AFL Round 9

[balmainforever]

FRIDAY, 24TH MAY
7.50pm: Collingwood ($1.62) vs Sydney ($2.30) Line 8.5

SATURDAY, 25TH MAY
1.45pm: Port Adelaide ($5.50) vs Geelong ($1.15) Line 30.5
2.10pm: G/W Sydney ($16.00) vs West Coast ($1.01) Line 70.5
4.40pm: St.Kilda ($1.22) vs Western Bulldogs ($4.30) Line 28.5
7.40pm: Brisbane ($2.75) vs Carlton ($1.45) Line 16.5
7.45pm: Richmond ($2.05) vs Essendon ($1.77) Line 4.5

SUNDAY, 26TH MAY
1.10pm: Hawthorn ($1.01) vs Gold Coast ($16.00) Line 66.5
3.20pm: North Melbourne ($1.48) vs Adelaide ($2.65) Line 15.5
4.40pm: Fremantle ($1.01) vs Melbourne ($16.00) Line 62.5

Odds courtesy Sportsbet.com.au (as at 11.30am on 21/5/13)

 

[Davedinkum]

pies,tigers and crows

 

[Atley]

Crows look good.

 

[tupperware]

As said above, Adelaide.

Also if people jump on Carlton, i'll be jumping on Brisbane.

 

[X_box_X]

After seeing how easily Adelaide dismantled North last year, I'll be all over the Crows this week. I also think St. Kilda will be far too good for the Bulldogs.

 

[Stockdale]

After seeing how easily Adelaide dismantled North last year, I'll be all over the Crows this week. I also think St. Kilda will be far too good for the Bulldogs.

What? Adelaide havent beaten North since 2009..

 

[X_box_X]

What? Adelaide havent beaten North since 2009..

My bad, I was thinking of the Carlton game when Dangerfield beat them by himself. I still think Adelaide is a good thing. The Crows massacred the Saints in a low scoring game tonight. Imagine what would have happened if Texas Walker was playing. The Crows would have demolished them like a chainsaw.

 

[Stockdale]

They beat the Saints by 40 points which is hardly a massacre, they won at home but play North away, then there is the fact North are much better than the Saints. Ill be taking the North line later in the week

 

[infinity303]

Port out to 6.50 now. Can anyone tell me what the line might look like for this game?

I like Pies, Brisbane, Adelaide.

 

[daniel_4tw]

FRIDAY, 24TH MAY
7.50pm: Collingwood ($1.68) vs Sydney ($2.10) Line **.5

SATURDAY, 25TH MAY
1.45pm: Port Adelaide ($4.65) vs Geelong ($1.16) Line **.5
2.10pm: G/W Sydney ($16.00) vs West Coast ($1.01) Line **.5
4.40pm: St.Kilda ($1.33) vs Western Bulldogs ($3.10) Line **.5
7.40pm: Brisbane ($2.45) vs Carlton ($1.50) Line **.5
7.45pm: Richmond ($2.20) vs Essendon ($1.60) Line **.5

SUNDAY, 26TH MAY
1.10pm: Hawthorn ($1.02) vs Gold Coast ($12.00) Line **.5
3.20pm: North Melbourne ($1.37) vs Adelaide ($2.90) Line **.5
4.40pm: Fremantle ($1.005) vs Melbourne ($21.00) Line **.5

Odds courtesy Sportsbet.com.au (as at 12.00Pm on 19/5/13)

I like the looks of WB, Essendon and Crows at those prices.

Also Melbourne worth a little bit. Freo play a low scoring game style and Melbourne usually make the most out of their scoring shots...

Will see what it looks like later in the week.

 

[tupperware]

They beat the Saints by 40 points which is hardly a massacre, they won at home but play North away, then there is the fact North are much better than the Saints. Ill be taking the North line later in the week

Given that the saints only scored 47 (and ****ed the lowest round score bet), that's a pretty large margin.

 

[banana_bus]

Crows beat GWS and StK (at home) and apparently they're good things to beat NM @ Etihad?

I don't think so... North also have 2 extra days to recover from the WA trip.

 

[Ilike2play]

Had 4 units on GWS and 1 saver on melbourne RE lowest score ... Adel v saints painful to watch and painful result...

Bulldogs in the never back again category ...

 

[yamahamoto]

Couldn't believe how bad bulldogs were

 

[d3ft]

Had 4 units on GWS and 1 saver on melbourne RE lowest score ... Adel v saints painful to watch and painful result...

Bulldogs in the never back again category ...

Looks like a lot of us got boned by that score from the Saints. Still think it was a good bet, Saints had way more scoring shots than GWS. That bloody Cameron is a dead eye. He is going to be unstoppable once his supply increases - although maybe it's just that no one cares enough to cover him properly.

 

[Rourke]

Port out to 6.50 now. Can anyone tell me what the line might look like for this game?

Does anyone know why the lines are delayed this week? And some books don't even have any match odds (at midday Monday). Using a standard formula, odds of 6.50 for Port vs 1.09 is probably about a +43.5 start or so. At current odds AFL Predictor App will like Richmond, Adelaide & St Kilda plus Port to cover that line.

 

[Lensen]

Does anyone know why the lines are delayed this week? And some books don't even have any match odds (at midday Monday). Using a standard formula, odds of 6.50 for Port vs 1.09 is probably about a +43.5 start or so. At current odds AFL Predictor App will like Richmond, Adelaide & St Kilda plus Port to cover that line.

the lines never come out until ~monday afternoon at some bookies and then tuesday at others.

 

[Rourke]

the lines never come out until ~monday afternoon at some bookies and then tuesday at others.

That was the case last year, but this year Sportsbet has been out with lines late Sunday night and the others have had at least odds by Monday morning. Maybe Sportsbet were losing money on the early $1.92 lines? Damn, AFL Predictor has just increased its bank by 73.5% in two weeks mainly using those lines ...

 

[vWestCoast]

Port line is +32.5 on sportsbet

 

[saintal]

Crows were fairly average last night despite the final margin (St Kilda were woeful). I'd be hesitant about putting too much $ on them this week.

 

[yamahamoto]

4 teams have started the week as 1.01 fav and none of them covered the line. Essendon gws, Geelong dogs, Richmond Melbourne, hawthorn gws. This week we have hawthorn gc, freo Melbourne and wc gws

 

[Tassieboy]

Carlton appear to be the best value against the Lions - $1.47 (-15.5)

 

[yamahamoto]

If merret gets a week then Carlton

 

[Tassieboy]

St Kilda line -28.5 looks value too.

 

[Willzzz]

Love the look of:
Adelaide + 14.5
(NM coming back from Perth after yet another demoralising loss, Will have 9 Days Off which might disrupt their routine. Crows - Good Win against Saints & Normal 7 Day Break)
Essendon -4.5
(Have to back the better team here. Coming off a few disappointing losses, should rebound and come out hard in the DreamTime game)
Western Bulldogs +28.5 (Matches up with the Saints. Both teams are have hard, strong midfielders but lack the outside run, polish. Still don't rate Saints- they've only had the 1 good win & will be off a 6-day break)
Port Adelaide +32.5(A decent team that should bounce back. S. Johnson doubtful for the Cats.)
Brisbane +16.5 (Might finally see the Brisbane team that we expected at the end of the NAB Cup. Guns in Brown, Black, Zorko, Rockliff, Redden. Beat Carlton convincingly in their last match, albeit a NAB Cup Grand Final.

All of the teams above are a chance SU as well. Will take Port Adelaide just for the value. They are paying $5.60 at Sportsbet