Unofficial Preview Bye Round Musings - Remaining fixtures, spoon likelihood/will we win another game this season?

[CursoryMercenary]

Remaining fixtures, So MANY more matches left....

Round 14 - Bye
Round 15 - v Essendon @ Marvel
Round 16 - v Hawthorn
Round 17 - v Melbourne @ M.C.G
Round 18 - v Brisbane
Round 19 - v St.Kilda @ Marvel
Round 20 - v Fremantle @ Optus
Round 21 - v Gold Coast
Round 22 - v North Melbourne @ Blunstone Arena
Round 23 - v Carlton
Round 24 - v Geelong @ GMHBA Stadium

In all honesty I wouldn't back us in any of those games. Hawthorn, St.Kilda & North would be our best bets but I think we would likely start outsiders in all of them, especially with Hawthorn currently winning most of their recent games.

Are we a spoon chance? I think North's % still makes them favorite but a couple of massive hidings will put ours near theirs very quickly. They still could snag a couple of more wins perhaps too of course. Richmond aren't playing too bad as well. We haven't looked right since the Crows loss. Maybe the bye can help us restructure, if not this season could very easily start again to look like the last two...

 

[Bleedblueandgold]

Yep after tonight, we have no chance of getting another win unless a certain team throws the game, but they probably won't need to.
If we had won the past 2 games comprehensively, I'd give us a shot to win another 1-2 games, but not anymore...

 

[Rowan18]

Wow - this is the thread where obvious troll accounts reveal themselves.

We'll win another 3-4 games. Won't get above Hawthorn (as they have figured out how to win) so we'll finish third last.

Season has been decent so far. Young guys are showing their talent and we've become hard to beat at home. Next step is to be able to win 80% at home and 4 away, at which point we should make finals.

 

[Tugga27]

Wow - this is the thread where obvious troll accounts reveal themselves.

We'll win another 3-4 games. Won't get above Hawthorn (as they have figured out how to win) so we'll finish third last.

Season has been decent so far. Young guys are showing their talent and we've become hard to beat at home. Next step is to be able to win 80% at home and 4 away, at which point we should make finals.

Can't see us winning another 3 or 4 we but might jag a couple.

We just don't have the depth to cover 6 or 7 first starters being out.

 

[Dom sheed pocket]

Yes. We will win another 2-3 games. The bye has come at the right time. Hopefully Kelly, Hunt, Allen can come back in after the bye and Reid the week after.

 

[kaiserchief13]

Might win against Gold Coast if they can't make the top 8. Other than that doubt another win. Probably should lose them all and hope they finish last and can ask for a PP

 

[Bestbird]

We were looking ok with Yeo, Kelly and Reid all playing as the prime midfielders.

Have little depth after that with only Ginbey who is not quite there yet and Petro now and then

 

[West_coast_spirit]

Our spoon chances are low this year with the amount of improvement the club has seen so far. As for getting another win, you never know with some of our good guys coming back from injuries like Oscar Allen

12

Oscar Allen

Age

25

Ht

196cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.8

2star

K

6.6

3star

HB

3.2

3star

M

3.8

4star

T

2.4

4star

G

1.1

4star

No current season stats available

D

8.6

3star

K

5.8

3star

HB

2.8

3star

M

3.8

4star

T

2.0

4star

G

1.2

4star

in 2/1 weeks and Tim Kelly

11

Tim Kelly

Age

29

Ht

184cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

23.6

5star

K

13.5

5star

HB

10.1

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

4.0

5star

CL

4.9

5star

D

19.9

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

7.6

4star

M

3.1

3star

T

4.7

5star

CL

3.6

4star

D

21.6

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

11.2

5star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

3.8

5star

in 1/2 weeks

 

[Ace McKane]

I think at the very worst there are at least two winnable games there.

By the end of the season, providing all goes well we should have the following guys available:

Reid
Allen
Hewett
Hunt
Kelly

Five blokes there that are easily best 18. No reason why we can't win two, possibly three and challenge for a fourth. If not, it would be a disaster if we weren't competitive.

 

[Byron_Clanger]

Wow - this is the thread where obvious troll accounts reveal themselves.

We'll win another 3-4 games. Won't get above Hawthorn (as they have figured out how to win) so we'll finish third last.

Season has been decent so far. Young guys are showing their talent and we've become hard to beat at home. Next step is to be able to win 80% at home and 4 away, at which point we should make finals.

While I still think we may win another game...3 or 4? Really? I had us pegged for 3/4 wins this season so they're way ahead of where I thought they'd be. And considering our average losing margin last year was like 60+ points, I think we'd look at the silver lining and say losing by less than a couple goals our last three home games is an improvement...

