- Sep 25, 2013
- 16,122
- 31,139
Taking the $310, will have a little bit back on them at $3.80 with TAB because I want to ride them home, but not looking great now can probably find 4 bucks somewhere.
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Arbitrage Analyst I saw your post before it was deleted. Not sure why you did so? Yes, I believe Betr are shook with liability but frustratingly being let off the hook by the Celtics trailing multiple times in series which is BS.
Agreed reckon the liability is enormousI'll repost, but my mind is plagued with uni work so I didn't want to mislead anyone if I was making a mistake hahah.
At $300 cash out plus your initial $10 stake, this beats the fair value of ~$218 if you hedged with Betfair.
Anyone who has received this offer, you should take it whether or not you want to let it ride. If you want to let it ride, stake $243 on Betfair at $4.1 odds to take home an additional $67 and still have the same $1000 payout on the table.
This is a clear sign Betr is ridiculously worried. They know they could offload their liability as they did with Deauville Legend at an EV of -$218. However, we all saw what happened there, the odds plummeted as nobody will back a team at such artificially low odds. Makes me think that a majority of the NBA $101 odds were put on the Celtics if they're paying above fair value. Worrying signs if they do indeed win...
I think most Australian punters just chucked their $10 on the NBA favourite. I know nothing about basketball but I know a bit about maximising value...Agreed reckon the liability is enormous
Tripp may want to send a thank you letter to Jimmy Buckets
I think most Australian punters just chucked their $10 on the NBA favourite. I know nothing about basketball but I know a bit about maximising value...
At least with the NRL and AFL there will be a bit more diversity in their liability
Celtics now 0-3 down.Yes, still a bad deal regardless of today's result. It's like trading in a car to a dealership for $2500 when your neighbour offered to pay you $5000 for it. What the car ends up being worth a day, month or year later doesn't matter, you got ripped.
Aftertiming. Ban plz.Celtics now 0-3 down.
Yeah, still a bad deal.
If you want to let your position ride then a simple move would be 200 on Boston with Sportsbet @5.5 and accept betr offer.I'm a let it rider and got the $200 cash out offer today.
I've mainly let it ride to this point as I have previously had bonus bets on Denver and Miami to net profits of $840 and $620 respectively.
Any thoughts from the gurus on my best move now based on the above?
No intelligent talk on this forum please.If you want to let your position ride then a simple move would be 200 on Boston with Sportsbet @5.5 and accept betr offer.
If they lose you are down the initial $10 you bet. If they win you'll collect $1100 instead of $1010.
Have seen it mentioned somewhere about Betr having an abandonment clause in the T&C's.
Able to close your account if no betting for a period of time, pending bets all void (apparently).
Can't see it mentioned in their T&C's from a quick skim.
Anyone know or seen this mentioned?
Thought it was in here but can't seem to find it.
Sounds completely illegal to me and it's hard to see a scenario where that is a clause. If you find it somewhere though then please report back because it seems unbelievable. Most just have a fee they subtract from your account if you abandon it for over 2 years or something, and if you've got nothing in there anyway, then you're all good.Have seen it mentioned somewhere about Betr having an abandonment clause in the T&C's.
Able to close your account if no betting for a period of time, pending bets all void (apparently).
Can't see it mentioned in their T&C's from a quick skim.
Anyone know or seen this mentioned?
Thought it was in here but can't seem to find it.
I've gone through their T&C's a couple of times now and can't locate anything that relates to this.Sounds completely illegal to me and it's hard to see a scenario where that is a clause. If you find it somewhere though then please report back because it seems unbelievable. Most just have a fee they subtract from your account if you abandon it for over 2 years or something, and if you've got nothing in there anyway, then you're all good.