AFL Round 6

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Tonights game I am very tempted at the total score market of over 190 pts. Surely the pies will win and should win big so expecting a big score from them. The dogs have been up and down and without a great forward line the score may not dominate but being at Docklands the 2 teams should create a high score. Any thought on this one?
 

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I think the Pies will flog the doggies tonight.

Have put $50 on pick the score double with WBD 0-60 Pt/COL 121+ Pt paying $7.50(collect $375) and also $50 on WBD 61-75 Pt/COL 121+ Pt paying $9.50(collect $475). Cannot see the doggies scoring more than 75 points tonight. These are both very good bets imo and also have ran these bets into most of my multi's for the weekend to bump up the value for the round.

Also got Pendles for most possies @ $5 earlier today and is now into $4.
 
1.5u mzungo kick a goal @ 2.1
has kicked 4 for the year, with one in 3/5 matches and has kicked one everytime freo have scored over 65 points for the match, which they should do this week

1u hargrave over shaw in DT @ 2.12
taking the outsiders odds as shaw has been terrible so far this year, with hargrave doing reasonably well. will fade shaw until he turns it around in at least 1 game

3u the field vs j selwood in DT @ 1.6
dont usualy take this short odds in DT bets but its not like selwood is that much of a DT beast, geelong have plenty of superstars capable of scoring highly.

1u cooney over 85 in DT @ 1.8
has made this line the last 3 weeks and shouldnt get a tag.
 

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I have to be the only person in Australia who doesn't hate the Dogs chances tonight.

I've taken then at the line. :eek:

You haven't come on to crow about your well placed line bet. You're such a gent, Jimmy.

And you could back the other side for a big middle in 5 minutes at half time.
 
Took Butcher for the nom this week at 9.

Also on Higgins @ 21, Gia @ 14 for Most Goals. Both on 1. No multiple goal kickers yet.
 
Nah mate your + bet is absolutely home, well done. :thumbsu:

Thanks.

On a similar note, I'd be interested to know if many of you are taking the Dogs now? I see they're at $3.50 to win.

My maths has teams leading by 1-6 at 3/4 time winning about 59% of the time. That would mean the Pies should be at about $1.67 (Currently at $1.28) and the Dogs should be at around $2.40 (Currently at $3.50).

Slight value with the dogs, right?
 
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