1: (Line (1.9)) Hawthorn ( -19.5) @ 1.90
Sydney vs Geelong 2: (1-39) Geelong @ 2.30
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide 1: (Handicap) Port Adelaide ( +24.5) @ 1.60
Gold Coast vs Melbourne 2: (Line (1.72)) Melbourne ( -31.5) @ 1.72
$30 @ $22.85

Richmond vs Collingwood - First to 15 Points 2: (Straight) Collingwood @ 1.22
Hawthorn vs West Coast - First Quarter 1: (Straight) Hawthorn @ 1.22
Gold Coast vs Melbourne - First to 15 Points 2: (Straight) Melbourne @ 1.42
Fremantle vs North Melbourne - First Half 1: (Straight) Fremantle @ 1.25
$50 @ $2.64

All good so far. Plus

Deccan Chargers vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Highest Scoring Over1: (Straight) 1-17 Runs @ 2.50
Richmond vs Collingwood - First Half2: (Line (1.9)) Collingwood ( -24.5) @ 1.90
Sydney vs Geelong - Triple Margin 39.53: (Straight) Either Team Under 39.5 Points @ 1.27
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide - Triple Margin 39.53: (Straight) Either Team Under 39.5 Points @ 1.34
Gold Coast vs Melbourne2: (Line (1.72)) Melbourne ( -31.5) @ 1.72
$10 @ $13.90

Richmond vs Collingwood - First Half2: (Line (1.9)) Collingwood ( -24.5) @ 1.90
Hawthorn vs West Coast - First Half1: (Line (1.9)) Hawthorn ( -19.5) @ 1.90
Gold Coast vs Melbourne - First Half2: (Line (1.9)) Melbourne ( -17.5) @ 1.90
Fremantle vs North Melbourne - First Half1: (Line (1.9)) Fremantle ( -15.5) @ 1.90
$10 @ $13.03

Lets hope it all doesn't fall in a heap tomorrow