Analysis How we can play finals

[Gayfer_Pants]

Here's the (overly simplified) maths/outcomes that gets us to September:
1. Collingwood wins each of its four games by an average of 50 points (in low scoring wins)
2. North loses each of its four games by an average of 50 points (in low scoring losses)
3. Port and St Kilda do not win more than two more games
4. Melbourne does not win more than three more games

The 'low scoring wins/losses' is important, as percentage moves more when the overall figures are lower. The winning score in these games would need to be 100 points or less. Stranger things have happened!*

*(stranger things have probably not happened)

 

[Cousin of Daicos]

It's still mathematically possible, but once you start talking "mathematically possible", it's not really possible.

 

[mattys123]

 

[nahnah]

We had our chance vs north and blew it

 

[slugger01]

Yep, possible, but impossible..

Just like this trident:

 

[PonsfordMagpie]

Love the optimism but forget about finals.

Let's have one eye on our objective of making finals in 2017, but firstly to ensure that we finish 2016 off in strong fashion and can use that as a platform heading into 2017.

 

[Jekyll and Hyde]

You forgot to carry the one.

 

[BEEG]

 

[Baltimore Jack]

Yeah...nah

 

[Cousin of Daicos]

We had our chance vs north and blew it

I think the Bulldogs game hurt the most.

 

[jmac70]

I think the Bulldogs game hurt the most.

The St Kilda and Carlton loses wern't great either.

 

[jmac70]

I'm looking forward to this two division system coming in that Connolly proposed. Having something to play for after July would be great fun!

 

[unplugged]

Eh, so unlikely yet so slightly possible.

Here's my take for anyone playing at home:

This round:

Collingwood beats Richmond by 100 points (note 60 points might not actually be enough come season's end).
Hawks beat Melbourne by 60+.
Bulldogs beat North, preferably by 30+.
Sydney to beat Port by any margin.
St Kilda likely to beat Carlton (if Carlton win, this is a huge benefit).

Round 21:

Collingwood beat Bulldogs by 30+.
Hawks beat North by 60 points (preferably more).
Power likely to beat Melbourne, although it'd be more beneficial if Melbourne win.
Sydney to beat St Kilda by 60+.

Round 22:

Sydney to beat North by any margin, although obviously the larger the margin the better.
St Kilda likely to beat Richmond (preferably by a small margin or a Richmond upset victory).
Power lose to Adelaide by any margin.
Collingwood beat the Suns by 60+.

Round 23:

Power will beat the Suns (upset preferable).
GWS to beat North by a good margin (60+ to be sure)
St Kilda will beat Brisbane, although an upset would be preferable.
Collingwood then need to beat the Hawks, which is a huge task although the Hawks could very well be 2 games clear on top and this is a Sunday game.

In my ladder predictor with the above results, all of us, North and the Saints go 12-10.

Pies percentage 103.2
North 101.7
Saints 93.5



So it's unlikely. But we need a HUGE win tonight.

And Sydney's performances for the rest of the season are important.

 

[Rusty22]

if we make finals ill strip naked with a carlton beanie on and streak the grand final....

 

[SpongePie]

View attachment 273391
You forgot to carry the one.

Can someone photoshop that with Bucks head? Lol

 

[Saintly Viewed]

You're a funny guy.
Funny how?
You know, you know, the way you eh, tell a story.
What I'm a clown, I'm here to amuse you

 

[Saintly Viewed]

Here's the (overly simplified) maths/outcomes that gets us to September:
1. Collingwood wins each of its four games by an average of 50 points (in low scoring wins)
2. North loses each of its four games by an average of 50 points (in low scoring losses)
3. Port and St Kilda do not win more than two more games
4. Melbourne does not win more than three more games

The 'low scoring wins/losses' is important, as percentage moves more when the overall figures are lower. The winning score in these games would need to be 100 points or less. Stranger things have happened!*

*(stranger things have probably not happened)

 

[Schraderbrau]

awesome

 

[Saintly Viewed]

 

[Saintly Viewed]

I just love the memes

 

[FireKrakouer]

 

[Saintly Viewed]

if we make finals ill strip naked with a carlton beanie on and streak the grand final....

I'm happy to make the finals, but what you're offering isn't sweetening the pot any

 

[Saintly Viewed]

Just brilliant!

 

[Saintly Viewed]

The St Kilda and Carlton loses wern't great either.

That first round v Sydney
Hmmmmmm not good .....

 

[Schraderbrau]