I ain't gonna predict where the wins are gonna come from because if anyone thought we'd jag wins from Freo and Melbourne I'd tell you you're shrooming.

 

[dkalphy]

Why do we play teams at home off byes? hows that fair, both norf and hawks off byes for there 1 trip to wa, lol

 

[West_coast_spirit]

Wow - this is the thread where obvious troll accounts reveal themselves.

We'll win another 3-4 games. Won't get above Hawthorn (as they have figured out how to win) so we'll finish third last.

Season has been decent so far. Young guys are showing their talent and we've become hard to beat at home. Next step is to be able to win 80% at home and 4 away, at which point we should make finals.

Honestly I don't care about finishing 3rd last. I was hoping we finished 16th or above this year and next year we will be higher and win more as we have found a bit of a spark. I could see us being finals contenders again in about 3-5 years but even that could be considered a bit of a stretch.

 

[sharps24]

Pure speculation, we'll win both the Marvel games and Carlton at home.

 

[Cuzz09]

The only thing to look forward to is more Harley and hopefully Hewett.

Be nice to see Oscar play a few games.

Hope we adopt a more attacking style and get games into as many draftees as possible

Whether that means we lose every games so be it.

Don't care about the spoon.

Hope we don't trade our first rounder, take the best possible player.



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[Cuzz09]

Pure speculation, we'll win both the Marvel games and Carlton at home.

HAHAHA

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[Cuzz09]

I think North will probably still come last unless they are super competitive and we get flogged.

which is a possibility.

1 win should save us from a spoon but ATM we aren't beating everyone

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[woosha24]

Look I reckon we can jag about 2 more wins at max, but we're gonna be in for some serious hidings while on the way there.

For whatever reason the coaches have tossed out the exciting run-n-gun playstyle that saw us be competitive in a few matches and even win a couple, and have decided to revert back to the plodding kick/mark game that hasn't worked for donkey's years. Is it because of fitness concerns? Is it because they are trying to implement new tactics (the constant kicking down the line to force stoppages was certainly.....a choice)? Who knows. All we can say is that it f*cking sucks and we're just gonna have to eat sh*t until someone decides not to employ it anymore.

As an aside, several members of the team too readily regress back to "guarding grass" in contested situations, giving their opponent the opportunity to dispose of the ball under no pressure. The unwillingness to tackle and instead rely on "perceived pressure" is concerning this late into the rebuild.

 

[Cuzz09]

Bring in Dewar, Burgiel and Brockman and when Harley's back go back to just attacking and taking it on.

Who cares if we lose 25 goals to 19 at least it's entertaining.

Need some enthusiasm. That's the main thing Harley's brings in spades and it lifts everyone

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[CoastersFlag No.5]

Probably one more. Will be good to see if Oscar and Waterman can work together well. Maybe seeing Hewett in the last round or 2. Hope Harley gets a clean run till the last round when he gets back. Doubt we get the spoon as I would be shocked if North win 3 more. Probably had unrealistic expectations after Melbourne win but that game shows what we can do.

 

[ioppolo]

GC haven't won outside of their home games including the NT so we're a good shout there.

 

[Deplorable trumpster]

The clearances would have to dramatically improve from where they were today and have been for several weeks now in order for us to win any more games.

 

[Grahame]

Five blokes there that are easily best 18. No reason why we can't win two, possibly three and challenge for a fourth. If not, it would be a disaster if we weren't competitive.

Great on paper but
1. every team is better with their best 23 on the park; and
2. few teams have their best 23 on the park.

 

[Ace McKane]

Great on paper but
1. every team is better with their best 23 on the park; and
2. few teams have their best 23 on the park.

Of course - in an ideal world - however looking objectively you would say at least 4 of those 5 should be present and healthy barring some sort of disaster. Everyone has their turn at fielding majority of their best blokes and hopefully ours comes with some competitive footy towards the end.

 

[Westend]

Can't see us winning another 3 or 4 we but might jag a couple.

We just don't have the depth to cover 6 or 7 first starters being out.

Yup 100% tuggs

our depth is an issue ...we just can't cover the quality when its out

frustrating atm.....these last two weeks...but last week we where leading at 3 quarter time and leading with 5 minutes to go this game ...we just couldn't get it done

positives is that we finally have a ruckman in Flynn.......but its going to take time and people need to be patient ..he is not match fit yet needs at least 4-5 games of solid rucking

 

[squashface]

Crazy how we are relying on a 19 year old first year player to win games.

Tagged out of a half of footy? Lose
Suspended against the biggest basket case excuse of a club in football? Lose

The simple formula is if Reid plays and isn't hindered by a tag in every game from his return then we are a chance to win imo. If he is not playing or suspended then we are odds on to lose.