AFLW 2024

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Sarah Hartwig breakout game pretty sure she always plays good in the RAT

2-4 @4.15, 13, 38TS

Woodley 1-2 @2.90, 21

Guttridge 1-2 @2.10, 8.50
 
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AFLW Rd 10
Gold Coast +49.5 handicap versus North Melbourne
Carlton +17.5 handicap versus Essendon
GWS Giants +29.5 handicap versus Port Adelaide

$9.57
 
WA TAB Promo. Notice its now a 50% profit Plus, with a stake of up to $30 max. TAB Touch if your reading this , can we get the 100% profits back please?

AFLW Rd 10
Gold Coast +49.5 handicap versus North Melbourne
Carlton +17.5 handicap versus Essendon
GWS Giants +29.5 handicap versus Port Adelaide

$9.57
Probably should have made a play on the lines rather the u40. See how it goes.
 
North v Gold Coast

Taya Oliver AGS @ 3.75 at Neds. Has a goal in her past three games.


Otherwise mainly betting on North goalkickers today.
 
U40
Essendon
Hawthorn
Freo

$4.29 watab
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It's hard to find an edge tonight.

TAB momentarily had the total at 74.5 which I think is slightly too high. Unders at $1.90 may be slight value if you can find that again.

Total should be somewhere between 71.5 to 72.5 so again bookies also have that spot on.
 
AFLW x WBBL Cross Sport Multi

Freo v Essendon Over 63.5 pts

Smriti Mandhana Under 3.5 Fours

Odds: $3.39 SB Boosted


The theme of this weekends round in the WBBL is 'Big Stadium' round. Only been 1 GABBA WBBL fixture played here, but the team batting first only made 3 Fours all up in that one and only game. Its Mandhanas first game of the WBBL season and Im going to take the under as I think the slightly bigger boundaries will be harder to get.

I imagine the totals is lower in the AFLW is because there is no Tighe, who kicked 4 goals last time. At 63.5 I have to play the over. Its 66.5 line at Pointsbet.

Under Sportsbet BYO . I dont mind the tackles for Prespakis and McCarthy to combine for 15+ at $6. They got 24 last time and being a finals there will be alot of congested play.

1731118405559.png


Not sure if I can make a case for the other props at bigger odds.
 
Madison Prespakis loves the big stage. Finals she kicks goals

Backing her to kick a goal today against Freo at $3.60 (1u), 2+ Goals at $19 (0.25u)


Will get an opportunity or two in front of the sticks today. Scoring opportunities in Finals she has played: 2, 1, 2 and 2. 3 of those 4 games she has kicked at least a goal.

Advised play at anything above > $2.40 for AGS.
 
acking her to kick a goal today against Freo at $3.60 (1u), 2+ Goals at $19 (0.25u)
Bets refunded

Freo v Essendon Over 63.5 pts

Smriti Mandhana Under 3.5 Fours

Odds: $3.39 SB Boosted
Bet loss

Total on Freo v Ess finished on 62 pts
 
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McCarthy ended up on 13 tackles.

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Prespakis needs to get fit , not bitch and moan about her getting slagged for being overweight on social media.

 
AFLW Semi Final day x WBBL

Adelaide v Freo Over 65.5 Points

Hobart Hurricanes to beat Adelaide Strikers women


I admit I lost on the overs on Freo last week. Part of that reason was Essendon were down a player and that affected their scoring ability. Adelaide are a good enough side , to score 2+ goals a quarter .

The Adelaide Strikers women have checked out in the last game in the WBBL. The Strikers body language is shot and they look largely disinterested with their season now gone. Tactically woeful and Lizelle Lee is on a heater at the moment scoring a ton with ease in the last game against the same oppo.

Odds: $3.60 (1u)



And a sprinkle on higher margins :

Adelaide v Freo Over 77.5 points
Lizelle Lee to Hit 2+ Sixes

Odds: $9.18 (0.5u) at TAB with the Boost



Goalscorer Bet

Strom to Kick a Goal at $6.00 (0.5u)

Strom was influential in the ruck last week and you could make a case she was best on ground in the Freo v Ess game last week. Last 2 weeks she has had good scoring opportunities in front of goal: 1.0 and 0.3.
 
Dimensions of Fremantle Oval and Norwood Oval are similar. So the Docker girls shouldn't have too much problems adjusting to the narrowness there.

Fremantle also have beaten Adelaide there in their only encounter in 2021.

I like the Freo +18.5 handicap versus the Crows

and Im happy to parlay that with Port Adelaide with a+19.5 handicap versus the Hawks. I know the Hawks are 8-1 in their last 9, but the Power are on a 7 game winning streak. Also the Hawks last game at Princes Park was a loss to Richmond, the same team Port Adelaide smashed last week. These two teams have never made a prelim before and I do sense the nerves will come into play late in the 4th quarter.


Freo +18.5 handicap v Crows
Power +19.5 handicap v Hawks

Odds: $3.80 (1u)


And because Im feeling like it could be an underdogs day:

Freo To Win v Crows
Power to Win v Hawks

Freo to beat the Crows , rolled over to Port Adelaide to beat the Hawks

Odds @ 26.88 SB Boosted (0.2u)
 

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