Prediction How Will The Cats Fare in 2025?

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Mooney was our only premiership player for a while there before he straightened us up and got others into flagdom.
Yes, very lucky in that NM team.
But Mooney was special.
I watched him be bog v Demons in a final, and he was CHB or FB.
Brilliant. He had gifts. Could ruck, then he swung himself to CHF because we needed him to.
A little underrated in our era, imho.
I'd be rapt if Neale is in the same league as Mooney, and he well could be.
He was very good, but playing as a third tall defender is probably the “easiest” role in footy. He was a good second-tier CHF IMO - not as good as Tredrea, Riewoldt or Brown, but still good.
 
Honestly I wasn't using it to slam Neale. It was more like "if Playfair turned out somewhat good". I think Hawkins has passed off enough smarts on the basics. Besides the basic lead-present-convert goals, I want to see him get to as many contests as possible and compete in the air next year, stopping easy opposition marks. And that's the area I think he might still be inconsistent on. He had a good final against Port and a poor one against Brisbane, but he is still (sort of) a kid in key forward terms. Big year ahead. I think 2025-2026 is where we get a better idea on his projected ceiling.
I.e the purple patch he had in 2005 when he was kicking goals, setting them up, crashing packs, looking awkward and getting a bit of the ball.

That would be super.
 
Sure, but Hawkins looked completely lost for a lot of that period from 2007-2011, to the point that his future seemed to be in serious question and many rightly thought he was getting games on draft rep.

My point is that young tall forwards look a long, long way from the finished product for a long while.
His development wasnt linear, but the talent he displayed was on par with nathan ablett. He oozed class and natural ability. He was probably more a victim if anything of the game shifting from your monster forward to more athletic endurance key forwards who can cover ground. In many ways hawkins had to re invent himself from scratch which took alot of hard work and made him a little fish out of water eske at times.

I dont think neale has this same problem, neale is a modern day prototype.
 

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Just an observation.

In the twos Neale led well. He was not always honoured by the kick, but when he was, his kicking at all distances was pretty good.

It's a one wood he can fall back on if need be.

Playing in a side as 3rd banana means spaces you might like are pretty much devoured by established forwards. Cameron is not conventional but does get into open spaces really well..and often . That means Neale can't just attack space, he has to forgo opportunities.

Watch the newbies in the ones (Dempsey is a great example) and you will see them defer.

Neale offers a lot, IMO. Getting to 50 games would see him be a "target" rather than part of the support ( but important) players in the forward line.

I am also bullish on Henry. His development has been steady, and without checking stats, his involvement seems to be more consistent. He will grow into a big body (check Jack out) and take marks on the ground as well as on the fly. He will be a match up nightmare. Scoring in 2025 should not be a problem . If you are an optimist.

Next season looks to be a good chance to go top 4. Even without a Conway.
 
Just an observation.

In the twos Neale led well. He was not always honoured by the kick, but when he was, his kicking at all distances was pretty good.

It's a one wood he can fall back on if need be.

Playing in a side as 3rd banana means spaces you might like are pretty much devoured by established forwards. Cameron is not conventional but does get into open spaces really well..and often . That means Neale can't just attack space, he has to forgo opportunities.

Watch the newbies in the ones (Dempsey is a great example) and you will see them defer.

Neale offers a lot, IMO. Getting to 50 games would see him be a "target" rather than part of the support ( but important) players in the forward line.

I am also bullish on Henry. His development has been steady, and without checking stats, his involvement seems to be more consistent. He will grow into a big body (check Jack out) and take marks on the ground as well as on the fly. He will be a match up nightmare. Scoring in 2025 should not be a problem . If you are an optimist.

Next season looks to be a good chance to go top 4. Even without a Conway.
OHenry will kick goals, thats not his issue, 41 goals then 37 and next year I think he goes close to 50.
What he needs to work on is holding marks and not going to ground in every marking contest. Fix those two things and he will have a monster season.
 
