List Mgmt. Hawk's List Management 2023

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He said it himself, I still remember him giving the tip live on tv . Everybody had given their tip and they all went with Sydney from about 3 to 5 goals and then tried to make a bigshot of himself and actually said "Well nobody else is going to say it so I will !Sydney by 68 points" . There was 100 percent no misunderstanding .

He got the margin close
 
He got the margin close
Gerard Healy topped King. He went 3 finals series in a row during the three peat era where he didn't once tip the Hawks in any of the finals they played. Not one final across 2013-2015
 

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Gerard Healy topped King. He went 3 finals series in a row during the three peat era where he didn't once tip the Hawks in any of the finals they played. Not one final across 2013-2015
The only defence I can offer for Healy is that we were (betting) underdogs in each of those three GFs against Freo, Sydney and WCE - pretty sure I'm right about that but wouldn't put my house on it. :)

Edit: Sorry, just realised you said finals, not GFs.
 
The only defence I can offer for Healy is that we were (betting) underdogs in each of those three GFs against Freo, Sydney and WCE - pretty sure I'm right about that but wouldn't put my house on it. :)
I dont think that is true. You are probably remembering all the re-written history from offended opposition supporters
 
This puts Gerard's tipping into perspective during those finals.
We started favourite in every final except for the one in which we destroyed his beloved Swans.

2013

Qualifying - Haw v Syd - 54 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.60, Line -10.5 @ 1.91
Sydney Betting Odds: Win 2.40, Line +10.5 @ 1.91

Prelim - Haw v Gee - 5 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.48, Line -11.5 @ 1.90
Geelong Betting Odds: Win 2.60, Line +11.5 @ 1.90

GF - Haw v Fre - 15 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.62, Line -8.5 @ 1.92
Fremantle Betting Odds: Win 2.30, Line +8.5 @ 1.92


2014

Qualifying - Haw v Gee - 36 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.52, Line -13.5 @ 1.91
Geelong Betting Odds: Win 2.60, Line +13.5 @ 1.91

Prelim - Haw v Port - 3 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.30, Line -21.5 @ 1.91
Port Adelaide Betting Odds: Win 3.70, Line +21.5 @ 1.91

GF - Haw v Syd- 63 points WIN
Sydney Betting Odds: Win 1.65, Line -7.5 @ 1.92
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 2.30, Line +7.5 @ 1.92


2015

Qualifying - WC v Haw - 32 points LOSS
West Coast Betting Odds: Win 2.42, Line +7.5 @ 1.95
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.60, Line -7.5 @ 1.85

Semi - Haw v Ade - 74 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.37, Line -24.5 @ 1.91
Adelaide Betting Odds: Win 3.25, Line +24.5 @ 1.91

Prelim - Fre v Haw - 37 points WIN
Fremantle Betting Odds: Win 2.15, Line +6.5 @ 1.91
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.74, Line -6.5 @ 1.91

GF - Haw v WC - 46 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.63, Line -9.5 @ 1.91
West Coast Betting Odds: Win 2.40, Line +9.5 @ 1.91
 
This puts Gerard's tipping into perspective during those finals.
We started favourite in every final except for the one in which we destroyed his beloved Swans.

2013

Qualifying - Haw v Syd - 54 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.60, Line -10.5 @ 1.91
Sydney Betting Odds: Win 2.40, Line +10.5 @ 1.91

Prelim - Haw v Gee - 5 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.48, Line -11.5 @ 1.90
Geelong Betting Odds: Win 2.60, Line +11.5 @ 1.90

GF - Haw v Fre - 15 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.62, Line -8.5 @ 1.92
Fremantle Betting Odds: Win 2.30, Line +8.5 @ 1.92


2014

Qualifying - Haw v Gee - 36 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.52, Line -13.5 @ 1.91
Geelong Betting Odds: Win 2.60, Line +13.5 @ 1.91

Prelim - Haw v Port - 3 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.30, Line -21.5 @ 1.91
Port Adelaide Betting Odds: Win 3.70, Line +21.5 @ 1.91

GF - Haw v Syd- 63 points WIN
Sydney Betting Odds: Win 1.65, Line -7.5 @ 1.92
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 2.30, Line +7.5 @ 1.92


2015

Qualifying - WC v Haw - 32 points LOSS
West Coast Betting Odds: Win 2.42, Line +7.5 @ 1.95
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.60, Line -7.5 @ 1.85

Semi - Haw v Ade - 74 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.37, Line -24.5 @ 1.91
Adelaide Betting Odds: Win 3.25, Line +24.5 @ 1.91

Prelim - Fre v Haw - 37 points WIN
Fremantle Betting Odds: Win 2.15, Line +6.5 @ 1.91
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.74, Line -6.5 @ 1.91

GF - Haw v WC - 46 points WIN
Hawthorn Betting Odds: Win 1.63, Line -9.5 @ 1.91
West Coast Betting Odds: Win 2.40, Line +9.5 @ 1.91
Wow!

Is there any rational explanation for his (historical) reluctance to tip us? He never struck me as an ABH (Anyone But Hawthorn).
 
The numbers say otherwise. Not elite but clearly above average.
He’s never kicked 50 goals or more, and in 2023 averaged just 2.2 marks inside 50 a game which is considered ‘average’ by AFL standards.

He does still get 3.5 shots on goal a game as he is a good ground level player, but if we’re discussing Mihocek as a reference point of what we need in our forward half from a Key, his output would be the bare minimum.
 
Wow!

Is there any rational explanation for his (historical) reluctance to tip us? He never struck me as an ABH (Anyone But Hawthorn).
He does absolutely LOVE Freo.

But yeah, Gerard seems to have a very strong grudge against the Hawks to have never tipped us even when we were so clearly such a dominant force.
 

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He definitely called 68 points on Fox. Was even put up on the screen along with all the other panel predictions, all of whom picked Shitney.

I know this because I went searching you tube just yesterday to hear for myself. Found it. 1:02:40 mark

2014 AFL GF Pre-game
 
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Lloyd Meek at the 'G today with Hugh McCluggage. Excellent future strategising by the Hawks as I'm sure Big Lloyd was getting into his ear about making the move south ;-p
 
That's not what I was commenting on- years later on radio he claimed that his message to the Fox Footy producer was that the Swans winning margin would be 6-8 goals but that it was misinterpreted.

I reckon he was talking shit there as they all clearly picked a specific margin. I suppose 6 to 8 goals is only about 20 to 32 points less stupid.
 
That's not what I was commenting on- years later on radio he claimed that his message to the Fox Footy producer was that the Swans winning margin would be 6-8 goals but that it was misinterpreted.
You don't say (out loud) "6 dash 8 goals".

If he said it, it would've been "6 to 8 goals"; which, using his 'misinterpreted story', would've been (mis)heard as "68 goals".

Unlikely (IMO), that the Producer at Fox Footy heard "68 goals" & decided to fix it for him. Much more likely (again, IMO) is that he thought $ydney would win comfortably & wanted to be the one smart-ass that "called it".

I've no doubt he called $ydney by 68 points, then back-tracked like a pussy when he was ~120 points off
 
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