Danger 2016 vs Swan 2010

Can Dangerfield poll more votes than swannys 34 in 2010?

  • Patrick Dangerfield

    Votes: 24 54.5%
  • Dane Swan

    Votes: 20 45.5%

  • Total voters
    44

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BrownlowPosterJudd.jpg
 
If the media were voting on it, probably.

He has had 5 or so absolute standout games were he is a lock for 3 votes, then a few more where he will get 2 votes behind Selwood, then the rest of his season is like 30 touch games that will be borderline votes. If he starts polling 2s or 3s in these sort of games when he doesn't deserve it like Judd and Goodes used to then yeah he is going to finish with an enormous tally.
 
Still perplexed as to how Judd beat Swan to the Brownlow in 2010. Swan should have back to back Brownlows.
Judd's 2011 was better than his 2010. GAJ was the best player in 2010 in my (biased) eyes
 

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Will he poll more than 34? He should poll close to 40. I can't see how he doesn't have at least 10 bogs with Geelong winning 17 games and i reckon he's polled in at least 15 of those wins....
 
Still perplexed as to how Judd beat Swan to the Brownlow in 2010. Swan should have back to back Brownlows.
Not winning in 2010 might have helped Swan win in 2011 as the umpires compensated for not recognising him the prior year. You can hardly say he was robbed anyway considering Ablett was clearly a better player in both seasons.
 
If the media were voting on it, probably.

He has had 5 or so absolute standout games were he is a lock for 3 votes, then a few more where he will get 2 votes behind Selwood, then the rest of his season is like 30 touch games that will be borderline votes. If he starts polling 2s or 3s in these sort of games when he doesn't deserve it like Judd and Goodes used to then yeah he is going to finish with an enormous tally.

Danger traditionally polls well. He topped 20 votes in 2014 when most Crows fans thought he'd had a dissapointing year (for his standards). He wasn't really considered a contender that year but he nearly won it.
 
Ablett should have won in 2010, Swan in 2011, Watson in 2012, Selwood in 2013, Fyfe in 2014, Fyfe in 2015, and Clokey in 2016. Settled.
 
34 votes in 2011 was a magnificent effort considering all the talent Swanny had around him in 2011, that was the year after the premiership with many of the pies big guns around their peak. Danger will give it a shake though, lots of Cats will get votes in 2016 but its likely only Selwood will contest regularly for the 3 voter games.
 
A better guide would be comparing the odds for each player, Swan iirc was the shortest priced Brownlow favourite in history in 2010, it's obviously not a perfect guide but it's better than using the white maggots.
 
Not winning in 2010 might have helped Swan win in 2011 as the umpires compensated for not recognising him the prior year. You can hardly say he was robbed anyway considering Ablett was clearly a better player in both seasons.

Gazza may have been the better player but that's not what the Brownlows only about, other factors like win loss ratio come into it.
 

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Danger 2016 vs Swan 2010

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