Wouldn't say the same, throws his weight around and likes a good shove. Watch some of his off the ball work to shepherd other players and you'll see where I'm coming from.

He does but he has concrete hands at times which will hold him back unless he improves on it.
 
Most of this..

Stay the same and go backwards.
Thus.. we need 2-3 kids to really push forward at least.. Dempsey, Holmes, Neale.. At a minimum and that to keep level with last year.

To go further.. Humphries, COS, Smith, Martin, Conway.. all need to get from bottom 6 to top 10-14 players. That will push us over the top.

Note - smith is there bc he hasn’t played with the group. He will push up and I think he’ll be a top 10 just starting slow ..

Go Catters

Smith certainly is a key and we need a few of the blue chip kids like neale and osullivan and Clark to take steps forward and we desperately need Conway to be fit.

It will be interesting to see how we integrate the new players in as we have a tough 6 weeks or so to start the year and then having Carlton and Collingwood big G games in b2b weeks. The good news is the back half of the year is quite soft with us basically having 2 extra byes (that's what playing Richmond will be in 2025) plus a bunch of very winnable games at skilled in the run home.
The first 2 months will tell us if we can contend or not. If we can go say 7 and 3 through the 10 week block then we are a chance for top 4.
 
Even if Neale just didn't improve at all - which is unlikely - he'd still give us 35 goals across a full season, marks around the ground, and a secondary ruck option.

For a key forward who's literally played 20 games, that's a decent output I would have thought. Certainly worthy of a spot in the side.

In an ideal world, he does improve and elevates past that performance standard...but acting like he's just some passenger in the side is disingenuous.
If Neale kicks 35 goals this year I’m confident we go real deep and top 4 is not out of the question.
 
OHenry will kick goals, thats not his issue, 41 goals then 37 and next year I think he goes close to 50.
What he needs to work on is holding marks and not going to ground in every marking contest. Fix those two things and he will have a monster season.
I really liked his change in awareness in bringing the ball to ground where the opportunity called for if this year. Much improved on the previous year. I feel like he got around the ground more too later in the season
 
I feel that this issue has been significantly overstated relative to his actual output
I definitely agree with this take. Took some good contested grabs late in the season and wasn't targeted really early on.

I think one of the biggest head shaking moments i had on this forum was when he played in Darwin against Gold Coast. He was quite obviously creating space for Henry in a premeditated manner, to the point where the umpires called him repeatedly for holding the defenders so Henry could come over the top. People just criticised him for not marking balls that were clearly intended for Henry. He also kicked 2, narrowly missed a 3rd, and had 6 score involvements. I just didn't understand what the criticism was for.
 
I.e the purple patch he had in 2005 when he was kicking goals, setting them up, crashing packs, looking awkward and getting a bit of the ball.

That would be super.
I remember vividly a game against Adelaide that year where he was clearly the best forward on the ground… then did his shoulder before the end of it and was never the same again
 

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I think we will see Neale more confident this year because I suspect he was expecting the tap on the shoulder by the end of the season to let him know he was getting dropped for Hawkins.

Next year the position is his, and that sort of confidence in a player can be massive.

Just have to hope the MC backs him in, but then with Cameron and Stengle taking the best two defenders each week theres a big chance for him to play mainly forward, occasionally give a chop out in the ruck, and try to kick up towards the 40 goal contributions be it goals, assists or crashing packs etc that leads to goals from spills.
 
I remember vividly a game against Adelaide that year where he was clearly the best forward on the ground… then did his shoulder before the end of it and was never the same again
Playfair was unfairly malinged, similar to Spriggs as people forget they were never the same after their injuries.
I fear De Koning may be another to join the 'what if he didn't have that injury' category.
His facial injury was so bad it was akin to a car crash injury, after his 2022 season I was thinking he could become an Adam Goodes type player eg someone who can play anywhere on the ground and excel in the position.
 
Playfair was unfairly malinged, similar to Spriggs as people forget they were never the same after their injuries.
I fear De Koning may be another to join the 'what if he didn't have that injury' category.
His facial injury was so bad it was akin to a car crash injury, after his 2022 season I was thinking he could become an Adam Goodes type player eg someone who can play anywhere on the ground and excel in the position.
He was looking very good in the Blicavs role this year from about Rd 16 (the week after the Blues match) til Rd 19 while Blicavs was pushed into defence and then SDK copped some late season niggles but I think having him up the field was a better use of his running ability and strong marking.
He also isn't given the credit for his ball use. If they intend on using SDK as a 2nd ruck/mobile tall when Conway is fit, and pushing Blicavs into defense as a tall defender then we will see SDK having 20-25 touches and hurting teams.
 
Playfair was unfairly malinged, similar to Spriggs as people forget they were never the same after their injuries.
I fear De Koning may be another to join the 'what if he didn't have that injury' category.
His facial injury was so bad it was akin to a car crash injury, after his 2022 season I was thinking he could become an Adam Goodes type player eg someone who can play anywhere on the ground and excel in the position.

The reports of SDK's demise are greatly exaggerated.
 
Playfair was unfairly malinged, similar to Spriggs as people forget they were never the same after their injuries.
I fear De Koning may be another to join the 'what if he didn't have that injury' category.
His facial injury was so bad it was akin to a car crash injury, after his 2022 season I was thinking he could become an Adam Goodes type player eg someone who can play anywhere on the ground and excel in the position.
I just never seen Playfair or Spriggs as good quality footballers, before or after injuries, a bit like Murdoch who miraculously played a 100 games..... when those guys were in our side I just seen it as a downer of which in most circumstances they were.
 
I just never seen Playfair or Spriggs as good quality footballers, before or after injuries, a bit like Murdoch who miraculously played a 100 games..... when those guys were in our side I just seen it as a downer of which in most circumstances they were.
Disagree, Spriggs in particular was extremely promising.
 
You know I sat back to consider how we went last year, because I went away with the impression we were bad right up until a flourish of games in the back end.of the season.

But it dawned on me, we were only ever out of the 8 for two rounds - opening round (where we were yet to play) and round 1 (where we won).
 
Disagree, Spriggs in particular was extremely promising.
Great first game
OK first 2 seasons

Horrible after that, Cats and Swans.

Too short with a pathetic kick. Injury has been raised, but he never lost his pace. Just could not use the ball or read the play properly.
 
You know I sat back to consider how we went last year, because I went away with the impression we were bad right up until a flourish of games in the back end.of the season.

But it dawned on me, we were only ever out of the 8 for two rounds - opening round (where we were yet to play) and round 1 (where we won).
Yep. Started brilliantly and finished quite well (minus a couple of disappointing outliers), with that awful mid-season rut leaving the sour taste for a while - that's my summary. Even in that awful rut there were a couple of very close games, where if you flipped the result our season wouldn't have hit such a slump.

What happened during that mid-season malaise? We tried to give cooked Hawkins and Cam Guthrie every chance to find form. We were convinced Blicavs could still function as a midfielder. We tried to play every tall forward imaginable in the same side - arguably it hurt all of them. We didn't trust Mannagh yet and wanted Humphries to develop in the VFL despite both looking very good. Dangerfield was missing and then needed a game or two to get up to speed. Bowes and Bruhn had their worst periods of the season for form or availability.

While we were never dominant (our middling % indicated as much), we were very much a strong team for the first and latter thirds of the season. Replicate that and we're a top 4 team in 2025. If that "middle slump" was actually our true form (which I really doubt), we will finish 12th-14th.
 
I feel that this issue has been significantly overstated relative to his actual output

Yes and no. The actual number of times he does it isn't as bad as some but when he does drop them the drops are bad or obvious ones. The issue is I'm trying to work out is this a technical flaw or is it more a mental one and as he develops confidence he will just overcome it? Athletically he has a lot of the other attributes but it will hold him back from being a top kpf rather than a role player if he can't. But he's still young.
 

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Prediction How Will The Cats Fare in 2025?

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